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scenario_id
float64
infection_load
float64
immune_strain
float64
perfusion_deficit
float64
organ_drift
float64
buffer_capacity
float64
drift_gradient
float64
drift_velocity
float64
drift_acceleration
float64
boundary_distance
float64
secondary_boundary_distance
float64
boundary_competition_ratio
float64
boundary_uncertainty
float64
trajectory_uncertainty
float64
regime_confidence
float64
regime_transition_score
string
transition_direction
float64
regime_separation_margin
float64
transition_uncertainty
float64
transition_velocity
float64
intervention_leverage_score
float64
intervention_alignment_score
float64
rescue_window_width
float64
pathway_divergence_margin
float64
intervention_competition_ratio
string
primary_intervention_path
string
secondary_intervention_path
float64
intervention_uncertainty
float64
pathway_switch_velocity
float64
control_sequence_alignment_score
int64
control_horizon
float64
feedback_response_score
float64
intervention_timing_score
int64
adaptation_latency
float64
control_stability_margin
float64
sequence_divergence_margin
float64
controller_confidence
float64
recovery_consistency_score
int64
control_recalibration_count
string
terminal_pathway_state
float64
feedback_noise_ratio
float64
controller_oscillation_score
int64
rollback_trigger_count
float64
perturbation_radius
string
collapse_trigger
float64
recovery_distance
float64
recovery_gradient
float64
return_feasibility
float64
delta_infection_load
float64
delta_immune_strain
float64
delta_perfusion_deficit
float64
delta_organ_drift
float64
delta_buffer_capacity
float64
trajectory_shift
float64
minimal_intervention_path
string
stabilization_success
int64
label_sepsis_boundary
int64
__index_level_0__
string
0.88
0.79
0.74
0.7
0.27
0.71
0.64
0.24
0.16
0.33
0.74
0.18
0.24
0.82
0.81
toward_failure
0.41
0.21
0.57
0.84
0.79
0.39
0.25
0.64
source_control_then_antibiotics_then_fluids
pressor_then_imaging_then_support
0.19
0.16
0.81
3
0.77
0.8
1
0.73
0.23
0.82
0.78
1
stabilized
0.11
0.1
0
0.44
bacteremic_escalation
0.3
-0.4
0.76
-0.18
-0.16
-0.15
-0.13
-0.14
0.22
-0.23
source_control_then_antibiotics_then_fluids
1
1
sepc001
0.93
0.85
0.81
0.78
0.21
0.79
0.72
0.29
0.11
0.27
0.82
0.24
0.29
0.78
0.88
toward_failure
0.35
0.25
0.64
0.8
0.68
0.29
0.19
0.68
pressor_then_imaging_then_support
source_control_then_antibiotics_then_fluids
0.28
0.24
0.55
1
0.5
0.54
3
0.35
0.19
0.65
0.43
3
unstable_recovery
0.17
0.3
1
0.58
septic_shock_acceleration
0.46
-0.17
0.4
-0.08
-0.05
-0.04
-0.06
-0.05
0.04
-0.05
pressor_then_imaging_then_support
0
0
sepc002
0.8
0.71
0.66
0.61
0.36
0.53
0.47
0.14
0.27
0.42
0.58
0.15
0.18
0.85
0.67
toward_failure
0.48
0.17
0.41
0.75
0.72
0.53
0.17
0.57
antibiotics_then_fluids_then_monitoring
source_control_then_antibiotics_then_fluids
0.14
0.1
