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Atlantic Hockey Hopes for Growth
by Mike McMahon/Senior Writer
The landscape of college hockey is rapidly changing.
It isn’t just the advent of two new leagues on the horizon for next season, and the end of another, but the gap between the bottom and the top is as close as its ever been.
Parity, they call it.
For the first time ever, two Atlantic Hockey Association teams will be a part of the NCAA tournament after Canisius won the league’s automatic bid last weekend and Niagara, on the heels of a marvelous regular season, earned the league’s first ever at-large berth.
Robert Morris, which finished No. 17 in the final Pairwise rankings, was even in contention into the conference championship weekend, finishing ahead of longstanding powers Boston University, Colorado College and Michigan.
Atlantic Hockey’s success this season isn't new. It's been brewing for a while, coming on the heels of RIT making the Frozen Four in 2010.
“Parity in hockey is tremendous,” Robert Morris head coach Derek Schooley said. “We had three teams under consideration and none of them won the automatic bid. The gap is closing from the bottom to the top. There will still always be the ‘BCS schools’ but we’re seeing teams narrow the gap.”
Canisius drew the tournament’s top overall seed, Quinnipiac, in the first round on Saturday in Providence. Niagara travels west to play North Dakota on Friday.
Atlantic Hockey’s surge in the Pairwise this season couldn’t have come at a better time. Next season, with conference realignment taking effect, most teams will be tasked with filling more non-conference dates. In Hockey East, for example, the number of non-conference games teams are looking to schedule will double from seven to 14.
“In the old days many of us were just hoping to say we played against some big schools,” said Army head coach Brian Riley. “Now we feel confident when we go into these games that we can win. The talent level in our league has grown considerably. Getting two teams in the tournament this year is great for our league and great for hockey. Things like this, and RIT making their run a few years ago, that helps grow our league.”
Growth needs to be expected starting next season.
With so many games to fill, it’s not practical for teams with high prestige to expect that paying for home games will be acceptable to enough teams. Not just in Atlantic Hockey, but even for lesser-prominent programs in large conferences, they’ll want to play at home at least once in a while.
“At West Point we’re a little more fortunate than others in our league in that we can get teams to come here,” Riley said. “But, I know it’s hard for some of our teams to get non-league games in their facilities. To get some of the teams to come out would be great but a lot of teams have the financial backing to throw out a really good guarantee. Let’s face it, it’s hard to win, but it’s really hard to win on the road. It will be interesting to see how it plays out because these leagues will need to find more non-league games, and I know there are a lot of teams in larger leagues that have been great to everyone in our league over the years.”
Canisius’ auto bid has drawn the ire of some fans across the nation, questioning whether a team that finished barely above .500 on the season deserved a spot on the national stage. Even ESPN during its selection show barely mentioned the Griffs, who are one of the hottest teams in the nation entering the tournament, winning their last eight games including six conference tournament games.
Even the fact that Atlantic Hockey was placing two teams in the tournament for the first time ever – just one less than Hockey East, home of four of the last five national champions – wasn’t mentioned once.
“Canisius has nothing to apologize for,” Riley said. “I thought, to barely be mentioned, was really disrespectful to them. They’ve been extremely hot and they’ve beaten good teams. I felt like they were ignored. Maybe if (Niagara and Canisius) make some noise, it will be different. I certainly felt that Canisius was disrespected and to be quite honest, I thought the league was too.”
In large part, but not exclusively, thanks to Canisius’ upset over Niagara, left out was Robert Morris.
Still, the Colonials treated last week as a learning experience and a moment of grown for their program.
“I became sort of a Pairwise expert,” Schooley said. “It’s something we’ve never had to deal with before but I think it goes to show you the body of work we had this season. It was really a roller coaster. We got swept my UConn and we thought our season was over and we were saying goodbye to our seniors on the bus driving back and then you realize there is a chance of us getting an at-large. Not only that, but it was possible. It wasn’t one of those scenarios that couldn’t happen. It was unprecedented for us. We practiced last week and it’s something we’ll learn from.”
Robert Morris will also host this year’s Frozen Four in Pittsburgh.
Aside from off-the-ice milestones for Atlantic Hockey, on the ice, many within the league believe Niagara, Canisius, or both, could surprise folks this weekend.
“They both have great goaltending,” Riley said. “Both teams also defend really well in front of their goalie, but their goalie could also steal a game making 45 or 50 saves. With Canisius, half of being good is thinking you’re good, and they’re as hot as anyone. Niagara just seems to be deep everywhere and they have so many skilled guys. I think they could both surprise people.”


