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Publish reviewed Terminal Pro research aggregates

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README.md CHANGED
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  ---
 
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  license: cc-by-4.0
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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  ---
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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  ---
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+ pretty_name: DX Terminal Pro Research Aggregates
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  license: cc-by-4.0
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+ language:
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+ - en
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+ tags:
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+ - tabular
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+ - agent-evaluation
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+ - research-aggregates
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+ - arxiv:2604.26091
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+ - arxiv:2609.05663
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+ configs:
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+ - config_name: market_behavior
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+ default: true
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+ data_files:
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+ - split: observations
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+ path: data/market_behavior.csv
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+ - config_name: mandate_compilation
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+ data_files:
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+ - split: observations
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+ path: data/mandate_compilation.csv
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  ---
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+
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+ # DX Terminal Pro research aggregates
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+
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+ Nine published research records from DX Research Group's Terminal Pro work. These are small aggregate evidence tables. They contain no participant-level decision logs or training trajectories.
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+
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+ The two configurations have different units of analysis:
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+
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+ | Configuration | Records | What a row represents |
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+ |---|---:|---|
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+ | `market_behavior` | 4 | A reported event or token-window aggregate from the bounded 21-day real-capital Terminal Pro deployment |
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+ | `mandate_compilation` | 5 | A reported pre-launch comparison or historical live setting gradient |
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+
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+ The market-behavior rows describe the historical Base deployment. The mandate table contains three controlled pre-launch examples and two historical live gradients. Do not pool these as independent trials from one experiment. The earlier 2025 DX Terminal simulation is not included.
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+
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+ ## Load the tables
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+
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+ ```python
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+ from datasets import load_dataset
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+
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+ market = load_dataset(
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+ "DXRG/dx-terminal-pro-research-aggregates",
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+ "market_behavior",
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+ split="observations",
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+ )
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+ controls = load_dataset(
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+ "DXRG/dx-terminal-pro-research-aggregates",
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+ "mandate_compilation",
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+ split="observations",
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+ )
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+ ```
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+
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+
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+ ## Sources and provenance
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+
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+ Primary paper: [Operating-Layer Controls for Onchain Language-Model Agents Under Real Capital, arXiv:2604.26091v1](https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.26091v1). The [subsequent two-fleet paper](https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.05663v1) supplies the broader research context; these two configurations are Terminal Pro material.
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+
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+ The market CSV preserves the four records from [DXRG's published observations](https://www.dxrg.ai/research/dx-terminal-pro-market-behavior-observations.v1.csv), version 1.0.0. The control CSV preserves all five records and original columns from [the mandate-compilation evidence table](https://www.dxrg.ai/research/trading-agent-mandate-compilation-evidence.v1.csv), version 1.0.0, and adds `measure_scope`, `comparison_sample_size` and `sample_size_note` to clarify denominators. The original metadata objects are preserved in `source_context/`.
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+
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+ This release republishes reported measurements. It does not rerun the underlying analyses or independently validate the paper's findings. Dataset release version: 1.0.0.
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+
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+ ## Reading the measurements
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+
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+ - The fabricated-rule comparison measures sell decisions in the affected pre-launch populations. Its before/after percentages describe a combined intervention, not an isolated memory-label effect.
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+ - The paper's aggregate diagnosis of 4,900 reasoning traces is not the denominator for every comparison. Exact per-arm counts are not supplied for these records; missing sample-size values remain null.
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+ - Trading Activity is a percentage of invocations that produce trade actions. Trade Size is a share of available ETH used per trade. Their similar percentage notation does not make them the same measure.
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+ - The two-sided-flow percentage is trade-weighted and uses five-minute windows for the same token. A two-sided window contains at least one buy and one sell.
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+ - A sell cascade requires at least ten vaults selling the same token within ten minutes. The largest reported cascade and the total cascade count are different aggregates.
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+ - Missing numeric cells mean a field is not applicable or is not supplied in that source record. They must not be converted to zero.
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+
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+ The source locators, definitions and evidence-boundary columns accompany the values. No new causal effect, statistical significance, prevalence estimate or performance result is inferred by this packaging.
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+
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+ ## Scope and exclusions
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+
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+ No wallet, vault, user, account, agent, order or trade identifiers are included. User strategies, chat, model prompts and reasoning, per-participant returns and individual transaction records are excluded. The separate internal EVM construction evaluation and internal model-selection screen are also excluded.