0.75
2
0.76
0.77
1
0.7
0.16
0.79
0.74
1
partially_stabilized
0.08
0.12
0
0.34
occult_source_persistence
0.27
-0.3
0.71
-0.13
-0.11
-0.1
-0.09
-0.08
0.15
-0.14
antibiotics_then_fluids_then_monitoring
1
1
sepc003
0.96
0.89
0.86
0.84
0.17
0.85
0.77
0.31
0.08
0.23
0.87
0.28
0.33
0.75
0.93
toward_failure
0.29
0.27
0.71
0.77
0.58
0.21
0.15
0.73
mechanical_support_then_relook_then_rescue
pressor_then_imaging_then_support
0.34
0.3
0.44
0
0.39
0.41
4
0.24
0.14
0.58
0.31
4
relapse
0.22
0.38
2
0.66
refractory_septic_boundary
0.55
-0.1
0.25
-0.03
-0.02
-0.02
-0.02
-0.03
0.01
-0.03
mechanical_support_then_relook_then_rescue
0
0
sepc004
0.84
0.75
0.69
0.65
0.32
0.6
0.53
0.16
0.22
0.39
0.63
0.16
0.21
0.84
0.74
toward_failure
0.45
0.18
0.47
0.81
0.76
0.46
0.22
0.61
source_control_then_antibiotics_then_fluids
antibiotics_then_fluids_then_monitoring
0.17
0.13
0.78
2
0.8
0.79
1
0.73
0.2
0.81
0.78
1
stabilized
0.1
0.09
0
0.4
hemodynamic_sepsis_breakpoint
0.32
-0.34
0.75
-0.15
-0.13
-0.12
-0.11
-0.1
0.18
-0.17
source_control_then_antibiotics_then_fluids
1
1
sepc005
0.89
0.81
0.77
0.73
0.26
0.72
0.65
0.24
0.15
0.3
0.75
0.2
0.25
0.81
0.82
toward_failure
0.38
0.22
0.58
0.82
0.65
0.32
0.19
0.65
fluids_then_pressor_support_then_source_control
source_control_then_antibiotics_then_fluids
0.24
0.2
0.62
1
0.58
0.61
2
0.49
0.19
0.69
0.59
2
unstable_recovery
0.15
0.26
1
0.49
delayed_source_control
0.41
-0.21
0.46
-0.07
-0.06
-0.05
-0.05
-0.04
0.06
-0.07
fluids_then_pressor_support_then_source_control
1
0
sepc006
0.76
0.63
0.57
0.52
0.4
0.44
0.38
0.1
0.33
0.48
0.52
0.12
0.16
0.87
0.58
toward_failure
0.52
0.14
0.34
0.71
0.68
0.58
0.16
0.55
monitoring_then_antibiotics_then_fluids
antibiotics_then_fluids_then_monitoring
0.13
0.09
0.72
2
0.73
0.75
1
0.68
0.15
0.77
0.71
1
partially_stabilized
0.08
0.12
0
0.3
transient_inflammatory_spike
0.26
-0.26
0.69
-0.12
-0.09
-0.08
-0.08
-0.07
0.14
-0.13
monitoring_then_antibiotics_then_fluids
1
1
sepc007
0.92
0.84
0.8
0.79
0.22
0.8
0.73
0.28
0.1
0.26
0.83
0.25
0.29
0.77
0.89
toward_failure
0.33
0.25
0.65
0.77
0.54
0.26
0.16
0.7
pressor_then_imaging_then_support
mechanical_support_then_relook_then_rescue
0.31
0.28
0.45
0
0.4
0.4
4
0.23
0.14
0.55
0.3
4
irreversible_collapse
0.23
0.41
2
0.67
refractory_lactate_spiral
0.6
-0.08
0.2
-0.02
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
-0.02
0.01
-0.03
pressor_then_imaging_then_support
0
0
sepc008
0.81
0.72
0.66
0.61
0.35
0.55
0.49
0.15
0.24
0.41
0.59
0.15
0.19
0.85
0.69
toward_failure
0.47
0.17
0.44
0.8
0.74
0.49
0.2
0.59
source_control_then_antibiotics_then_fluids
fluids_then_pressor_support_then_source_control
0.17
0.12
0.76
3
0.77
0.78
1
0.71
0.18
0.8
0.75
1
stabilized
0.09
0.1
0
0.37
mixed_sepsis_shift
0.29
-0.32
0.74
-0.14
-0.12
-0.11
-0.1
-0.09
0.17
-0.15
source_control_then_antibiotics_then_fluids
1
1
sepc009