By Paul Valencia | Photos by Ken Waz
The Grant Generals also felt pretty good about what happened at Franklin High School.
Beaverton held off Grant’s furious attempt at a comeback, securing a 40-37 victory to claim the bracket title.
Grant, held to nine first-half points, had two three-point attempts in the final seconds in an effort to tie.
Nothing dropped for the Generals, setting off a celebration by the Beavers.
“For this season, we weren’t really supposed to … be amazing,” said sophomore Brady Rice, who scored half of his team’s points, including 13 in the second half. “But we came out, we won our league, and we were a little bit on fire, and we took out these other teams. Pretty cool.”
Dane Erikstrup added 13 points and was a defensive force, as usual, for the Beavers. The 6-10 post disrupted Grant’s offense for much of the night.
“To be honest, this means everything. I came back from Arizona for this purpose,” Erikstrup said.
He had moved to Arizona but returned to Beaverton for this abbreviated basketball season.
“I’m happy for my guys. They did it all. I have to thank the team, and I’m glad we came out with the win,” he said.
Beaverton raced to a 17-2 lead.
“All year, we’ve been a defensive team,” Erikstrup said. “It was our game plan to keep them to single digits in the first quarter.”
Try first half.
Grant had nine points at halftime. Nine.
That is why Grant coach Robert Key was genuinely happy at the end of the game. After scoring just nine points in a half, his players kept battling. Beaverton did not score in the final 3:22.
After the Generals forced a turnover, Andre Lawrence scored with 43 seconds left to make it 40-35. Grant got another turnover on the inbound, and Adrian Mosley converted to make it 40-37.
Another turnover on the inbound gave the Generals the ball with 22 seconds remaining. Two missed three-point attempts ended the rally, but still, that fourth quarter impressed Key.
“That was probably the best varsity basketball game, to come from a deficit that it was at the beginning of the game,” Key said. “The resilience of these kids to play like Grant basketball … I tip my hat to these guys. They never quit.
“I leave this gym just as proud as a coach as I’ve always been with these guys. I’ve got their back, and they’ve got mine. It shows. We’ve got each other’s back as a family.”
Beaverton coach Andrew Vancil was thrilled to go out on top. The Beavers completed the pandemic season 13-2.
“We worked our whole season. The goal was to try to win Metro, try to get into a situation like this,” Vancil said. “I’m just proud of this group. We didn’t make it pretty down the stretch, but we got it done.”
For much of the second half, Rice had an answer every time Grant made a move.
The Generals got the deficit to single digits in the third quarter — then came back-to-back baskets from Rice.
They got it down to eight points in the fourth — and there was Rice with a scoop shot in traffic.
A couple minutes later, Grant got within eight again. Rice made a three-pointer, and on the next trip down the court, he grabbed an offensive rebound and scored on a putback to push the Beaverton lead back to 13.
“That doesn’t happen every single game. I just worked hard, put up some shots, and they went in,” Rice said. “I just try to score whenever I can, put some points on the board for my team.”
The Beavers needed all of those points, because Grant made its run late in the game.
SBLive Sports has launched a free iPhone and Android app featuring exclusive coverage of Oregon high school sports. You can download the new SBLive iPhone app here, and you can download the new SBLive Android app here.


