Datasets:

ClarusC64
/

clinical-temporal-5node-pressure-buf-lag-cpl-recruit-fail-trial-insolvency-v0.1

id string	context string	step_unit string	pressure_t0 float64	pressure_t1 float64	pressure_t2 float64	pressure_t3 float64	buffer_t0 float64	buffer_t1 float64	buffer_t2 float64	buffer_t3 float64	lag_t0 float64	lag_t1 float64	lag_t2 float64	lag_t3 float64	coupling_t0 float64	coupling_t1 float64	coupling_t2 float64	coupling_t3 float64	cross_step int64	notes string	label_cascade_state int64
RFI-0001	Enrollment on plan. Site activation smooth. Runway healthy. Vendor deliverables on time.	months	0.22	0.26	0.28	0.3	0.86	0.84	0.82	0.8	0.18	0.2	0.22	0.24	0.3	0.34	0.36	0.38	0	stable execution	0
RFI-0002	Enrollment slightly behind. Rapid outreach. Extra sites planned. Burn monitored.	months	0.34	0.4	0.44	0.46	0.78	0.74	0.72	0.7	0.22	0.24	0.26	0.28	0.34	0.38	0.4	0.42	0	recoverable	0
RFI-0003	Recruitment slows. Screen failures rise. Decision cadence slows. CRO timeline rigid.	months	0.48	0.6	0.72	0.84	0.7	0.6	0.46	0.34	0.28	0.44	0.66	0.84	0.42	0.58	0.74	0.88	2	runway erosion	1
RFI-0004	Site activation delayed. Budget reforecast late. Vendor obligations lock in.	months	0.52	0.64	0.76	0.88	0.66	0.54	0.4	0.28	0.32	0.54	0.74	0.88	0.5	0.66	0.8	0.9	2	cross t1-t2	1
RFI-0005	Runway tight. Bridge financing uncertain. Enrollment misses widen. Contract penalties trigger.	months	0.56	0.7	0.82	0.92	0.62	0.5	0.34	0.22	0.36	0.6	0.82	0.92	0.56	0.72	0.88	0.94	1	early crossing	1
RFI-0006	Early under-enrollment detected. Fast site expansion. Burn reduced. Runway restored.	months	0.44	0.52	0.5	0.48	0.72	0.76	0.78	0.8	0.3	0.26	0.22	0.2	0.46	0.44	0.4	0.38	0	intervention holds	0
RFI-0007	Recruitment lag persists. Leadership review delayed. Vendor coupling tight across sites.	months	0.5	0.62	0.78	0.9	0.68	0.56	0.38	0.26	0.28	0.5	0.76	0.9	0.48	0.64	0.82	0.92	1	lag compounding	1
RFI-0008	Enrollment dips at t1. Rapid eligibility tweak improves flow. Costs controlled.	months	0.46	0.58	0.6	0.56	0.66	0.62	0.68	0.7	0.4	0.34	0.28	0.24	0.52	0.5	0.46	0.42	0	recovery path	0
RFI-0009	Enrollment misses widen. Spend continues. Financing slow. Insolvency risk locks in.	months	0.58	0.72	0.86	0.94	0.6	0.48	0.32	0.2	0.34	0.62	0.86	0.94	0.58	0.74	0.9	0.96	2	trial insolvency lock-in	1

What this repo does

This dataset tests whether a model can detect a clinical trial drifting over time from recruitment failure into trial insolvency lock-in by reading a short ordered window of signals and predicting whether the program crosses into cascade lock-in by the final step.

Core quad

pressure
buffer
lag
coupling

Prediction target

label_cascade_state

Row structure

One row represents a short time window (t0–t3) across trial months. It includes time-series values for pressure (enrollment shortfall and burn), buffer capacity (funding runway and operational margin), governance lag (decision and remediation latency), and coupling tightness (vendor contracts and site dependency). The label marks whether insolvency lock-in is reached by t3.

Files

data/train.csv
data/tester.csv
scorer.py

Evaluation

Run predictions on tester.csv
Score with scorer.py

License

MIT

Structural Note

This dataset identifies a measurable coupling pattern associated with systemic instability.
The sample demonstrates the geometry.
Production-scale data determines operational exposure.

What Production Deployment Enables

• 50K–1M row datasets calibrated to real operational patterns
• Pair, triadic, and quad coupling analysis
• Real-time coherence monitoring
• Early warning before cascade events
• Collapse surface and recovery window modeling
• Integration and implementation support

Small samples reveal structure.
Scale reveals consequence.

Enterprise & Research Collaboration

Clarus develops production-scale coherence monitoring infrastructure for critical systems across healthcare, finance, infrastructure, and regulatory domains.

For dataset expansion, custom coherence scorers, or deployment architecture:
team@clarusinvariant.com

Instability is detectable.
Governance determines whether it propagates.

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Total file size:

10.6 kB