title: Operational oil spill monitoring and forecasting in the Kerch Strait accident in December 2024
abstract: On 15 December 2024, a severe storm in the Kerch Strait led to catastrophic incidents involving two Russian oil tankers, Volgoneft-212 and Volgoneft-239. The Volgoneft-212 broke apart, spilling approximately 4,900 tonnes of mazut into the Black Sea, while Volgoneft-239, damaged and aground, leaked an additional 2,400 tonnes.To assess and mitigate the environmental impact, simulations were initiated immediately using the Medslik-II oil spill model. These simulations utilized analysis and forecast