id
stringclasses
6 values
date_window
stringclasses
6 values
market_context
stringclasses
6 values
inferred_agent_activity
stringclasses
6 values
positioning_proxy_summary
stringclasses
6 values
liquidity_conditions
stringclasses
5 values
volatility_context
stringclasses
5 values
crowded_agent_type
stringclasses
5 values
capacity_utilization_score
float64
0.42
0.86
reversal_risk_score
float64
0.22
0.76
unwind_trigger_conditions
stringclasses
6 values
time_to_capacity_event_hours
int64
0
72
notes
stringclasses
6 values
constraints
stringclasses
1 value
gold_checklist
stringclasses
1 value
MACC-001
2025-01-08_to_2025-01-10
Nasdaq futures trending up
cta_trend dominant buy programs
trend_model_signals maxed; exposure proxy elevated
liquidity good
low_vol
cta_trend
0.86
0.62
trend_breakdown; vol_spike; stop_level_hit
48
CTA long nearing limit
Market only. Infer constraints.
agent+capacity+risk
MACC-002
2025-02-12_to_2025-02-14
rates shock
options desks hedging aggressively
gamma exposure negative; dealer hedge flow rising
liquidity thinning
high_vol
options_hedging
0.78
0.7
vol_surface_kink; intraday_gap; liquidity_drop
24
Dealer hedge capacity strained
Market only. Infer constraints.
agent+capacity+risk
MACC-003
2025-03-18_to_2025-03-21
credit widening
levered funds forced de-risk
leverage proxy high; margin stress signs
liquidity patchy
risk_off
distressed_seller
0.74
0.76
margin_call; bid_withdrawal; spread_gap
18
Forced selling risk rising
Market only. Infer constraints.
agent+capacity+risk
MACC-004
2025-04-02_to_2025-04-05
equities stable
market makers providing depth
inventory stable; hedges balanced
liquidity strong
low_vol
market_maker
0.42
0.22
inventory_limit; volatility_jump
0
No crowding
Market only. Infer constraints.
agent+capacity+risk
MACC-005
2025-05-20_to_2025-05-23
energy shock
trend+hedge flows coincide
trend long crowded; hedging demand rising
liquidity thinning
shock_vol
cta_trend
0.81
0.68
trend_break; policy_headline; vol_spike
36
Crowding with shock catalyst
Market only. Infer constraints.
agent+capacity+risk
MACC-006
2025-06-10_to_2025-06-12
single-theme rally
fundamental crowd into same leaders
ownership proxy concentrated; breadth weak
liquidity ok
moderate_vol
fundamental_growth
0.69
0.55
earnings_miss; guidance_cut; breadth_break
72
Concentration risk
Market only. Infer constraints.
agent+capacity+risk