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In what might be the most bizarre pairing of all time, ELLE had legendary magician David Copperfield ask Rihanna a question and her answer can only be described as...very much up for interpretation.
To promote the launch of Fenty Beauty today, Rihanna appeared on the cover ELLE fully beat with her own glorious products. The superstar is famous for avoiding interviews, so in order to still get a little original content from Queen Rih, the magazine recruited some of the biggest names in pop culture to each ask her one question they've been dying to know the answer to.
Enter David Copperfield, whose exchange with Rihanna went like this:
David Copperfield, Magician: I'm not kidding, this is a real offer: I can make you disappear and reappear anywhere in the world. Where do you want to go, and why?
Rihanna: Ten minutes before I lost my virginity…and I'm holding you to that offer. LOL.
Although it doesn't seem like Copperfield was offering time travel (it seemed to be more of a teleportation situation), Rihanna really jumped at the chance to either rewrite or relive a very memorable moment in her past. Whether she regrets the way things went down, or she's just nostalgic for the moment, this is likely as relatable as Rihanna, our queen and savior, is ever going to get.
Except for maybe her response to Laverne Cox, which honestly deserves to be framed and preserved for all of eternity.
Laverne Cox, Actress:You've had so many iconic fashion moments and take so many risks. The iconic CFDA Awards Adam Selman dress in 2014—what gave you the courage to take that risk that was so perfect and elegant yet daring?
Rihanna: Dear Laverne, I took advantage of my titties before they go south. I saw my window, and I took it.
Head over ELLE to read a couple of the other questions the magazine had for her.
Thank you and goodnight.
Image via Instagram

domain: artistic


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Interested in what goes into the making of a picture book? Join me, Rafael Lopez, and Andrea Zuill in conversation at Illustration for the Young Imagination at the San Diego Festival of Books. The discussion will be moderated by educator Joy Chu, to be followed immediately by a signing with all authors.
Here’s a really exciting part: This will be the first book signing for my forthcoming picture book: Balance the Birds! Come visit the San Diego Festival of Books and see it more than a month before its official release!
Saturday, August 25, 2018. 12:20pm
The venue address is 2620 Truxtun Road, San Diego, CA 92106, Meeting Room 2.


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Happy Wednesday MTG peeps,
Day three, week one of official Dragons of Tarkir previews has brought a wallop of new Magic: the Gathering card goodness. Let's get right to it shall we?
Narset Transcendent, 2WU
Planeswalker - Narset, Mythic Rare
+1: Look at the top card of your library. If it's a noncreature, nonland card, you may reveal it and put it into your hand.
-2: When you cast your next instant or sorcery spell from your hand this turn, it gains rebound.
-9: You get an emblem with "Your opponents can't cast noncreature spells."
Loyalty : 6
This looks incredibly good in a variety of formats. Starting loyalty is solid for that mana cost and each of the abilities are decent. Will be picking this one up for sure.
Risen Executioner, 2BB
Creature - Zombie Warrior, Mythic Rare
Risen Executioner can't block.
Other zombie creatures you control get +1/+1
You may cast Risen Executioner from your graveyard if you pay an additional 1 for each other creature in your graveyard.
Metagame.it preview. We've got a thingy for lords which pump and we like the look of this with 30+ zombie creatures in standard format right now.
Kolaghan, Dragonlord, 4RB
Legendary Creature - Elder Dragon, Mythic Rare
Other creatures you control have haste.
Whenever an opponent casts a creature or planeswalker spell with the same name as a card in their graveyard, that player loses 10 life.
Moxes Spanish preview. Players who were hoping to play the red black dragonlord in their Commander decklist (other other singleton formats) are likely not very happy at the moment. We like that this beast has haste and provides the same to your other critters but that's about it.
Foe-Razer Regent, 5GG
Creature - Dragon, Rare
When Foe-Razer Regent enters the battlefield, you may have it fight target creature you don't control.
Whenever a creature you control fights, put two +1/+1 counters on it at the beginning of the next end step.
We would personally be sorta sad if we cracked this in the rare slot in a pack.
Evolving Wilds - definitely needed and welcome.
Dragon Fodder - Shards of Alara reprint - approve.
Salt Road Ambushers - might be good with the likes of Hardened Scales in the format.
Stormcrag Elemental - terribad.
Marang River Skeleton - we love skeles which regen.
Scaleguard Sentinels - conditionally good, get yer dragon on.
Dragonlord's Servant - Oh heck ya - required for your dragon-centric decklist.
Gudul Lurker - OK - we would have been head over heels if this also had hexproof.

