{ "temperature": 1.7458220720291138, "selected_step": 0, "status": "complete", "claim_scope": "Public decision benchmark; no claim of Jev-level intelligence or general calibration", "test": { "trained": { "overall": { "n": 2042, "accuracy": 0.9289911851126347, "nll": 0.2548728303419246, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.11724661735348839, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.042709464978984944, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 1, "confidence_sum": 0.3873113691806793, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 6, "confidence_sum": 2.761519640684128, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 25, "confidence_sum": 13.707988917827606, "correct_sum": 13.0 }, { "count": 37, "confidence_sum": 23.83959299325943, "correct_sum": 26.0 }, { "count": 44, "confidence_sum": 33.35772943496704, "correct_sum": 29.0 }, { "count": 71, "confidence_sum": 60.919248819351196, "correct_sum": 48.0 }, { "count": 1858, "confidence_sum": 1844.918522298336, "correct_sum": 1780.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 511, "accuracy": 1.0, "min_confidence": 0.9999915361404419 }, "0.5": { "n": 1021, "accuracy": 0.9921645445641528, "min_confidence": 0.9986754059791565 }, "0.75": { "n": 1532, "accuracy": 0.9843342036553525, "min_confidence": 0.9908576607704163 }, "1.0": { "n": 2042, "accuracy": 0.9289911851126347, "min_confidence": 0.3873113691806793 } } }, "per_family": { "banking": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.978515625, "nll": 0.12226520271792657, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.037994640677064956, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.016155527671799064, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 3, "confidence_sum": 1.705095112323761, "correct_sum": 2.0 }, { "count": 1, "confidence_sum": 0.6073724627494812, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 7, "confidence_sum": 5.329456865787506, "correct_sum": 5.0 }, { "count": 5, "confidence_sum": 4.3502872586250305, "correct_sum": 5.0 }, { "count": 496, "confidence_sum": 495.3901832103729, "correct_sum": 489.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 1.0, "min_confidence": 1.0 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 1.0, "min_confidence": 0.9999991655349731 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.9973958333333334, "min_confidence": 0.9999103546142578 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.978515625, "min_confidence": 0.5397089123725891 } } }, "boolq": { "n": 506, "accuracy": 0.8952569169960475, "nll": 0.30082020614212623, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.1645830420203524, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.061629810352099273, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 8, "confidence_sum": 4.3537238240242, "correct_sum": 4.0 }, { "count": 18, "confidence_sum": 11.685294926166534, "correct_sum": 10.0 }, { "count": 12, "confidence_sum": 9.267768621444702, "correct_sum": 7.0 }, { "count": 29, "confidence_sum": 24.727146327495575, "correct_sum": 19.0 }, { "count": 439, "confidence_sum": 434.1507503390312, "correct_sum": 413.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 127, "accuracy": 0.9921259842519685, "min_confidence": 0.9984140396118164 }, "0.5": { "n": 253, "accuracy": 0.9960474308300395, "min_confidence": 0.995837926864624 }, "0.75": { "n": 380, "accuracy": 0.9631578947368421, "min_confidence": 0.9789161086082458 }, "1.0": { "n": 506, "accuracy": 0.8952569169960475, "min_confidence": 0.5028058886528015 } } }, "arc": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.94140625, "nll": 0.23545075006863606, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.09582074176202018, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.03452872653724626, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 1, "confidence_sum": 0.3873113691806793, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 5, "confidence_sum": 2.285579204559326, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 7, "confidence_sum": 3.7234585285186768, "correct_sum": 3.0 }, { "count": 10, "confidence_sum": 6.485258996486664, "correct_sum": 9.0 }, { "count": 15, "confidence_sum": 11.392396628856659, "correct_sum": 12.0 }, { "count": 17, "confidence_sum": 14.561253845691681, "correct_sum": 12.0 }, { "count": 457, "confidence_sum": 454.59876066446304, "correct_sum": 445.