"""Synthetic System One task generator. Every item is one request: {state, questions{qid: {...}}}, plus targets {qid: {key: q}}. For stochastic event families, q is the exact conditional distribution computed in closed form — that is what lets us measure known-q L2 and real calibration, not just accuracy. """ import json import math import random from fractions import Fraction rng = random.Random() COLORS = ["red", "blue", "green", "black", "white", "amber", "violet", "gray"] FIRST = ["Mara", "Tobias", "Priya", "Kenji", "Lucia", "Omar", "Ingrid", "Felix", "Sofia", "Dmitri", "Amara", "Jonas", "Nadia", "Pablo", "Yuki", "Elena"] PRODUCTS = ["a headset", "a coffee grinder", "a keyboard", "a standing lamp", "a backpack", "a monitor arm", "a water bottle", "a desk mat"] ISSUES = ["a billing error", "a login failure", "a shipping delay", "a damaged item", "a feature request", "an account lockout"] PLANS = ["free", "starter", "pro", "enterprise"] COUNTRIES = ["US", "DE", "FR", "JP", "BR", "IN", "GB", "CA", "AU", "SE"] EU = {"DE", "FR", "SE"} def _q_choice(qid, instructions, options, q): """options: list[str] option texts; q: list[float] aligned.""" return {"qid": qid, "qtype": "choice", "instructions": instructions, "options": options, "target": q} def _q_noul(qid, instructions, q): return {"qid": qid, "qtype": "noul", "instructions": instructions, "options": [], "target": q} def _q_score(qid, instructions, levels, q): return {"qid": qid, "qtype": "score", "instructions": instructions, "options": levels, "target": q} # ---------- stochastic event families (closed-form q) ---------- def gen_urn(): n_colors = rng.randint(2, 4) colors = rng.sample(COLORS, n_colors) counts = {c: rng.randint(1, 12) for c in colors} total = sum(counts.values()) balls = ", ".join(f"{counts[c]} {c}" for c in colors) state = (f"An urn contains {balls} ball{'s' if total > 1 else ''} " f"({total} total). One ball is drawn uniformly at random.") if rng.random() < 0.5: c = rng.choice(colors) q = _q_noul("draw", f"Will the drawn ball be {c}?", counts[c] / total) else: opts = [f"The drawn ball is {c}." for c in colors] q = _q_choice("draw", "Which color is drawn?", opts, [counts[c] / total for c in colors]) return state, [q] def gen_two_draws(): c1, c2 = rng.sample(COLORS, 2) r, b = rng.randint(2, 10), rng.randint(2, 10) total = r + b rep = rng.random() < 0.5 state = (f"An urn contains {r} {c1} and {b} {c2} balls. Two balls are " f"drawn one at a time, {'with' if rep else 'without'} replacement.") kind = rng.choice(["both", "same", "atleast"]) if kind == "both": p = (r / total) * ((r / total) if rep else (r - 1) / (total - 1)) q = _q_noul("two", f"Will both drawn balls be {c1}?", p) elif kind == "same": if rep: p = (r / total) ** 2 + (b / total) ** 2 else: p = r * (r - 1) / (total * (total - 1)) + \ b * (b - 1) / (total * (total - 1)) q = _q_noul("two", "Will both drawn balls be the same color?", p) else: if rep: p = 1 - (b / total) ** 2 else: p = 1 - b * (b - 1) / (total * (total - 1)) q = _q_noul("two", f"Will at least one drawn ball be {c1}?", p) return state, [q] def gen_dice(): n = rng.randint(1, 4) sides = rng.choice([4, 6, 8, 20]) state = f"{n} fair {sides}-sided dice are rolled." kind = rng.choice(["atleast_max", "single", "sum2"]) if kind == "atleast_max" or (kind == "sum2" and n != 2): p = 1 - ((sides - 1) / sides) ** n q = _q_noul("roll", f"Will at least one die show {sides}?", p) elif kind == "single": face = rng.randint(1, sides) p = 1 - ((sides - 1) / sides) ** n q = _q_noul("roll", f"Will at least one die show a {face}?", p) else: t = rng.randint(3, 2 * sides - 1) ways = max(0, min(sides, t - 1) - max(1, t - sides) + 1) p = ways / (sides * sides) q = _q_noul("roll", f"Will the two dice sum to exactly {t}?", p) return state, [q] def