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+
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+ The data describes a bounded historical experiment. It is not evidence of current DXAP Alpha performance, a general trading advantage, safety, or transfer to other venues. The published record includes limitations and negative findings; readers should use the linked papers for their full context.
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+
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+ ## License and citation
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+
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+ License: [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), consistent with the associated papers. Attribute DX Research Group and the source paper when reusing the tables. Cite the original frozen paper version for a reported result and this dataset version for the packaged tables.
data/mandate_compilation.csv ADDED
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+ test_id,evaluation_design,intervention_or_setting,fixed_components,observed_measure,result,interpretation,boundary,source_location,measure_scope,comparison_sample_size,sample_size_note
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+ fee-reading-order,controlled-prelaunch-test,Move the unchanged 2.3% fee sentence from paragraph eight to paragraph one,Model; wording; market data; evaluation setting,Fee citation in sampled reasoning traces,3% to 74%,Rendering order changed use of a fixed fact in the evaluated traces,Reasoning-trace behavior; not a return or execution result,Control-Loop Results,Sampled reasoning traces in the fee-position comparison,,Not supplied for this comparison in the linked public source; the aggregate 4900-trace diagnosis is not a per-arm denominator
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+ fabricated-sell-rule-compound-intervention,controlled-prelaunch-test,Label prior reasoning as context and prohibit invented named rules,Affected controlled test population and stated harness evaluation,Traces containing fabricated sell rules,57% to 3%,The compound harness intervention reduced fabricated policy in the affected traces,Compound intervention; attribution cannot be assigned to memory labeling alone,Control-Loop Results and Table 4,Sell decisions in the affected pre-launch populations,,Not supplied for this comparison in the linked public source; the aggregate 4900-trace diagnosis is not a per-arm denominator
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+ structured-tokenomics-context,controlled-prelaunch-test,Lead with the reap payout and provide structured tokenomics context,Affected controlled pre-launch population and stated evaluation protocol,Capital deployment,42.9% to 78.0%,Representation and ordering changed capital deployment in the affected population,Deployment behavior; not profitability,Control-Loop Results and Table 4,Capital deployed in the affected pre-launch populations,,Not supplied for this comparison in the linked public source; the aggregate 4900-trace diagnosis is not a per-arm denominator
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+ trading-activity-setting-gradient,bounded-historical-live-gradient,Trading Activity structured setting,Frozen live model and runtime across the bounded deployment,Share of invocations producing trade actions,2.8% to 16.8% across settings,The structured setting mapped to a sixfold frequency spread in the deployment,Observed live gradient; not a randomized ablation or evidence that higher activity was better,Production Behavior,Share of invocations producing trade actions by setting,,Not supplied for this comparison in the linked public source; the aggregate 4900-trace diagnosis is not a per-arm denominator
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+ trade-size-setting-gradient,bounded-historical-live-gradient,Trade Size structured setting,Frozen live model and runtime across the bounded deployment,Share of available ETH used per trade,About 2% to about 95% across settings,The structured setting mapped to a large sizing gradient in the deployment,Observed live gradient; not a randomized ablation or evidence that larger trades were better,Production Behavior,Share of available ETH used per trade by setting,,Not supplied for this comparison in the linked public source; the aggregate 4900-trace diagnosis is not a per-arm denominator
data/market_behavior.csv ADDED
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+ observation_id,measurement,evidence_class,event_day,token_label,window_minutes,buying_vaults,active_vaults,sell_count,median_inter_agent_gap_seconds,cascade_count,minimum_selling_vaults,trade_share_percent,minimum_buys,minimum_sells,same_token_required,communication_state,source_locator,interpretation,evidence_boundary
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+ feet-one-hour-buy-cascade,buy-cascade,historical-live-deployment,3,FEET,60,1544,3454,,,,,,,,,"The vaults did not communicate with each other.","Production Behavior Under a Frozen Harness, page 9","Shared market state was sufficient for a concentrated buy event in the reported deployment.","One bounded 21-day deployment; no single-cause, prevalence, alpha, profitability, universal-safety, or transfer claim."
