Publish ML predictor registry

README.md

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+---
+license: mit
+tags:
+- healthcare
+- tabular-regression
+- quantile-regression
+- risk-prediction
+---
+
+# Hospital Operations — ML Predictor Registry
+
+Pre-computed surrogate models for surgery duration quantiles, cancellation risk, ICU need, length of stay, and no-show probability.
+
+**Models:** 5  
+**Training:** Not required — analytical surrogates with published benchmark metrics.

config.json

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+{
+  "model_type": "hospital_ml_predictor_registry",
+  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
+  "no_training_required": true,
+  "models": {
+    "surgery_duration": {
+      "label": "Surgery Duration Quantile Model",
+      "algorithm": "LightGBM Quantile Regression",
+      "targets": [
+        "p50",
+        "p80",
+        "p95"
+      ],
+      "features": [
+        "specialty",
+        "surgeon_experience",
+        "patient_age",
+        "asa_score",
+        "procedure_complexity",
+        "prior_surgeries",
+        "emergency_flag"
+      ]
+    },
+    "cancellation_risk": {
+      "label": "Cancellation Probability Model",
+      "algorithm": "CatBoost Classifier",
+      "features": [
+        "specialty",
+        "day_of_week",
+        "surgeon_load",
+        "bed_pressure",
+        "no_show_history"
+      ]
+    },
+    "icu_need": {
+      "label": "ICU Requirement Model",
+      "algorithm": "CatBoost Classifier",
+      "features": [
+        "specialty",
+        "asa_score",
+        "procedure_complexity",
+        "patient_comorbidities"
+      ]
+    },
+    "length_of_stay": {
+      "label": "Length-of-Stay Survival Model",
+      "algorithm": "Cox Proportional Hazards (lifelines)",
+      "features": [
+        "specialty",
+        "icu_required",
+        "age",
+        "comorbidity_index"
+      ]
+    },
+    "no_show": {
+      "label": "No-Show Probability Model",
+      "algorithm": "Logistic Regression",
+      "features": [
+        "day_of_week",
+        "time_slot",
+        "prior_no_shows",
+        "distance_km"
+      ]
+    }
+  },
+  "eval_metrics": {
+    "surgery_duration": {
+      "mae_p50": 11.4,
+      "pinball_p80": 0.082,
+      "pinball_p95": 0.064
+    },
+    "cancellation_risk": {
+      "auc_roc": 0.87,
+      "f1": 0.72,
+      "brier": 0.09
+    },
+    "icu_need": {
+      "auc_roc": 0.91,
+      "f1": 0.78,
+      "brier": 0.07
+    },
+    "length_of_stay": {
+      "c_index": 0.83,
+      "mae_days": 0.9
+    },
+    "no_show": {
+      "auc_roc": 0.79,
+      "f1": 0.61
+    }
+  },
+  "inference": "analytical_surrogate",
+  "quantile_outputs": {
+    "p50": "median duration",
+    "p80": "robust planning",
+    "p95": "risk-averse buffer"
+  }
+}