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 1.0, "min_confidence": 0.9999977350234985 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 1.0, "min_confidence": 0.9999246597290039 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.9895833333333334, "min_confidence": 0.9971269965171814 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.94140625, "min_confidence": 0.3873113691806793 } } }, "snli": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.900390625, "nll": 0.3614936082491682, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.1711427686810808, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.07405480305897072, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 1, "confidence_sum": 0.47594043612480164, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 7, "confidence_sum": 3.925711452960968, "correct_sum": 4.0 }, { "count": 8, "confidence_sum": 5.0616666078567505, "correct_sum": 7.0 }, { "count": 10, "confidence_sum": 7.368107318878174, "correct_sum": 5.0 }, { "count": 20, "confidence_sum": 17.28056138753891, "correct_sum": 12.0 }, { "count": 466, "confidence_sum": 460.77882808446884, "correct_sum": 433.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 0.96875, "min_confidence": 0.9978107810020447 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 0.9765625, "min_confidence": 0.9943430423736572 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.9609375, "min_confidence": 0.9827606678009033 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.900390625, "min_confidence": 0.47594043612480164 } } } } }, "calibrated": { "overall": { "n": 2042, "accuracy": 0.9289911851126347, "nll": 0.2050675208059285, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.10981914968288821, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.010821329873058868, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 4, "confidence_sum": 1.5274722874164581, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 11, "confidence_sum": 4.950159549713135, "correct_sum": 4.0 }, { "count": 58, "confidence_sum": 32.086635649204254, "correct_sum": 40.0 }, { "count": 58, "confidence_sum": 37.935491383075714, "correct_sum": 34.0 }, { "count": 101, "confidence_sum": 76.33427423238754, "correct_sum": 69.0 }, { "count": 158, "confidence_sum": 135.905029296875, "correct_sum": 136.0 }, { "count": 1652, "confidence_sum": 1614.3414230942726, "correct_sum": 1613.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 511, "accuracy": 1.0, "min_confidence": 0.9984586238861084 }, "0.5": { "n": 1021, "accuracy": 0.9921645445641528, "min_confidence": 0.976774275302887 }, "0.75": { "n": 1532, "accuracy": 0.9830287206266318, "min_confidence": 0.9275727272033691 }, "1.0": { "n": 2042, "accuracy": 0.9289911851126347, "min_confidence": 0.36327579617500305 } } }, "per_family": { "banking": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.978515625, "nll": 0.08680507836434942, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.03854156218229658, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.010919157532043755, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 6, "confidence_sum": 3.359699547290802, "correct_sum": 4.0 }, { "count": 5, "confidence_sum": 3.226902723312378, "correct_sum": 3.0 }, { "count": 6, "confidence_sum": 4.473788321018219, "correct_sum": 6.0 }, { "count": 9, "confidence_sum": 7.847302138805389, "correct_sum": 8.0 }, { "count": 486, "confidence_sum": 483.04449594020844, "correct_sum": 480.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 1.0, "min_confidence": 0.9999681711196899 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 1.0, "min_confidence": 0.9996205568313599 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.9973958333333334, "min_confidence": 0.9949487447738647 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.978515625, "min_confidence": 0.5222792029380798 } } }, "boolq": { "n": 506, "accuracy": 0.8952569169960475, "nll": 0.24933799422114145, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.15022579183164184, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.016275467844348652, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 21, "confidence_sum": 11.7305428981781, "correct_sum": 10.0 }, { "count": 22, "confidence_sum": 14.534841537475586, "correct_sum": 15.0 }, { "count": 34, "confidence_sum": 25.722497761249542, "correct_sum": 22.0 }, { "count": 49, "confidence_sum": 41.86055135726929, "correct_sum": 40.0 }, { "count": 380, "confidence_sum": 365.5433637499809, "correct_sum": 366.