title: Random Dictatorships
abstract: <JATS1:p>Post-Soviet Eurasia continues to puzzle observers, defying expectations of experts. Most Russia watchers failed to predict the full-scale invasion against Ukraine in 2022, and this failure triggered intensive debates and multiple rounds of self-reflection.Random Dictatorships: Unpredictability of Authoritarian Politics in Eurasiaargues that the supposedly unexpected turns of Eurasian politics are a manifestation of a deeper phenomenon – researchers’ limited ability to predict the policy