domain: hobby


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All Bus Routes From Chalakudi Bye Pass
About Chalakudi Bye Pass
Chalakudy is a municipal town situated on the banks of the Chalakudy River in the Thrissur district of Kerala. The best season to visit Chalakudy is from December to March.
Places to Stay
Some of the budget hotels here are Magicland Resorts, Ecogreen Cocoa County Homestay, Ebenezer Plaza and much more.
The official language of Chalakudy is Malayalam. English is also spoken and understood.
The important festivals celebrated in this area are Onam, Eid, and Christmas.
Places of Interest
Some of the places to be visited here are Chalakudy River, Athirappily Water Falls, Sholayar Dam, Kodassery, St. Mary’s Forane Church, Kannanpuzha Temple, Dream World Water Theme Park and Silver Storm Water Theme Park.
How to Get There
The nearest airport is the Cochin International Airport that at a distance of 22 km.
Divine Nagar railway station and Chalakudy railway station are the two railway stations near Chalakudy.
There are regular buses available to major cities of India provided by both the government and the private operators. TicketGoose, India’s leading online bus ticketing portal
is one among them.
Share your experience
Join the Conversation

domain: geography


Letters for March 8: Responsibility, voting and more
Solving divisiveness requires each side to accept responsibility
We moved to Nixa in May, and, I must first note, as a liberal contributor in Jefferson City, I was frequently met with characterizations from the opposition as an un-American, godless, socialist, Communist, Democratic moron committed to destroying America. In that context, I fully sympathize with David Plymire’s points submitted in the Feb. 16 edition. I cannot address all four points, but I will attempt to address the issue of healing our divisions.
First, the term “deplorables” and similar portrayals contribute nothing to the healing. However, Mr. Plymire must recognize that the responsibility for this division cannot rest upon one side alone. Just as I admitted our contributions to the divisions, Mr. Plymire must accept that thousands chanting “Lock her up” directed at Hillary Clinton as recently as early January, “Lock him up” directed at former President Barack Obama, “Send her back” directed at Congresswoman Ilhan Omar and “Send them back” adding three other black congresswomen does not help. All four congresswomen are American citizens. And the president is not blameless when spurring such chants on.
Simply, we cannot solve our divisiveness by not sharing the blame. The difficulty in resolving our alienation demands that first we must accept that we are all Americans. Someone, and I don’t know who, must convince the president that his characterizations of anyone opposing him as demons determined to do harm must cease. Second, each of us must accept that there is no such thing as an alternate fact. An asserted fact is either true or not. The best course is to always argue a position on the basis of facts and logic. Personal attacks add nothing. Further, our separate dependence upon perceived “authentic sources” creates fact-bubbles. Always fact-check!
If we can concur on these two core foundations, we can begin the healing desired in Mr. Plymires’ submission. Repair is truly possible, but each side must accept responsibility, share blame and share in the remedy.
Robert Haslag, Nixa
Voters share in their choices' deeds
Wouldn’t it be great to go back in time when a president of the USA didn’t have to give us his opinion of everything that comes to his mind or is mentioned on Fox News? The public is getting just plain sick and tired of listening to President Trump explain events in terms of his very limited knowledge and very fragile psyche. It would be more logical to hear these opinions firsthand from Rush or Hannity. We should all want to go back to a period when everything in the world wasn’t presented to us by Trump and how the information affects him personally.
If you support President Trump and like listening to a constant and never-ending stream of information about him, then I ask for only one consideration. When I supported President Obama, I was not pleased with his second term because of his lack of courage to fight against his opponents. Yet I admit to voting for him twice and have to live with the knowledge that I am also responsible for what he did during his presidency. Already I hear Trump supporters say “Sure, I voted for him because of his opposition to abortion, but I’m not responsible for all the other nonsense and hatred.” No! When you make someone the most powerful person in the world and leader of your country, you own all his accomplishments and failures. You own his financial moves, his hatred of minorities, his love of dictators, his rejection of science and global warming, his love only of the white race, his love of the word “I,” refusal to serve in the military during the Vietnam War and even his dislike of an Academy Award to a South Korean movie.
Vincent Capozzella, Kimberling City
New jail a fiscal burden on Greene County and its taxpayers
I am Cecil A. Ince, 2020 Libertarian candidate for Greene County commissioner, District 2. The issues concerning Greene County residents include taxes and spending. With a nearly $234 million budget, a $150 million price tag for the new jail brings concerns for increased tax burdens.
