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scenario_id
string
release_controls_strength
float64
capability_growth_rate
float64
deployment_scale
float64
misuse_incidents_rate
float64
incident_visibility_index
float64
media_amplification_rate
float64
policy_response_lag_days
int64
regulatory_pressure_score
float64
market_volatility_index
float64
capital_access_friction
float64
buffer_mitigation_capacity
float64
buffer_trust_resilience
float64
cascade_severity_score
float64
label_cascade_event
int64
FIVE-001
0.74
0.14
0.52
0.11
0.34
0.3
18
0.36
0.28
0.24
0.71
0.7
0.38
0
FIVE-002
0.46
0.39
0.84
0.33
0.79
0.75
47
0.82
0.74
0.66
0.38
0.35
0.9
1
FIVE-003
0.63
0.22
0.66
0.18
0.48
0.44
26
0.5
0.42
0.36
0.58
0.6
0.55
0
FIVE-004
0.37
0.49
0.9
0.46
0.85
0.83
59
0.89
0.82
0.74
0.28
0.27
0.95
1
FIVE-005
0.55
0.3
0.73
0.24
0.6
0.56
35
0.63
0.56
0.49
0.5
0.48
0.69
0
FIVE-006
0.8
0.11
0.47
0.08
0.29
0.25
15
0.31
0.24
0.2
0.77
0.75
0.3
0
FIVE-007
0.32
0.53
0.94
0.58
0.92
0.9
65
0.93
0.9
0.83
0.22
0.2
0.98
1
FIVE-008
0.67
0.18
0.6
0.15
0.44
0.41
23
0.46
0.38
0.33
0.62
0.64
0.5
0
FIVE-009
0.44
0.42
0.86
0.36
0.82
0.79
50
0.86
0.78
0.69
0.34
0.32
0.92
1

What this repo does

This dataset tests whether a model can detect a five-node AI cascade.

You provide structured signals spanning:

  • release controls and capability growth
  • deployment scale and misuse pressure
  • incident visibility and media amplification
  • policy lag and regulatory pressure
  • market volatility and capital friction

The model predicts whether the interacting pressures cross into a cascade event.

Core cascade

This repo instantiates a five-node cascade:

  1. Release
  • release_controls_strength
  • capability_growth_rate
  1. Misuse
  • misuse_incidents_rate
  • deployment_scale
  1. Media
  • incident_visibility_index
  • media_amplification_rate
  1. Policy
  • policy_response_lag_days
  • regulatory_pressure_score
  1. Market
  • market_volatility_index
  • capital_access_friction

Prediction target

Target column:

  • label_cascade_event

Meaning:

  • 0 = multi-node strain remains governable
  • 1 = five-node cascade forms and propagates across systems

Row structure

Each row is a scenario snapshot.

Key columns:

  • release_controls_strength
  • capability_growth_rate
  • deployment_scale
  • misuse_incidents_rate
  • incident_visibility_index
  • media_amplification_rate
  • policy_response_lag_days
  • regulatory_pressure_score
  • market_volatility_index
  • capital_access_friction
  • buffer_mitigation_capacity
  • buffer_trust_resilience
  • cascade_severity_score

Files

  • data/train.csv
    10-line labeled sample

  • data/tester.csv
    10-line labeled sample

  • scorer.py
    Binary metrics and confusion matrix

Evaluation

Run:

python scorer.py --gold data/tester.csv --pred your_predictions.csv

Outputs:

  • accuracy
  • precision
  • recall
  • f1
  • confusion matrix

License

MIT

This dataset identifies a measurable coupling pattern associated with systemic instability. The sample demonstrates the geometry. Production-scale data determines operational exposure.

What Production Deployment Enables • 50K–1M row datasets calibrated to real operational patterns • Pair, triadic, and quad coupling analysis • Real-time coherence monitoring • Early warning before cascade events • Collapse surface and recovery window modeling • Integration and implementation support Small samples reveal structure. Scale reveals consequence.

Enterprise & Research Collaboration Clarus develops production-scale coherence monitoring infrastructure for critical systems across healthcare, finance, infrastructure, and regulatory domains. For dataset expansion, custom coherence scorers, or deployment architecture: team@clarusinvariant.com

Instability is detectable. Governance determines whether it propagates.

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