ClarusC64/clinical-five-node-sepsis-cascade-boundary-v1.0

What this repo does

This repository provides a Clarus v1.0 benchmark for sepsis cascade boundary dynamics using a five-node clinical cascade:

  • infection_load
  • immune_strain
  • perfusion_deficit
  • organ_drift
  • buffer_capacity

The v1.0 upgrade is Closed-Loop Control Geometry.

The task is no longer limited to detecting deterioration, forecasting cascade spread, or ranking one intervention against another.

It tests whether a controller can:

  • choose the right cascade rescue path
  • apply that path in the right sequence
  • read feedback from the system
  • adapt in time
  • maintain durable recovery across the cascade

Concept ladder

Version Capability
v0.1 cascade detection
v0.2 trajectory awareness
v0.3 cascade forecasting
v0.4 boundary discovery
v0.5 recovery geometry
v0.6 intervention reasoning
v0.7 uncertainty-aware intervention
v0.8 regime transition geometry
v0.9 intervention competition geometry
v1.0 closed-loop control geometry

Core five-node cascade

infection_load

Primary infectious burden initiating the cascade.

immune_strain

Inflammatory and immune activation burden.

perfusion_deficit

Circulatory under-delivery and tissue oxygen deficit.

organ_drift

Downstream organ instability and movement toward failure.

buffer_capacity

Remaining reserve available to absorb cascade stress.

Clinical variable mapping

Variable Clinical interpretation Typical measurement proxies
infection_load infectious burden source severity, bacteremia load, microbial persistence
immune_strain inflammatory stress CRP trend, cytokine surge, white-cell dysregulation
perfusion_deficit circulatory compromise lactate, MAP instability, capillary refill deficit
organ_drift downstream organ destabilization creatinine drift, bilirubin drift, ventilation burden
buffer_capacity remaining reserve perfusion reserve, organ tolerance, metabolic reserve

These five variables define the structural state of the septic cascade rather than isolated bedside readings.

Prediction target

The target is label_sepsis_boundary.

Default stronger v1.0 rule

label = 1 if all of the following hold:

  • stabilization_success = 1
  • trajectory_shift < -0.10
  • intervention_alignment_score >= 0.60
  • control_sequence_alignment_score >= 0.60
  • recovery_consistency_score >= 0.60

Mid-strength variant

label = 1 if:

  • stabilization_success = 1
  • trajectory_shift < -0.10
  • control_sequence_alignment_score >= 0.60

Relaxed variant

label = 1 if stabilization_success = 1

Example row

The following simplified row shows a near-miss under the strict v1.0 label rule.

Field Value
stabilization_success 1
trajectory_shift -0.11
intervention_alignment_score 0.64
control_sequence_alignment_score 0.59
recovery_consistency_score 0.74

Four of the five conditions are satisfied.

But control_sequence_alignment_score = 0.59 falls below the threshold of 0.60.

Therefore:

label = 0

This shows why v1.0 rewards true closed-loop cascade control, not temporary improvement alone.

Row structure

Each row represents a sepsis cascade boundary scenario with:

  • five cascade nodes
  • trajectory signals
  • boundary geometry
  • regime transition signals
  • intervention competition signals
  • closed-loop control signals
  • perturbation and recovery signals
  • delta signals
  • intervention path and final label

Signal groups

Five-node cascade variables

  • infection_load
  • immune_strain
  • perfusion_deficit
  • organ_drift
  • buffer_capacity

Trajectory signals

  • drift_gradient
  • drift_velocity
  • drift_acceleration
  • trajectory_shift

Boundary geometry

  • boundary_distance
  • secondary_boundary_distance
  • boundary_competition_ratio

Uncertainty signals

  • boundary_uncertainty
  • trajectory_uncertainty
  • regime_confidence
  • transition_uncertainty
  • intervention_uncertainty
  • controller_confidence
  • feedback_noise_ratio

Regime transition signals

  • regime_transition_score
  • transition_direction
  • regime_separation_margin
  • transition_velocity

Intervention signals

  • intervention_leverage_score
  • intervention_alignment_score
  • rescue_window_width
  • pathway_divergence_margin
  • intervention_competition_ratio
  • primary_intervention_path
  • secondary_intervention_path
  • pathway_switch_velocity
  • minimal_intervention_path

Closed-loop control signals (v1.0)

  • control_sequence_alignment_score
  • control_horizon
  • feedback_response_score
  • intervention_timing_score
  • adaptation_latency
  • control_stability_margin
  • sequence_divergence_margin
  • controller_confidence
  • recovery_consistency_score
  • control_recalibration_count
  • terminal_pathway_state

Possible terminal pathway states include:

  • stabilized
  • partially_stabilized
  • unstable_recovery
  • relapse
  • irreversible_collapse

Optional control diagnostics included

  • feedback_noise_ratio
  • controller_oscillation_score
  • rollback_trigger_count

Recovery signals

  • recovery_distance
  • recovery_gradient
  • return_feasibility

Perturbation signals

  • perturbation_radius
  • collapse_trigger

Delta signals

  • delta_infection_load
  • delta_immune_strain
  • delta_perfusion_deficit
  • delta_organ_drift
  • delta_buffer_capacity

Dataset construction

Each scenario is generated using a structured simulation of five-node sepsis cascade deterioration and intervention sequences.