The new jail is the solution to the jail overcrowding issues that many may reluctantly pay for in county taxes. But is this a fiscally conservative solution? I say it is not! This compact with the city of Springfield to house municipal offenders can be a major contributor to the overcrowding issues. Solutions I suggest are book and release of nonviolent offenders, such as passing bad checks or trespassing and even DWIs. The compact with the city of Springfield should be dissolved. Only violators of state and federal law should be held at the county jail.
As for the new jail that taxpayers will fund for the next two years, while it is being built, we must look forward to the questions of transporting inmates and making court appearances accessible. The use of CCTV is most likely, and that will add to the cost of the new jail. This is just another added expense to the now doubled county budget.
Currently, the Missouri Department of Corrections does owe the counties tens of millions of dollars for housing inmates before they are transferred to the state jails. These funds could offset the cost of the new jail and take the tax burden off Greene County taxpayers. But when, if we ever do, will Greene County receive these funds?
I am not in favor of any excessive spending. I oppose a budget that will increase taxes. I support reduced spending and decreased taxes. The conservative leadership in Greene County is not being very fiscally conservative, and that is why I am running for Greene County Commission District 2. I hope I get your support and your vote. My website is www.Restore-Liberty.com.
Cecil A. Ince, Libertarian candidate for Greene County Commission, District 2, Springfield
Trump's actions have weakened the U.S. response to coronavirus
The coronavirus is the first national crisis Trump has faced, and he is failing! Let’s start with Trump's obsession to cut or eliminate everything Obama did during his tenure. Obama boosted funding for the CDC (Centers for Disease Control) every year of his presidency. Trump has drastically cut funding for the CDC every year of his presidency so far. Obama created an office to help high risk, low-income countries prepare for future outbreaks. Trump dismantled this office and cut all of its funding! Obama turned to some of the most experienced, knowledgeable people in the field of disease control when swine flu and Ebola happened under his presidency. Trump has put his mutt Pence in charge! The extent of his capabilities is to ask everyone to take a knee and pray that the virus goes away! Of course, with all the cuts and programs Trump has either underfunded or eliminated, the one thing that continues to improve under his presidency is the massive wealth disparity, as the rich just get richer and the poor get poorer! Racism is on the rise! The divisiveness in this country gets worse, and our respect around the world is at an all-time low last seen during the Bush administration! Yep, you Trump supporters have a lot to be proud of — not really!
Edward Walski, Springfield
Gender equal pay will end unfair disparity and reduce poverty
I am writing to you, the Springfield News-Leader, to help make a change in gender equal pay. As a young woman in eighth grade, I want my voice to be heard in the fact that women should be paid the same salary as men in the same profession.
The numbers difference is just unfair. According to CNBC, “Women earn just 79 cents for every dollar men make in 2019.” This may seem like a small difference but when you look at the full salary, men get paid more than women by thousands of dollars. I believe that women of all ages and races should be paid the same as men in the same profession because we perform tasks just as well as men and it could help end poverty.
For example, the United States Women's National Team (USWNT) and the United States Men’s National Team (USMNT) are paid unequally. According to The Guardian, USWNT players can earn a maximum of $260,869 each if they win the World Cup and go on a victory tour, while if the men had made the last World Cup and won the whole thing, each player would’ve earned more than $1.1 million. Julie DiCaro, a sports talk radio host at 670 The Score in Chicago, writes on “The Cauldron,” “The USWNT, currently ranked 1st in the world, has won three World Cups, four Olympic Gold Medals, and notched seven CONCACAF Gold Cup wins. The USMNT, on the other hand, has never done better than the quarterfinals in the World Cup and failed to qualify for the upcoming 2016 Olympics in Rio.” This shows that the women have done much better than the men in sports such as soccer, but yet they are still being paid much less than them.
Also, if women get equal pay, it could help end poverty. A study done by the 2014-2016 Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement found that providing equal pay to women would cut the poverty rates for working women in half. According to the Institute for Women’s Policy Research, “The poverty rate for all working women would be cut in half, falling from 8.0 percent to 3.8 percent.” This is suggesting that if we fix this problem of the gender pay gap, then we will also help solve an even bigger problem of poverty.
In conclusion, women should be paid the same amount as men in the same profession because we work just as hard and it could help solve poverty. How are women supposed to be successful if we are being set up to fail? We are limiting what women can do and it is not fair. I would appreciate it if you could help communicate my point of view on this issue to our community here in Springfield.
Baylea Davis, Springfield