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 127, "accuracy": 0.9921259842519685, "min_confidence": 0.9756761789321899 }, "0.5": { "n": 253, "accuracy": 0.9960474308300395, "min_confidence": 0.9584143757820129 }, "0.75": { "n": 380, "accuracy": 0.9631578947368421, "min_confidence": 0.9001014232635498 }, "1.0": { "n": 506, "accuracy": 0.8952569169960475, "min_confidence": 0.5016071796417236 } } }, "arc": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.94140625, "nll": 0.19397132420263175, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.09487676147069625, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.02615507983136922, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 4, "confidence_sum": 1.5274722874164581, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 9, "confidence_sum": 4.047605782747269, "correct_sum": 4.0 }, { "count": 15, "confidence_sum": 8.381983816623688, "correct_sum": 14.0 }, { "count": 17, "confidence_sum": 11.08071506023407, "correct_sum": 9.0 }, { "count": 26, "confidence_sum": 19.58449637889862, "correct_sum": 22.0 }, { "count": 27, "confidence_sum": 22.931695699691772, "correct_sum": 24.0 }, { "count": 414, "confidence_sum": 409.6337836384773, "correct_sum": 408.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 1.0, "min_confidence": 0.9992086291313171 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 1.0, "min_confidence": 0.9945464134216309 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.9895833333333334, "min_confidence": 0.9568338990211487 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.94140625, "min_confidence": 0.36327579617500305 } } }, "snli": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.900390625, "nll": 0.29067448104592586, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.15610599858459887, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.03427618817659095, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 2, "confidence_sum": 0.9025537669658661, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 16, "confidence_sum": 8.614409387111664, "correct_sum": 12.0 }, { "count": 14, "confidence_sum": 9.09303206205368, "correct_sum": 7.0 }, { "count": 35, "confidence_sum": 26.55349177122116, "correct_sum": 19.0 }, { "count": 73, "confidence_sum": 63.26548010110855, "correct_sum": 64.0 }, { "count": 372, "confidence_sum": 356.1197797656059, "correct_sum": 359.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 0.9765625, "min_confidence": 0.9674575924873352 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 0.9765625, "min_confidence": 0.9432480931282043 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.9583333333333334, "min_confidence": 0.8896382451057434 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.900390625, "min_confidence": 0.4136597514152527 } } } } }, "base": { "overall": { "n": 2042, "accuracy": 0.8447600391772772, "nll": 1.6827827308918881, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.2927494974423544, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.13822684455279854, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 2, "confidence_sum": 0.732365071773529, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 4, "confidence_sum": 1.8684652149677277, "correct_sum": 2.0 }, { "count": 25, "confidence_sum": 13.689240455627441, "correct_sum": 17.0 }, { "count": 18, "confidence_sum": 11.746700882911682, "correct_sum": 11.0 }, { "count": 36, "confidence_sum": 27.12858122587204, "correct_sum": 20.0 }, { "count": 46, "confidence_sum": 39.98839032649994, "correct_sum": 26.0 }, { "count": 1911, "confidence_sum": 1905.2208847403526, "correct_sum": 1649.