title: Upstream operations: resilience to malign intent – ‘Analogical reasoning’ for new options to detect and engage
abstract: Ukraine’s territorial sovereignty was subverted and borders likely irrevocably re-written by Russia’s invasion and annexation of Crimea in 2014. Against this unhappy backdrop, and with activities ongoing in other areas of Ukraine as well as the global rise of the ‘self-affiliating franchise’ model of terrorist group expansion – the hope for early and effective upstream interventions by liberal democracies to avoid costly future downstream commitments has seemingly become a good deal more difficu