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domain: finance


text:
While dealing with a recent plateful of Fibromyalgic pain, I couldn't help but notice the difference in my life on Isla Mujeres and it's effectiveness in dealing with the misunderstood family of syndromes that have plagued me for decades that including Chronic Fatigue and Restless Leg…
For the uninitiated: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fibromyalgia offers a fairly complete summary.
There are many that wonder why I spend time on the island… away from my family and friends and have begun to build a life here…on the surface there are many that might view my choice to be here as selfish, self-indulgent and an unnecessary luxury…I urge you to look deeper.
Although my need for the approval of others diminishes the older I get, I submit the following as a way for others to understand the purpose in a different light…
The fact is that in many ways, la isla has been and continues to be a salvation from the joint stiffness, debilitating fatigue and sleep problems associated with life in a Colorado climate when compared to the warmer, tropical climate I find myself in now.
Although the change in seasons that will bring joy to so many others brings an unwelcomed level of pain to those of us affected, the climate is not the only factor on the island that seems to unconsciously serve me so well…the slower pace of life, the sense of family and community, and the peaceful nature of this place all seem so natural compared to the traffic jams, the need for social classification and a general need for over-stimulus of any and all of our senses…the constant noises from car traffic and air traffic are replaced by the sound of the sea, the joy of laughter and the lively music in the air.
Just as my wife Karen continues to have a profound effect on me and my ability to cope thru her gentle touch and loving smile, la isla's tranquil feel and healing characteristics have had a significant impact on the quality of my life.
The cognitive dysfunction known commonly as "fibro fog" that still affects me has been reduced substantially by the inexplicable increase in my ability to breathe normally while sleeping in this climate. I have said to many over the years that a good nights sleep is priceless…my body's ability to heal itself has been reintroduced to me as more often than not I am able to sleep as if I were a baby…priceless is understatement for those of us that have gone years…perhaps decades…without such a privilege.
Although he may not recall the impact of his assistance, I am forever grateful to my father for his un-asked-for guidance in helping me find the professionals that provided an understanding my body's inability to heal itself.
In many ways, I feel as though Karen saved my life and I am indebted to her for doing so…truly a gift from God, Karen has had a profound effect on my life with her gentle touch, unassuming ways and her loving smile…I am deeply grateful for her unselfish grace in allowing my life to be transformed on la isla.
In a similar way, our discovery of the island has resurrected my life in spirit and in functionality.
I feel sorry for the next generation of young Americans that are bombarded by incessant messages of compulsive consumption and the endless spiral of spending and impending debt…a place where everything has a need to be extreme…from snow skiing to a purchase at a fast food joint…the hustle and bustle of the US is not something I miss at all… where your next meal is just a drive-thru away and where families take a back seat to an overload of commercial advertising. I somehow feel a need to take a small dose of Ritalin before watching a 30 second movie trailer, so I opt out of that experience…but I digress…
True to form, fibromyalgia has affected my view of life in the US as the onslaught of unhealthy messages permeates the culture…the very nature of the syndrome puts my mind on overload easier than the next guy for sure…
For anyone interested:
As I look at my life over this Thanksgiving weekend, I cannot help but feel thankful for the greatest gifts provided to me by God: my loving parents… my beautiful children… my wife who is truly the love of my life… and the gift of Isla Mujeres.
Difruta la vida.
Web Hosting by my good friend Iggy, the biggest iguana that lives off the back deck...(he is smarter than he looks)

