title: Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics in Ukraine: The Impact of a Full-Scale War
abstract: This research paper addresses the forecasting of Ukraine’s macroeconomic dynamics amidst a full-scale war, which has profoundly impacted its economy, causing disruptions in key sectors like agriculture and energy. The significance of this research lies in its focus on an economy facing severe wartime disruptions and providing crucial forecasts for recovery and policy planning. The study uses the ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model to analyse various economic indicators, includ
journal: SocioEconomic Challenges