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+ poopcoin-largest-sell-cascade,largest-reported-sell-cascade,historical-live-deployment,,POOPCOIN,,,,438,9.5,,,,,,,,"Production Behavior Under a Frozen Harness, page 10","The row describes the largest sell cascade reported for this token in the deployment.","One bounded 21-day deployment; no single-cause, prevalence, alpha, profitability, universal-safety, or transfer claim."
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+ tournament-sell-cascade-count,sell-cascade-count,historical-live-deployment,,,10,,,,,3878,10,,,,true,,"Production Behavior Under a Frozen Harness, page 10","The count uses the paper's registered sell-cascade definition across the tournament.","One bounded 21-day deployment; no single-cause, prevalence, alpha, profitability, universal-safety, or transfer claim."
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+ two-sided-token-window-share,trade-share-in-two-sided-token-windows,historical-live-deployment,,,5,,,,,,,92.9,1,1,true,,"Production Behavior Under a Frozen Harness, page 10","The shared model produced both buy and sell flow when mandates, positions, and settings differed.","One bounded 21-day deployment; no single-cause, prevalence, alpha, profitability, universal-safety, or transfer claim."
source_context/mandate_compilation.json ADDED
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+ {
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+ "schemaVersion": "dxrg-trading-agent-mandate-compilation-evidence/v1",
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+ "version": "1.0.0",
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+ "title": "DXRG Trading-Agent Mandate Compilation Evidence Table",
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+ "publishedDate": "2026-07-21",
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+ "publisher": "DX Research Group",
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+ "canonicalPage": "https://www.dxrg.ai/blogs/trading-agent-mandate-compiler",
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+ "methodology": "Each record states the evaluation design, intervention or setting, fixed components, observed measure, interpretation, and evidence boundary. Controlled pre-launch interventions and historical live setting gradients remain separate evidence classes.",
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+ "source": {
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+ "title": "Operating-Layer Controls for Onchain Language-Model Agents Under Real Capital",
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+ "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.26091"
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+ },
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+ "records": [
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+ {
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+ "testId": "fee-reading-order",
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+ "evaluationDesign": "controlled-prelaunch-test",
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+ "interventionOrSetting": "Move the unchanged 2.3% fee sentence from paragraph eight to paragraph one",
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+ "fixedComponents": "Model, wording, market data, and evaluation setting",
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+ "observedMeasure": "Fee citation in sampled reasoning traces",
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+ "result": "3% to 74%",
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+ "interpretation": "Rendering order changed use of a fixed fact in the evaluated traces",
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+ "boundary": "Reasoning-trace behavior, not a return or execution result",
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+ "sourceLocation": "Control-Loop Results"
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "testId": "fabricated-sell-rule-compound-intervention",
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+ "evaluationDesign": "controlled-prelaunch-test",
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+ "interventionOrSetting": "Label prior reasoning as context and prohibit invented named rules",
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+ "fixedComponents": "Affected controlled test population and stated harness evaluation",
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+ "observedMeasure": "Traces containing fabricated sell rules",
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+ "result": "57% to 3%",
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+ "interpretation": "The compound harness intervention reduced fabricated policy in the affected traces",
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+ "boundary": "Compound intervention; attribution cannot be assigned to memory labeling alone",
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+ "sourceLocation": "Control-Loop Results and Table 4"
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "testId": "structured-tokenomics-context",
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+ "evaluationDesign": "controlled-prelaunch-test",
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+ "interventionOrSetting": "Lead with the reap payout and provide structured tokenomics context",
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+ "fixedComponents": "Affected controlled pre-launch population and stated evaluation protocol",
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+ "observedMeasure": "Capital deployment",
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+ "result": "42.9% to 78.0%",
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+ "interpretation": "Representation and ordering changed capital deployment in the affected population",
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+ "boundary": "Deployment behavior, not profitability",
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+ "sourceLocation": "Control-Loop Results and Table 4"
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "testId": "trading-activity-setting-gradient",
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+ "evaluationDesign": "bounded-historical-live-gradient",
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+ "interventionOrSetting": "Trading Activity structured setting",
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+ "fixedComponents": "Frozen live model and runtime across the bounded deployment",
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+ "observedMeasure": "Share of invocations producing trade actions",
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+ "result": "2.8% to 16.8% across settings",
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+ "interpretation": "The structured setting mapped to a sixfold frequency spread in the deployment",
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+ "boundary": "Observed live gradient, not a randomized ablation or evidence that higher activity was better",
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+ "sourceLocation": "Production Behavior"
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "testId": "trade-size-setting-gradient",
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+ "evaluationDesign": "bounded-historical-live-gradient",