1. Cascade initialization

A baseline septic cascade state is sampled across the five nodes.

2. Instability evolution

The cascade evolves using trajectory signals that determine movement toward collapse or recovery boundaries.

3. Intervention competition

Candidate rescue sequences are evaluated using intervention competition geometry.

4. Closed-loop control execution

A selected rescue path is applied through a sequence of actions.

Control signals measure:

  • sequence alignment
  • timing
  • feedback interpretation
  • adaptation speed
  • durability of recovery across the cascade

The final state determines:

  • stabilization_success
  • terminal_pathway_state
  • label_sepsis_boundary

Files

  • data/train.csv
    Labeled training set with the full v1.0 schema.

  • data/tester.csv
    Test-style file. stabilization_success is withheld.

  • scorer.py
    Reference scorer for binary metrics and v1.0 control diagnostics.

  • benchmark_spec.json
    Canonical machine-readable benchmark spec.

  • dataset_schema.json
    Machine-readable structural schema with column groups, types, ranges, and row order.

Evaluation

Primary metric

  • recall_correct_control_sequence_selection

Secondary metric

  • false_effective_control_rate

Binary metrics

  • accuracy
  • precision
  • recall
  • f1
  • confusion matrix

Closed-loop diagnostics

  • primary_intervention_path_accuracy
  • secondary_intervention_path_accuracy
  • control_sequence_alignment_accuracy
  • control_horizon_error
  • feedback_response_accuracy
  • intervention_timing_accuracy
  • high_uncertainty_control_miss_rate
  • narrow_window_control_miss_rate
  • adaptation_latency_error
  • control_stability_error
  • recovery_consistency_error
  • recalibration_overuse_rate
  • controller_oscillation_misread_rate
  • terminal_pathway_state_accuracy

Structural interpretation

Earlier Clarus datasets asked:

Which rescue path is best?

v1.0 asks a harder question:

Can the controller stay aligned with reality while a five-node cascade evolves?

Real systems fail not only because the first action is wrong.

They also fail because:

  • feedback is misread
  • adaptation is delayed
  • interventions are mistimed
  • control oscillations destabilize recovery

v1.0 measures these failure modes directly.

Dataset limitations

This dataset models structural control dynamics, not detailed clinical treatment protocols.

Important limitations:

  • intervention paths are simplified abstractions
  • control signals represent structural decision quality, not pharmacological precision
  • physiological variables are normalized system indicators rather than raw bedside measurements
  • the dataset does not capture the full biological variability of real sepsis cascades

The benchmark evaluates control reasoning, not medical safety.

Intended use

This dataset is intended for research on:

  • instability prediction
  • sequential decision reasoning
  • closed-loop cascade control modeling
  • intervention planning under uncertainty
  • AI robustness in dynamic clinical-like environments

Not intended for

This dataset must not be used for:

  • real clinical decision support
  • medical diagnosis
  • treatment recommendation systems
  • automated ICU control systems
  • deployment in patient care environments

Structural note

This v1.0 dataset marks the move from intervention competition to actual control logic across a five-node cascade.

The benchmark asks whether the controller stays aligned with reality across time.

That is the threshold where Clarus becomes a control-layer instrument rather than only a detection or ranking layer.

Production deployment

This dataset format is suitable for controlled benchmarking in domains where sequential intervention quality matters more than one-shot classification.

Examples include:

  • sepsis cascade stabilization
  • ICU escalation pathway planning
  • multistage rescue benchmarking
  • distributed system control
  • multi-step recovery planning

Enterprise and research collaboration

This repo is part of the broader Clarus ladder for modeling instability, recovery, and control under feedback.

It is designed for:

  • benchmark development
  • model evaluation
  • intervention policy testing
  • control-sequence auditing
  • future cross-domain transfer into other high-stakes systems

License

MIT

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