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 511, "accuracy": 0.9354207436399217, "min_confidence": 1.0 }, "0.5": { "n": 1021, "accuracy": 0.9422135161606269, "min_confidence": 1.0 }, "0.75": { "n": 1532, "accuracy": 0.9007832898172323, "min_confidence": 0.9998598098754883 }, "1.0": { "n": 2042, "accuracy": 0.8447600391772772, "min_confidence": 0.3561801314353943 } } }, "per_family": { "banking": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.8828125, "nll": 0.8035370189185151, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.2032958888533993, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.08182763156946748, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 2, "confidence_sum": 0.732365071773529, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 2, "confidence_sum": 0.9544804692268372, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 9, "confidence_sum": 4.947599828243256, "correct_sum": 5.0 }, { "count": 8, "confidence_sum": 5.206531882286072, "correct_sum": 4.0 }, { "count": 16, "confidence_sum": 11.929070949554443, "correct_sum": 9.0 }, { "count": 19, "confidence_sum": 16.535522401332855, "correct_sum": 15.0 }, { "count": 456, "confidence_sum": 453.39433735609055, "correct_sum": 418.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 0.9921875, "min_confidence": 1.0 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 0.9765625, "min_confidence": 0.9999994039535522 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.9401041666666666, "min_confidence": 0.9933443069458008 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.8828125, "min_confidence": 0.3561801314353943 } } }, "boolq": { "n": 506, "accuracy": 0.8557312252964426, "nll": 2.0259620797809275, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.2843932332075561, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.14410379540778903, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 4, "confidence_sum": 2.20137357711792, "correct_sum": 4.0 }, { "count": 1, "confidence_sum": 0.645257830619812, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 3, "confidence_sum": 2.2964596152305603, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 6, "confidence_sum": 5.2520251870155334, "correct_sum": 2.0 }, { "count": 492, "confidence_sum": 491.2146670818329, "correct_sum": 425.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 127, "accuracy": 0.8976377952755905, "min_confidence": 1.0 }, "0.5": { "n": 253, "accuracy": 0.9169960474308301, "min_confidence": 1.0 }, "0.75": { "n": 380, "accuracy": 0.9289473684210526, "min_confidence": 0.9999997615814209 }, "1.0": { "n": 506, "accuracy": 0.8557312252964426, "min_confidence": 0.5300353169441223 } } }, "arc": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.9296875, "nll": 0.8372381083637264, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.13284523221990113, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.06219080294249579, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 2, "confidence_sum": 0.9139847457408905, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 2, "confidence_sum": 1.0453534722328186, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 5, "confidence_sum": 3.2189850211143494, "correct_sum": 3.0 }, { "count": 6, "confidence_sum": 4.524070084095001, "correct_sum": 6.0 }, { "count": 8, "confidence_sum": 6.894674122333527, "correct_sum": 5.0 }, { "count": 489, "confidence_sum": 488.12073332071304, "correct_sum": 460.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 0.984375, "min_confidence": 1.0 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 0.98828125, "min_confidence": 1.0 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.9817708333333334, "min_confidence": 0.9999997615814209 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.9296875, "min_confidence": 0.4202010929584503 } } }, "snli": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.7109375, "nll": 3.0684153494991766, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.5503657105170595, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.2734481571242213, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 10, "confidence_sum": 5.494913578033447, "correct_sum": 7.0 }, { "count": 4, "confidence_sum": 2.675926148891449, "correct_sum": 3.0 }, { "count": 11, "confidence_sum": 8.378980576992035, "correct_sum": 4.0 }, { "count": 13, "confidence_sum": 11.306168615818024, "correct_sum": 4.0 }, { "count": 474, "confidence_sum": 472.49114698171616, "correct_sum": 346.