domain: psychology


text:
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domain: entertainment


text:
While the forecast for today brings a wide mix of news, the real weather stories remain the flooding in Texas and the Tuesday Severe Weather Threat. For Texas, The Cypress Creek and Colorado River have dropped below flood stage but the majority of rivers in the area remain at or above the minimum flood stage, with the San Bernard River still in Major Flood stage. These conditions are forecast to crest in the last of these areas over the next 2 days before diminishing completely.
For Tuesday, there remains a Significant risk of Severe Weather with the Storm Prediction Center adding a region of Moderate risk to the map. There is a good chance that an area of High Risk will be added by tomorrow. For a quick outline and maps of the event, please read down and see our Severe Weather Section, additional information will be posted Monday afternoon.
The current Surface Analysis
Today’s National Forecast
A developing upper-level low over the Great Basin will move eastward to the Central Rockies by Tuesday evening as weakening low pressure over Upper Midwest and it’s associated front will merge with the storm coming out of the Great Basin by Tuesday morning. The system will produce showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Great Lakes and Upper Mississippi Valley into parts of the Middle Mississippi Valley. This system will expand into parts of the Lower Great Lakes and Ohio Valley by Monday evening. Rain will also develop over parts of the Northern High Plains and Northern Plains on Monday morning continuing through Monday night. Showers and thunderstorms will also develop over parts of the Western Gulf Coast/Lower Mississippi Valley and parts of the Eastern Gulf Coast into the Southern Appalachians on Monday afternoon into evening.
Additionally, the showers and thunderstorms that will move into parts of the Northern Mid-Atlantic by Tuesday morning will extend from the Mid-Atlantic westward to the Western Ohio Valley and Middle Mississippi Valley by Tuesday evening. Rain will also develop over parts of the Upper Great Lakes into New England overnight Monday ending over the Upper Great Lakes by Tuesday afternoon.
Current Model Analysis
On early Monday, A strong but weakening low pressure system will bring rain from the Great Lakes over through North Dakota with rain and snow in Montana, as well as rain along the accompanying cold front from Minnesota down into Kansas and Oklahoma. Thunderstorms have been present with the front overnight Sunday and the risk of severe weather will continue moving east with the front as it heads toward Chicago.
Another low pressure system over Southern Nevada will create an area of instability over the Rockies which will lead to valley rains and mountain snows. Several inches of snow can be expected in the higher elevations, especially over Northern California and Nevada.
In the Eastern portion of the Country, high pressure dominates for a generally warm and clear day with some air mass showers and thunderstorms possible across the Southeast and later in the day in the Northeast as the aforementioned storm moves east over the Lakes.
By Monday afternoon, low pressure slides east over Minnesota and begins bringing rain to Western New York along the warm front. Rain will continue through the Great Lakes region back through North Dakota and Montana with some areas of snow changing to rain during the day.
The low pressure over the Rockies intensifys some and will bring a larger area of snow to the Mountains in Nevada.
The high pressure over the Atlantic will slide South off the Carolinas helping with daytime heating and airmass showers and thunderstorms over Florida and Georgia.
By early Tuesday, the forecast calls for low pressure from the Lakes will shift east to New England as cold air slides south. This could bring moderate snow to areas north of a line from Watertown New York to Portsmouth New Hampshire. This line will fluctuate along elevations and will shift as the system moves east.
The low over the Rockies begins to eject out into the Plains over Colorado and the snow will shift east with it over Wyoming and portions of Colorado. Rain will fall down elevation on the Plains from Wyoming through South Dakota and Nebraska.
Current Severe Weather Outlook
Critical Fire Weather Update
|Risk||Area (sq. mi.)||Area Pop.||Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area|
|Critical||94,520||5,231,602||Phoenix, AZ…Albuquerque, NM…Mesa, AZ…Glendale, AZ…Chandler, AZ…|
A strong mid-level disturbance will amplify over the Intermountain West today, and is forecast to spread strong mid-level flow into the Four Corners region. The Dryline will mark the dividing line between warm and windy conditions and the moistening air to the East.
Surface winds will strengthen area wide beginning late this morning with gusts as high as 60 MPH expected. 2 Critical areas have been delineated on the map in this outlook. These are the regions that high winds will combine with the lowest Relative Humidity values under 15% over dry fuel beds.
Today’s Severe Weather Outlook
|Day 1 Risk||Area (sq. mi.)||Area Pop.||Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area|
|SLIGHT||29,335||13,108,281||Chicago, IL…Milwaukee, WI…Madison, WI…Aurora, IL…Rockford, IL…|
|MARGINAL||123,442||12,941,350||Detroit, MI…Grand Rapids, MI…Warren, MI…Sterling Heights, MI…Topeka, KS…|
Severe Weather Analysis
A few strong to severe storms are expected from a portion of the Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes area with a threat for large hail and damaging winds this afternoon and evening. Other strong storms are expected across a portion of the Central High Plains this evening and Northeastern Kansas tonight
A weakening shortwave trough currently over the Central and Northern Plains is forecast to shift into the Great Lakes. A stalled cold front will extend from Wisconsin southward to Kansas and will impact the warm sector where daytime heating will warm the boundary layer this afternoon. Storms are expected to redevelop this afternoon from Southern Wisconsin to Northern Illinois. Wind shear will be sufficient for a few supercells with large hail and damaging winds as the primary threats before activity weakens after sunset.
West of there, as the warm front develops along with the low that is moving out of the Rockies, moist flow will return to the Central Plains. This moisture will allow a few storms to initiate in the upslope flow along the Rockies. High based supercells capable of downburst winds and large hail are likely across Western Nebraska continuing into the night. Eastern portions on Nebraska and Kansas will be impacted by the same set up and high based thunderstorms with hail are possible.
Looking forward to Tuesday, as predicted here, a moderate risk for severe weather has been added. Significant severe weather is expected over the Plains. Any and all preparations you need to make should be completed by tonight.
Tuesday Severe Weather Outlook
|Day 2 Prob. Risk||Area (sq. mi.)||Area Pop.||Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area|
|SIG SEVERE||175,496||17,072,997||San Antonio, TX…Dallas, TX…Austin, TX…Fort Worth, TX…Oklahoma City, OK…|
|MODERATE||55,875||3,058,241||Oklahoma City, OK…Wichita, KS…Norman, OK…Edmond, OK…Midwest City, OK…|
|ENHANCED||79,794||9,650,655||Dallas, TX…Fort Worth, TX…Tulsa, OK…Arlington, TX…Plano, TX…|
|SLIGHT||136,890||11,357,501||San Antonio, TX…Austin, TX…Kansas City, MO…Omaha, NE…Overland Park, KS…|
|MARGINAL||211,757||32,736,160||Philadelphia, PA…Baltimore, MD…Washington, DC…Cincinnati, OH…Lexington-Fayette, KY…|
Significant Severe Thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the Southern and Central Plains Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. Strong, long lived Tornadoes are possible in addition to very large, and potentially giant, hail and strong damaging straight line winds.
This Week’s Flood Risk
Yesterday’s Storm Reports

