""" jev_toy/eval.py Measure what matters for a System One decision model: - accuracy (does the argmax/label match) - expected calibration error (ECE) and reliability - Brier score (proper scoring rule) Applied to noul and choice heads. Also does post-hoc temperature scaling (our implementation of the "calibrated" property; tuning T on a held-out set). Usage: python -m jev_toy.eval --ckpt checkpoints/model.pt """ from __future__ import annotations import argparse import math import torch import torch.nn.functional as F from jev_toy.data import build_examples, tokenize from jev_toy.model import SystemOneConfig, SystemOneModel from jev_toy.train import featurize @torch.no_grad() def predict(model, eval_examples, vocab, cfg, device): """Return per-row predictions for noul and choice rows.""" model.eval() model = model.to(device) n_rows, c_rows = [], [] for bidx in range(0, len(eval_examples), 64): idx = list(range(bidx, min(bidx + 64, len(eval_examples)))) (ids_s, mask_s, ids_q, mask_q, types, targets) = featurize(idx, eval_examples, vocab, cfg, device) h = model.encode_state(ids_s, mask_s) logits, _ = model.answer(h, ids_q, mask_q, types) for k, t in enumerate(types): if t == "noul": n_rows.append({"p": torch.sigmoid(logits["noul"][k]).item(), "y": int(targets[k])}) elif t == "choice": probs = F.softmax(logits["choice"][k], dim=-1).cpu() c_rows.append({"p": probs, "y": int(targets[k])}) return n_rows, c_rows def brier(p, y): return (p - y) ** 2 def ece(probs, ys, n_bins=10): """Expected Calibration Error over probability bins.""" bins = [0.0] * n_bins conf = [0.0] * n_bins cnt = [0] * n_bins for p, y in zip(probs, ys): b = min(int(p * n_bins), n_bins - 1) cnt[b] += 1 conf[b] += p bins[b] += 1.0 if p >= 0.5 and y == 1 or p < 0.5 and y == 0 else 0.0 tot = sum(cnt) if tot == 0: return 0.0 e = 0.0 for i in range(n_bins): if cnt[i]: acc = bins[i] / cnt[i] e += cnt[i] / tot * abs(acc - conf[i] / cnt[i]) return e def noul_metrics(n_rows, temp=1.0): probs = [r["p"] for r in n_rows] ys = [r["y"] for r in n_rows] if temp != 1.0: probs = [1.0 / (1.0 + math.exp(-(math.log(p / (1 - p + 1e-9))) / temp)) for p in probs] acc = sum(1 for p, y in zip(probs, ys) if (p >= 0.5) == (y == 1)) / len(n_rows) brier = sum((p - y) ** 2 for p, y in zip(probs, ys)) / len(n_rows) return {"n": len(n_rows), "acc": acc, "brier": brier, "ece": ece(probs, ys)} def choice_metrics(c_rows, temp=1.0): acc = 0 brier_total = 0.0 for r in c_rows: logit = torch.log(r["p"] + 1e-9) / temp probs = F.softmax(logit, dim=-1) pred = int(probs.argmax()) acc += (pred == r["y"]) y1h = torch.zeros_like(probs) y1h[r["y"]] = 1.0 brier_total += ((probs - y1h) ** 2).sum().item() n = len(c_rows) return {"n": n, "acc": acc / n, "brier": brier_total / n} def temperature_scan(n_rows, c_rows): """Pick the temperature that minimises ECE on a held-out split.""" half_n = len(n_rows) // 2 half_c = len(c_rows) // 2 best = {"nce": (1.0, 9e9), "cce": (1.0, 9e9)} for t in [0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 1.0, 1.2, 1.5, 2.0, 3.0]: mn = noul_metrics(n_rows[:half_n], t) if mn["ece"] < best["nce"][1]: best["nce"] = (t, mn["ece"]) return best def main(): ap = argparse.ArgumentParser() ap.add_argument("--ckpt", default="checkpoints/model.pt") args = ap.parse_args() device = "cuda" if torch.cuda.is_available() else "cpu" ck = torch.load(args.ckpt, map_location=device) cfg = SystemOneConfig(**ck["config"]) vocab = type("V", (), {"stoi": ck["vocab"], "oov": ck["vocab"].get("__oov__", 1)})() model = SystemOneModel(cfg).to(device) model.load_state_dict(ck["state_dict"]) from datasets import load_dataset ag = load_dataset("fancyzhx/ag_news") bq = load_dataset("google/boolq") st = load_dataset("stanfordnlp/sst2") # small eval splits subsample = {"agnews": 600, "boolq": 600, "sst2": 600} eval_examples, _ = build_examples({"agnews": ag, "boolq": bq, "sst2": st}, subsample) n_rows, c_rows = predict(model, eval_examples, vocab, cfg, device) print("--- noul (BoolQ+SST2) ---", noul_metrics(n_rows)) print("--- choice (AG News) ---", choice_metrics(c_rows)) ts = temperature_scan(n_rows, c_rows) print("best noul temperature:", ts["nce"][0], "ECE", round(ts["nce"][1], 4)) if __name__ == "__main__": main()