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 0.8125, "min_confidence": 1.0 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 0.80078125, "min_confidence": 0.9999966621398926 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.7630208333333334, "min_confidence": 0.9995673298835754 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.7109375, "min_confidence": 0.5036829113960266 } } } } }, "base_calibrated": { "overall": { "n": 2042, "accuracy": 0.8447600391772772, "nll": 0.452739927518432, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.25478263453519945, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.06263403555088248, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 8, "confidence_sum": 2.2937141954898834, "correct_sum": 3.0 }, { "count": 62, "confidence_sum": 21.780550003051758, "correct_sum": 42.0 }, { "count": 87, "confidence_sum": 39.44270572066307, "correct_sum": 70.0 }, { "count": 147, "confidence_sum": 80.74226522445679, "correct_sum": 103.0 }, { "count": 150, "confidence_sum": 97.46173959970474, "correct_sum": 93.0 }, { "count": 199, "confidence_sum": 150.20955330133438, "correct_sum": 151.0 }, { "count": 311, "confidence_sum": 265.94291496276855, "correct_sum": 250.0 }, { "count": 1078, "confidence_sum": 1045.9628344774246, "correct_sum": 1013.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 511, "accuracy": 0.9843444227005871, "min_confidence": 0.9829810857772827 }, "0.5": { "n": 1021, "accuracy": 0.9480901077375122, "min_confidence": 0.9118173122406006 }, "0.75": { "n": 1532, "accuracy": 0.8955613577023499, "min_confidence": 0.7337803840637207 }, "1.0": { "n": 2042, "accuracy": 0.8447600391772772, "min_confidence": 0.26615577936172485 } } }, "per_family": { "banking": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.8828125, "nll": 0.4803847811426749, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.24231384330718306, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.15125263947993517, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 6, "confidence_sum": 1.7256377339363098, "correct_sum": 2.0 }, { "count": 47, "confidence_sum": 16.507239133119583, "correct_sum": 34.0 }, { "count": 61, "confidence_sum": 27.371423810720444, "correct_sum": 50.0 }, { "count": 56, "confidence_sum": 30.601767003536224, "correct_sum": 47.0 }, { "count": 47, "confidence_sum": 30.510030925273895, "correct_sum": 34.0 }, { "count": 38, "confidence_sum": 28.63151115179062, "correct_sum": 35.0 }, { "count": 68, "confidence_sum": 58.034259259700775, "correct_sum": 66.0 }, { "count": 189, "confidence_sum": 181.17677956819534, "correct_sum": 184.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 0.984375, "min_confidence": 0.9501156210899353 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 0.9765625, "min_confidence": 0.8002985715866089 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.9322916666666666, "min_confidence": 0.5225431323051453 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.8828125, "min_confidence": 0.26615577936172485 } } }, "boolq": { "n": 506, "accuracy": 0.8557312252964426, "nll": 0.3844228962146085, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.22706346727506466, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.07297720126954935, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 18, "confidence_sum": 9.970384955406189, "correct_sum": 12.0 }, { "count": 29, "confidence_sum": 18.950466096401215, "correct_sum": 18.0 }, { "count": 29, "confidence_sum": 21.715792536735535, "correct_sum": 16.0 }, { "count": 50, "confidence_sum": 42.18575972318649, "correct_sum": 34.0 }, { "count": 380, "confidence_sum": 373.0448304414749, "correct_sum": 353.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 127, "accuracy": 0.9921259842519685, "min_confidence": 0.9963729381561279 }, "0.5": { "n": 253, "accuracy": 0.9802371541501976, "min_confidence": 0.9850993752479553 }, "0.75": { "n": 380, "accuracy": 0.9289473684210526, "min_confidence": 0.9002280831336975 }, "1.0": { "n": 506, "accuracy": 0.8557312252964426, "min_confidence": 0.5043465495109558 } } }, "arc": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.9296875, "nll": 0.2752359951973631, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.13593068181824372, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.05345189612125978, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 2, "confidence_sum": 0.5680764615535736, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 15, "confidence_sum": 5.273310869932175, "correct_sum": 8.0 }, { "count": 19, "confidence_sum": 8.764264017343521, "correct_sum": 16.0 }, { "count": 25, "confidence_sum": 13.797979295253754, "correct_sum": 21.0 }, { "count": 20, "confidence_sum": 13.02436488866806, "correct_sum": 13.0 }, { "count": 28, "confidence_sum": 20.95827430486679, "correct_sum": 27.0 }, { "count": 52, "confidence_sum": 44.90535968542099, "correct_sum": 44.0 }, { "count": 351, "confidence_sum": 343.20044881105423, "correct_sum": 346.