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After snapping up a 219,000-square-foot last-mile industrial facility in Fort Worth, Texas in late March, Realterm has acquired another warehouse with identical square footage and from the same seller. Hillwood sold the property at 15501 N. Beach St. in Roanoke, Texas. Both industrial properties are fully leased to Amazon, CommercialEdge data and public records show.
The buyer acquired the recently completed property through a 65-year ground lease agreement, according to Denton County records. The facility is spread across 63.7 acres features 35 loading positions. The Amazon delivery station is near Interstate 35W and 20 miles north of downtown Fort Worth.
In March, Hillwood sold a three-building industrial park encompassing 911,654 square feet less than 4 miles north. JLL arranged the sale of Alliance Northport, which was nearly fully leased.
The North Fort Worth submarket
Based on Holt Lunsford Commercial data, the North Fort Worth submarket, home to 15501 N. Beach St., had an 8.3 percent industrial vacancy in the first quarter of 2022. The figure represents a 150-basis point recovery over the previous quarter and a 330-basis point improvement year-over-year.
Notable lease transactions in the first three months of the year include Yusen Logistics inking a nearly 370,000-square-foot lease at Westport @ Alliance with IAC Properties as well as RumbleOn agreeing to occupy 257,117 square feet of space at M2G Ventures’ North Quarter 35.
The submarket added 727,318 square feet of industrial space to its inventory and had more than 9.5 million square feet of projects under construction.

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