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scenario_id
string
ai_trading_penetration
float64
model_error_propagation_rate
float64
market_liquidity_thinning
float64
credit_spread_widening
float64
margin_call_velocity
float64
asset_price_volatility
float64
capital_flight_pressure
float64
bank_funding_stress
float64
regulatory_response_lag_days
int64
central_bank_intervention_intensity
float64
confidence_decay_index
float64
buffer_capital_adequacy
float64
buffer_liquidity_facilities
float64
cascade_severity_score
float64
label_cascade_event
int64
FIN-001
0.24
0.18
0.22
0.2
0.15
0.28
0.19
0.21
18
0.32
0.16
0.72
0.7
0.36
0
FIN-002
0.68
0.61
0.72
0.7
0.64
0.78
0.73
0.76
54
0.82
0.66
0.34
0.35
0.92
1
FIN-003
0.41
0.36
0.44
0.42
0.31
0.48
0.39
0.43
33
0.52
0.38
0.58
0.6
0.56
0
FIN-004
0.82
0.78
0.86
0.84
0.79
0.9
0.85
0.88
66
0.9
0.76
0.26
0.28
0.96
1
FIN-005
0.55
0.49
0.58
0.56
0.46
0.61
0.52
0.57
45
0.63
0.54
0.49
0.51
0.71
0
FIN-006
0.18
0.14
0.2
0.18
0.12
0.26
0.15
0.17
16
0.3
0.12
0.76
0.74
0.3
0
FIN-007
0.91
0.88
0.93
0.91
0.87
0.95
0.9
0.92
74
0.94
0.84
0.21
0.23
0.99
1
FIN-008
0.36
0.32
0.4
0.38
0.28
0.46
0.33
0.37
29
0.56
0.34
0.62
0.64
0.6
0
FIN-009
0.74
0.69
0.8
0.78
0.71
0.88
0.79
0.82
61
0.87
0.7
0.29
0.31
0.94
1

What this repo does

This dataset tests whether a model can detect a financial cascade where AI-driven trading and modeling errors propagate into liquidity stress, credit widening, and confidence collapse.

You provide structured signals describing:

  • AI trading penetration and error propagation
  • liquidity thinning and credit spread widening
  • margin pressure and volatility
  • regulatory lag and central bank response
  • confidence decay and buffer strength

The model predicts whether the interaction crosses into a cascade event.

Core cascade

Four interacting systems:

AI-driven markets

  • ai_trading_penetration
  • model_error_propagation_rate

Liquidity and credit

  • market_liquidity_thinning
  • credit_spread_widening

Financial stress propagation

  • margin_call_velocity
  • bank_funding_stress

Confidence and policy

  • confidence_decay_index
  • regulatory_response_lag_days

Prediction target

Target column:

  • label_cascade_event

Meaning:

  • 0 = financial stress remains containable
  • 1 = liquidity and confidence collapse propagate across markets and institutions

Row structure

Each row is a scenario snapshot.

Key columns:

  • ai_trading_penetration
  • model_error_propagation_rate
  • market_liquidity_thinning
  • credit_spread_widening
  • margin_call_velocity
  • asset_price_volatility
  • capital_flight_pressure
  • bank_funding_stress
  • regulatory_response_lag_days
  • central_bank_intervention_intensity
  • confidence_decay_index
  • buffer_capital_adequacy
  • buffer_liquidity_facilities
  • cascade_severity_score

Files

  • data/train.csv
    10-line labeled sample

  • data/tester.csv
    10-line labeled sample

  • scorer.py
    Binary metrics and confusion matrix

Evaluation

Run:

python scorer.py --gold data/tester.csv --pred your_predictions.csv

Outputs:

  • accuracy
  • precision
  • recall
  • f1
  • confusion matrix

License

MIT

This dataset identifies a measurable coupling pattern associated with systemic instability. The sample demonstrates the geometry. Production-scale data determines operational exposure.

What Production Deployment Enables • 50K–1M row datasets calibrated to real operational patterns • Pair, triadic, and quad coupling analysis • Real-time coherence monitoring • Early warning before cascade events • Collapse surface and recovery window modeling • Integration and implementation support Small samples reveal structure. Scale reveals consequence.

Enterprise & Research Collaboration Clarus develops production-scale coherence monitoring infrastructure for critical systems across healthcare, finance, infrastructure, and regulatory domains. For dataset expansion, custom coherence scorers, or deployment architecture: team@clarusinvariant.com

Instability is detectable. Governance determines whether it propagates.

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