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 1.0, "min_confidence": 0.9898765683174133 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 0.99609375, "min_confidence": 0.9743005633354187 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.9791666666666666, "min_confidence": 0.8585602045059204 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.9296875, "min_confidence": 0.27811235189437866 } } }, "snli": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.7109375, "nll": 0.6701154473084898, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.4134977117489767, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.0982505488791503, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 7, "confidence_sum": 3.307017892599106, "correct_sum": 4.0 }, { "count": 48, "confidence_sum": 26.37213397026062, "correct_sum": 23.0 }, { "count": 54, "confidence_sum": 34.97687768936157, "correct_sum": 28.0 }, { "count": 104, "confidence_sum": 78.90397530794144, "correct_sum": 73.0 }, { "count": 141, "confidence_sum": 120.8175362944603, "correct_sum": 106.0 }, { "count": 158, "confidence_sum": 148.54077565670013, "correct_sum": 130.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 128, "accuracy": 0.859375, "min_confidence": 0.9148098826408386 }, "0.5": { "n": 256, "accuracy": 0.80859375, "min_confidence": 0.8419564962387085 }, "0.75": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.7708333333333334, "min_confidence": 0.7315099835395813 }, "1.0": { "n": 512, "accuracy": 0.7109375, "min_confidence": 0.43296143412590027 } } } } }, "calibrated_difference_95pct": { "method": "400 stratified source-group bootstrap resamples; decision-weighted tuned minus base", "point_delta": { "accuracy": 0.0842311459353575, "nll": -0.2476724067125035, "brier": -0.1449634848523113 }, "accuracy": [ 0.06854799216454456, 0.098922624877571 ], "nll": [ -0.27686958949075574, -0.21881351599842205 ], "brier": [ -0.16374186238337493, -0.1257739683435538 ] } }, "holdout": { "trained": { "overall": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.7291666666666666, "nll": 0.9046048978141895, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.41865507801212026, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.1554523635810862, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 3, "confidence_sum": 1.1163514852523804, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 13, "confidence_sum": 6.152260005474091, "correct_sum": 3.0 }, { "count": 54, "confidence_sum": 29.515426993370056, "correct_sum": 27.0 }, { "count": 50, "confidence_sum": 32.41912567615509, "correct_sum": 27.0 }, { "count": 65, "confidence_sum": 48.71525001525879, "correct_sum": 33.0 }, { "count": 84, "confidence_sum": 71.8504301905632, "correct_sum": 44.0 }, { "count": 499, "confidence_sum": 489.6185708642006, "correct_sum": 426.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 192, "accuracy": 0.9375, "min_confidence": 0.9978193044662476 }, "0.5": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.8828125, "min_confidence": 0.9679536819458008 }, "0.75": { "n": 576, "accuracy": 0.8107638888888888, "min_confidence": 0.8080979585647583 }, "1.0": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.7291666666666666, "min_confidence": 0.3503410816192627 } } }, "per_family": { "social": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.7291666666666666, "nll": 0.9046048978141895, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.41865507801212026, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.1554523635810862, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 3, "confidence_sum": 1.1163514852523804, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 13, "confidence_sum": 6.152260005474091, "correct_sum": 3.0 }, { "count": 54, "confidence_sum": 29.515426993370056, "correct_sum": 27.0 }, { "count": 50, "confidence_sum": 32.41912567615509, "correct_sum": 27.0 }, { "count": 65, "confidence_sum": 48.71525001525879, "correct_sum": 33.0 }, { "count": 84, "confidence_sum": 71.8504301905632, "correct_sum": 44.0 }, { "count": 499, "confidence_sum": 489.6185708642006, "correct_sum": 426.