title: Dependence between mortality in regions and prevalence of active SARS-COV2 carriers and resources available to public healthcare organizations
abstract: The paper dwells on certain mathematical models showing how epidemics develop, namely, logistic ones, SIR-model, and some others. There is also a review of articles that focus on such models showing dynamics of incidence with COVID-19 infection. These models are often successfully applied for data collected in a whole country but on a regional level there are difficulties due to peculiarities of calculating mortality figures in Russia. In this case regression models can be useful with their obvi
journal: Health risk analysis