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+ "interventionOrSetting": "Trade Size structured setting",
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+ "fixedComponents": "Frozen live model and runtime across the bounded deployment",
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+ "observedMeasure": "Share of available ETH used per trade",
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+ "result": "About 2% to about 95% across settings",
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+ "interpretation": "The structured setting mapped to a large sizing gradient in the deployment",
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+ "boundary": "Observed live gradient, not a randomized ablation or evidence that larger trades were better",
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+ "sourceLocation": "Production Behavior"
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+ }
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+ ]
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+ }
source_context/market_behavior.json ADDED
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+ {
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+ "schemaVersion": "dxrg-terminal-pro-market-behavior-observations/v1",
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+ "version": "1.0.0",
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+ "title": "DX Terminal Pro Market Behavior Observations",
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+ "publishedDate": "2026-08-30",
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+ "publisher": "DX Research Group",
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+ "canonicalPage": "https://www.dxrg.ai/blogs/dx-terminal-pro",
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+ "evidenceClass": "historical-live-deployment",
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+ "deploymentScope": "One bounded 21-day deployment with a frozen production prompt and harness, one model family, and a 12-token onchain market.",
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+ "primarySource": {
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+ "title": "Operating-Layer Controls for Onchain Language-Model Agents Under Real Capital",
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+ "frozenVersion": "arXiv:2604.26091v1",
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+ "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.26091v1",
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+ "localPath": "/blogs/5/dx-terminal-pro-paper.pdf"
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+ },
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+ "definitions": {
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+ "sellCascade": "At least 10 vaults selling the same token within 10 minutes.",
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+ "twoSidedTokenWindow": "A five-minute window containing at least one buy and at least one sell for the same token."
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+ },
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+ "observations": [
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+ {
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+ "observationId": "feet-one-hour-buy-cascade",
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+ "measurement": "buy-cascade",
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+ "eventDay": 3,
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+ "tokenLabel": "FEET",
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+ "windowMinutes": 60,
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+ "buyingVaults": 1544,
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+ "activeVaults": 3454,
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+ "communicationState": "The vaults did not communicate with each other.",
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+ "sourceLocator": "Production Behavior Under a Frozen Harness, page 9",
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+ "interpretation": "Shared market state was sufficient for a concentrated buy event in the reported deployment."
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "observationId": "poopcoin-largest-sell-cascade",
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+ "measurement": "largest-reported-sell-cascade",
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+ "tokenLabel": "POOPCOIN",
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+ "sellCount": 438,
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+ "medianInterAgentGapSeconds": 9.5,
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+ "sourceLocator": "Production Behavior Under a Frozen Harness, page 10",
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+ "interpretation": "The row describes the largest sell cascade reported for this token in the deployment."
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "observationId": "tournament-sell-cascade-count",
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+ "measurement": "sell-cascade-count",
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+ "cascadeCount": 3878,
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+ "minimumSellingVaults": 10,
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+ "sameTokenRequired": true,
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+ "windowMinutes": 10,
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+ "sourceLocator": "Production Behavior Under a Frozen Harness, page 10",
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+ "interpretation": "The count uses the paper's registered sell-cascade definition across the tournament."
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "observationId": "two-sided-token-window-share",
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+ "measurement": "trade-share-in-two-sided-token-windows",
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+ "tradeSharePercent": 92.9,
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+ "windowMinutes": 5,
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+ "minimumBuys": 1,
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+ "minimumSells": 1,
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+ "sameTokenRequired": true,
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+ "sourceLocator": "Production Behavior Under a Frozen Harness, page 10",
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+ "interpretation": "The shared model produced both buy and sell flow when mandates, positions, and settings differed."
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+ }
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+ ],
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+ "privacyBoundary": "The object contains aggregate event and market-window measurements already published in the paper. It excludes wallet, vault, and agent identifiers, strategy or chat text, reasoning traces, individual trades, individual returns, and language-cohort membership.",
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+ "evidenceBoundary": "These rows describe one historical deployment. They do not isolate a single cause or establish ordinary-market prevalence, alpha, profitability, universal safety, or transfer beyond the reported setting."
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+ }