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 192, "accuracy": 0.9375, "min_confidence": 0.9978193044662476 }, "0.5": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.8828125, "min_confidence": 0.9679536819458008 }, "0.75": { "n": 576, "accuracy": 0.8107638888888888, "min_confidence": 0.8080979585647583 }, "1.0": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.7291666666666666, "min_confidence": 0.3503410816192627 } } } } }, "calibrated": { "overall": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.7291666666666666, "nll": 0.6782619158996491, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.37973740706466513, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.08299602890231957, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 4, "confidence_sum": 1.4600901305675507, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 43, "confidence_sum": 19.645778954029083, "correct_sum": 15.0 }, { "count": 84, "confidence_sum": 46.113935708999634, "correct_sum": 48.0 }, { "count": 84, "confidence_sum": 54.28614550828934, "correct_sum": 39.0 }, { "count": 97, "confidence_sum": 72.91012477874756, "correct_sum": 59.0 }, { "count": 130, "confidence_sum": 110.77482378482819, "correct_sum": 107.0 }, { "count": 326, "confidence_sum": 314.77792274951935, "correct_sum": 292.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 192, "accuracy": 0.9375, "min_confidence": 0.9662192463874817 }, "0.5": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.8854166666666666, "min_confidence": 0.8613662123680115 }, "0.75": { "n": 576, "accuracy": 0.8072916666666666, "min_confidence": 0.670463502407074 }, "1.0": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.7291666666666666, "min_confidence": 0.3430308401584625 } } }, "per_family": { "social": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.7291666666666666, "nll": 0.6782619158996491, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.37973740706466513, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.08299602890231957, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 4, "confidence_sum": 1.4600901305675507, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 43, "confidence_sum": 19.645778954029083, "correct_sum": 15.0 }, { "count": 84, "confidence_sum": 46.113935708999634, "correct_sum": 48.0 }, { "count": 84, "confidence_sum": 54.28614550828934, "correct_sum": 39.0 }, { "count": 97, "confidence_sum": 72.91012477874756, "correct_sum": 59.0 }, { "count": 130, "confidence_sum": 110.77482378482819, "correct_sum": 107.0 }, { "count": 326, "confidence_sum": 314.77792274951935, "correct_sum": 292.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 192, "accuracy": 0.9375, "min_confidence": 0.9662192463874817 }, "0.5": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.8854166666666666, "min_confidence": 0.8613662123680115 }, "0.75": { "n": 576, "accuracy": 0.8072916666666666, "min_confidence": 0.670463502407074 }, "1.0": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.7291666666666666, "min_confidence": 0.3430308401584625 } } } } }, "base": { "overall": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.703125, "nll": 2.087191693346451, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.5129237150352639, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.22570987732615322, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 1, "confidence_sum": 0.3542192578315735, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 18, "confidence_sum": 8.336367458105087, "correct_sum": 10.0 }, { "count": 39, "confidence_sum": 21.718455612659454, "correct_sum": 17.0 }, { "count": 22, "confidence_sum": 14.276574194431305, "correct_sum": 13.0 }, { "count": 33, "confidence_sum": 24.695184469223022, "correct_sum": 15.0 }, { "count": 62, "confidence_sum": 52.76100742816925, "correct_sum": 33.0 }, { "count": 593, "confidence_sum": 586.5845507979393, "correct_sum": 451.