Datasets:
scenario_id string | ai_trading_penetration float64 | model_error_propagation_rate float64 | market_liquidity_thinning float64 | credit_spread_widening float64 | margin_call_velocity float64 | asset_price_volatility float64 | capital_flight_pressure float64 | bank_funding_stress float64 | regulatory_response_lag_days int64 | central_bank_intervention_intensity float64 | confidence_decay_index float64 | buffer_capital_adequacy float64 | buffer_liquidity_facilities float64 | cascade_severity_score float64 | label_cascade_event int64 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FIN-001 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.2 | 0.15 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 18 | 0.32 | 0.16 | 0.72 | 0.7 | 0.36 | 0 |
FIN-002 | 0.68 | 0.61 | 0.72 | 0.7 | 0.64 | 0.78 | 0.73 | 0.76 | 54 | 0.82 | 0.66 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.92 | 1 |
FIN-003 | 0.41 | 0.36 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 0.31 | 0.48 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 33 | 0.52 | 0.38 | 0.58 | 0.6 | 0.56 | 0 |
FIN-004 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.86 | 0.84 | 0.79 | 0.9 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 66 | 0.9 | 0.76 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.96 | 1 |
FIN-005 | 0.55 | 0.49 | 0.58 | 0.56 | 0.46 | 0.61 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 45 | 0.63 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.71 | 0 |
FIN-006 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.2 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.26 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 16 | 0.3 | 0.12 | 0.76 | 0.74 | 0.3 | 0 |
FIN-007 | 0.91 | 0.88 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.87 | 0.95 | 0.9 | 0.92 | 74 | 0.94 | 0.84 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.99 | 1 |
FIN-008 | 0.36 | 0.32 | 0.4 | 0.38 | 0.28 | 0.46 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 29 | 0.56 | 0.34 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.6 | 0 |
FIN-009 | 0.74 | 0.69 | 0.8 | 0.78 | 0.71 | 0.88 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 61 | 0.87 | 0.7 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.94 | 1 |
What this repo does
This dataset tests whether a model can detect a financial cascade where AI-driven trading and modeling errors propagate into liquidity stress, credit widening, and confidence collapse.
You provide structured signals describing:
- AI trading penetration and error propagation
- liquidity thinning and credit spread widening
- margin pressure and volatility
- regulatory lag and central bank response
- confidence decay and buffer strength
The model predicts whether the interaction crosses into a cascade event.
Core cascade
Four interacting systems:
AI-driven markets
- ai_trading_penetration
- model_error_propagation_rate
Liquidity and credit
- market_liquidity_thinning
- credit_spread_widening
Financial stress propagation
- margin_call_velocity
- bank_funding_stress
Confidence and policy
- confidence_decay_index
- regulatory_response_lag_days
Prediction target
Target column:
- label_cascade_event
Meaning:
- 0 = financial stress remains containable
- 1 = liquidity and confidence collapse propagate across markets and institutions
Row structure
Each row is a scenario snapshot.
Key columns:
- ai_trading_penetration
- model_error_propagation_rate
- market_liquidity_thinning
- credit_spread_widening
- margin_call_velocity
- asset_price_volatility
- capital_flight_pressure
- bank_funding_stress
- regulatory_response_lag_days
- central_bank_intervention_intensity
- confidence_decay_index
- buffer_capital_adequacy
- buffer_liquidity_facilities
- cascade_severity_score
Files
data/train.csv
10-line labeled sampledata/tester.csv
10-line labeled samplescorer.py
Binary metrics and confusion matrix
Evaluation
Run:
python scorer.py --gold data/tester.csv --pred your_predictions.csv
Outputs:
- accuracy
- precision
- recall
- f1
- confusion matrix
License
MIT
This dataset identifies a measurable coupling pattern associated with systemic instability. The sample demonstrates the geometry. Production-scale data determines operational exposure.
What Production Deployment Enables • 50K–1M row datasets calibrated to real operational patterns • Pair, triadic, and quad coupling analysis • Real-time coherence monitoring • Early warning before cascade events • Collapse surface and recovery window modeling • Integration and implementation support Small samples reveal structure. Scale reveals consequence.
Enterprise & Research Collaboration Clarus develops production-scale coherence monitoring infrastructure for critical systems across healthcare, finance, infrastructure, and regulatory domains. For dataset expansion, custom coherence scorers, or deployment architecture: team@clarusinvariant.com
Instability is detectable. Governance determines whether it propagates.
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