{ "methodology_note": "Raw single-pass softmax baseline (dropout OFF, model.eval() fully -- NOT MC-Dropout), computed on the SAME held-out validation split (11666 frames / 1049 videos) as research_results.json's MC-Dropout numbers, so the two are directly comparable per architecture. Exists specifically to test H1 as literally worded in the proposal: 'MC Dropout will produce measurably better-calibrated confidence estimates (lower ECE) than each detector's raw softmax confidence.'", "val_frame_count": 11666, "val_video_count": 1049, "models": { "xception": { "frame_ece": 0.03287438389485061, "video_ece": 0.037745457105664085, "frame_auroc": 0.9976220768807692, "video_auroc": 0.9995995550611791 }, "sbi": { "frame_ece": 0.115351293327205, "video_ece": 0.13012384283197287, "frame_auroc": 0.9894134047671114, "video_auroc": 0.9981015943641083 }, "vit": { "frame_ece": 0.07730546174039567, "video_ece": 0.09054525756808249, "frame_auroc": 0.9829789807102295, "video_auroc": 0.9924063774564331 }, "lsda": { "frame_ece": 0.06318750835388509, "video_ece": 0.07276670377292158, "frame_auroc": 0.9929955925425256, "video_auroc": 0.9984723767148683 } } }