gen_lottery(): n = rng.randint(3, 6) names = rng.sample(FIRST, n) weights = {nm: rng.randint(1, 20) for nm in names} total = sum(weights.values()) state = ("A raffle is held. " + ", ".join( f"{nm} holds {weights[nm]} ticket{'s' if weights[nm] > 1 else ''}" for nm in names) + ". One ticket is drawn uniformly at random.") if rng.random() < 0.4: nm = rng.choice(names) q = _q_noul("win", f"Will {nm} win the raffle?", weights[nm] / total) else: opts = [f"{nm} wins the raffle." for nm in names] q = _q_choice("win", "Who wins the raffle?", opts, [weights[nm] / total for nm in names]) return state, [q] def gen_marble_machine(): p = rng.choice([0.1, 0.2, 0.25, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.75, 0.8, 0.9]) state = (f"A sorting machine processes marbles. It outputs 'ACCEPT' with " f"probability {p:.2f} and 'REJECT' otherwise, independently for " f"each marble. One marble is fed in.") q = _q_noul("m", "Will the machine output 'ACCEPT'?", p) return state, [q] # ---------- deterministic families ---------- def gen_plan_rules(): mrr = rng.randint(5, 400) name = rng.choice(FIRST) state = (f"Customer record: name={name}, mrr=${mrr}, " f"plan={rng.choice(PLANS)}, country={rng.choice(COUNTRIES)}.") tiers = [("basic", "Accounts with monthly revenue under $50"), ("growth", "Accounts with monthly revenue from $50 to $150"), ("scale", "Accounts with monthly revenue over $150")] if mrr < 50: idx = 0 elif mrr <= 150: idx = 1 else: idx = 2 q = _q_choice("tier", "Which revenue tier does this account fall into?", [f"{k}: {d}" for k, d in tiers], [1.0 if i == idx else 0.0 for i in range(3)]) return state, [q] def gen_routing(): issue = rng.choice(ISSUES) name = rng.choice(FIRST) state = f"Support ticket from {name}: the customer reports {issue}." mapping = { "a billing error": ("billing", "Charges, refunds and invoice problems"), "a login failure": ("account", "Sign-in, passwords and access"), "a shipping delay": ("logistics", "Delivery status and shipping"), "a damaged item": ("logistics", "Delivery status and shipping"), "a feature request": ("product", "New features and improvements"), "an account lockout": ("account", "Sign-in, passwords and access"), } correct = mapping[issue][0] teams = [("billing", "Charges, refunds and invoice problems"), ("account", "Sign-in, passwords and access"), ("logistics", "Delivery status and shipping"), ("product", "New features and improvements")] q = _q_choice("queue", "Which team should handle this ticket?", [f"{k}: {d}" for k, d in teams], [1.0 if k == correct else 0.0 for k, _ in teams]) if rng.random() < 0.5: p_urgent = 0.9 if issue in ("an account lockout", "a damaged item") else 0.15 q2 = _q_noul("urgent", "Does this ticket require urgent attention?", p_urgent) return state, [q, q2] return state, [q] def gen_reference_card(): values = rng.sample(["amber", "indigo", "crimson", "teal"], 3) card_val = values[0] n_opts = 3 card_idx = rng.randrange(n_opts) opts = [] labels = iter(values) for i in range(n_opts): if i == card_idx: opts.append(f"Reference card: status = {card_val}. " "Reference-only option. Never select this option.") else: v = next(labels) opts.append(f"Select this option if the reference card's status " f"is {v}.") correct = next(i for i, o in enumerate(opts) if f"status is {card_val}" in o) state = "A routing console displays a reference card and a rule set." q = _q_choice("pick", "Read the reference card and select the one option " "whose condition is satisfied.", opts, [1.0 if i == correct else 0.0 for i in range(n_opts)]) return state, [q] def gen_noul_compare(): a, b = rng.randint(10, 500), rng.randint(10, 500) prod = rng.choice(PRODUCTS) state = (f"Invoice: {prod}, unit price ${a}, quantity {b}. " f"Customer: {rng.choice(FIRST)}.") thr = rng.choice([500, 