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 192, "accuracy": 0.90625, "min_confidence": 0.9999998807907104 }, "0.5": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.8255208333333334, "min_confidence": 0.9991338849067688 }, "0.75": { "n": 576, "accuracy": 0.7690972222222222, "min_confidence": 0.9154785871505737 }, "1.0": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.703125, "min_confidence": 0.3542192578315735 } } }, "per_family": { "social": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.703125, "nll": 2.087191693346451, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.5129237150352639, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.22570987732615322, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 1, "confidence_sum": 0.3542192578315735, "correct_sum": 1.0 }, { "count": 18, "confidence_sum": 8.336367458105087, "correct_sum": 10.0 }, { "count": 39, "confidence_sum": 21.718455612659454, "correct_sum": 17.0 }, { "count": 22, "confidence_sum": 14.276574194431305, "correct_sum": 13.0 }, { "count": 33, "confidence_sum": 24.695184469223022, "correct_sum": 15.0 }, { "count": 62, "confidence_sum": 52.76100742816925, "correct_sum": 33.0 }, { "count": 593, "confidence_sum": 586.5845507979393, "correct_sum": 451.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 192, "accuracy": 0.90625, "min_confidence": 0.9999998807907104 }, "0.5": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.8255208333333334, "min_confidence": 0.9991338849067688 }, "0.75": { "n": 576, "accuracy": 0.7690972222222222, "min_confidence": 0.9154785871505737 }, "1.0": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.703125, "min_confidence": 0.3542192578315735 } } } } }, "base_calibrated": { "overall": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.703125, "nll": 0.7425018713104995, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.4306530777581018, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.08665639813989401, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 69, "confidence_sum": 25.828479051589966, "correct_sum": 33.0 }, { "count": 165, "confidence_sum": 74.53762590885162, "correct_sum": 90.0 }, { "count": 107, "confidence_sum": 58.80419135093689, "correct_sum": 72.0 }, { "count": 95, "confidence_sum": 61.89751034975052, "correct_sum": 73.0 }, { "count": 86, "confidence_sum": 64.67725455760956, "correct_sum": 60.0 }, { "count": 86, "confidence_sum": 73.19006419181824, "correct_sum": 66.0 }, { "count": 160, "confidence_sum": 153.7526016831398, "correct_sum": 146.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 192, "accuracy": 0.9010416666666666, "min_confidence": 0.8640128970146179 }, "0.5": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.8098958333333334, "min_confidence": 0.6482440233230591 }, "0.75": { "n": 576, "accuracy": 0.7638888888888888, "min_confidence": 0.4738004803657532 }, "1.0": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.703125, "min_confidence": 0.33634451031684875 } } }, "per_family": { "social": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.703125, "nll": 0.7425018713104995, "brier_multiclass_sum": 0.4306530777581018, "ece_top_label_10_equal_width_bins": 0.08665639813989401, "reliability_bins": [ { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 0, "confidence_sum": 0.0, "correct_sum": 0.0 }, { "count": 69, "confidence_sum": 25.828479051589966, "correct_sum": 33.0 }, { "count": 165, "confidence_sum": 74.53762590885162, "correct_sum": 90.0 }, { "count": 107, "confidence_sum": 58.80419135093689, "correct_sum": 72.0 }, { "count": 95, "confidence_sum": 61.89751034975052, "correct_sum": 73.0 }, { "count": 86, "confidence_sum": 64.67725455760956, "correct_sum": 60.0 }, { "count": 86, "confidence_sum": 73.19006419181824, "correct_sum": 66.0 }, { "count": 160, "confidence_sum": 153.7526016831398, "correct_sum": 146.0 } ], "accuracy_vs_coverage": { "0.25": { "n": 192, "accuracy": 0.9010416666666666, "min_confidence": 0.8640128970146179 }, "0.5": { "n": 384, "accuracy": 0.8098958333333334, "min_confidence": 0.6482440233230591 }, "0.75": { "n": 576, "accuracy": 0.7638888888888888, "min_confidence": 0.4738004803657532 }, "1.0": { "n": 768, "accuracy": 0.703125, "min_confidence": 0.33634451031684875 } } } } }, "calibrated_difference_95pct": { "method": "400 stratified source-group bootstrap resamples; decision-weighted tuned minus base", "point_delta": { "accuracy": 0.026041666666666668, "nll": -0.0642399554108503, "brier": -0.050915670693436714 }, "accuracy": [ 0.0013020833333333333, 0.05341796874999997 ], "nll": [ -0.11439402483851543, -0.016014919936165502 ], "brier": [ -0.0754793339156752, -0.02637446983897743 ] } }, "base_temperature": 6.918309211730957, "model_sha256": "e270e3da905604d97bf5a8f380ea308133403d1c4790a5c012cb1c12e9b6f348", "peak_cuda_allocated_bytes": 16356398592, "peak_cuda_reserved_bytes": 16393437184, "final_mem_available_bytes": 94531235840 }