title: The war, refugees, and the future of Ukraine's population
abstract: Abstract This study analyses the effect of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022 on the future of Ukraine's population. We conduct a series of population projections with different assumptions on the proportion of refugees that may return to Ukraine. Our projections show that if past demographic trends continue, Ukraine's population is projected to decline by one‐sixth over the next two decades and become older. These trends are largely driven by past and current demographic developments: continu
journal: Population Space and Place