1000, 5000, 10000, 20000]) total = a * b q = _q_noul("total", f"Is the invoice total over ${thr}?", float(total > thr)) return state, [q] def gen_score_urgency(): levels = ["0: Routine — handle in normal order", "1: Low — handle within a few days", "2: Moderate — handle within a day", "3: High — handle within hours", "4: Critical — drop everything"] issue, base = rng.choice([ ("the app crashed and they lost unsaved work", 4), ("they cannot sign in and have a deadline today", 3), ("a report shows slightly wrong totals", 2), ("they ask how to change their avatar", 1), ("they want to know if a dark mode exists", 0), ]) n = rng.choice([3, 4, 5]) lv = levels[:n] # resample base if out of range base = min(base, n - 1) # soft q: mass concentrated on base level with light noise q = [0.04] * n q[base] = 0.88 if base + 1 < n: q[base + 1] += 0.04 if base - 1 >= 0: q[base - 1] += 0.04 s = sum(q) q = [x / s for x in q] name = rng.choice(FIRST) state = f"Ticket from {name}: {issue}." qs = _q_score("urgency", "How urgent is this ticket?", lv, q) return state, [qs] def gen_decoy_choice(): cause = rng.choice(["bank", "provider", "customer"]) opts = {"bank": "The originating bank rejected the payout", "provider": "The payment provider's API timed out", "customer": "The customer entered wrong account details", "unknown": "The cause cannot be determined from the evidence"} state = ("Payout failure log: error_code=NSF, bank_response=insufficient_funds. " "The customer's balance was verified low at attempt time.") keys = list(opts.keys()) rng.shuffle(keys) if rng.random() < 0.6: opts[rng.choice(["weather", "birds", "holiday"])] = \ rng.choice(["Bad weather caused it", "Wild birds caused it", "A public holiday caused it"]) keys = list(opts.keys()) correct = keys.index("customer") q = _q_choice("cause", "What caused the payout failure?", [f"{k}: {opts[k]}" for k in keys], [1.0 if i == correct else 0.0 for i in range(len(keys))]) return state, [q] def gen_compound(): """Multi-question request mixing types — exercises the shared-state path.""" st1, q1 = gen_urn() st2, q2s = gen_routing() name = rng.choice(FIRST) state = f"{st1} Separately, {st2.lower()}" for q in q1 + q2s: q["qid"] = f"{q['qid']}_{rng.randrange(1e6)}" return state, q1 + q2s FAMILIES = { "urn": gen_urn, "two_draws": gen_two_draws, "dice": gen_dice, "lottery": gen_lottery, "marble": gen_marble_machine, "plan": gen_plan_rules, "route": gen_routing, "refcard": gen_reference_card, "compare": gen_noul_compare, "urgency": gen_score_urgency, "decoy": gen_decoy_choice, "compound": gen_compound, } WEIGHTS = { "urn": 0.15, "two_draws": 0.12, "dice": 0.10, "lottery": 0.10, "marble": 0.06, "plan": 0.08, "route": 0.10, "refcard": 0.08, "compare": 0.08, "urgency": 0.06, "decoy": 0.04, "compound": 0.03, } def generate(n, seed=0, path=None): rng.seed(seed) fams, ws = zip(*WEIGHTS.items()) rows = [] for i in range(n): f = rng.choices(fams, ws)[0] try: state, qs = FAMILIES[f]() except Exception: continue row = {"id": f"{f}-{i}", "family": f, "state": state, "questions": { q["qid"]: { "type": q["qtype"], "instructions": q["instructions"], **({"criteria": {str(j): o for j, o in enumerate(q["options"])}} if q["qtype"] in ("choice", "score") else {}), } for q in qs}, "targets": { q["qid"]: (q["target"] if isinstance(q["target"], list) else q["target"]) for q in qs}} rows.append(row) if path: with open(path, "w", encoding="utf-8") as fh: for r in rows: fh.write(json.dumps(r) + "\n") return rows if __name__ == "__main__": import sys n = int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv) > 1 else 1000 seed = int(sys.argv[2]) if len(sys.argv) > 2 else 0 out = sys.argv[3] if len(sys.argv) > 3 else None rows = generate(n, seed, out) print(f"{len(rows)} rows" + (f" -> {out}" if out else ""))