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Inflation- The rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising and purchasing power is falling. The ruble or rouble is a unit of currency of various countries in Eastern Europe and is closely associated with the economy of Russia
Deficit essentially refers to the difference between cash inflows and outflows.
Rampant means wild, out of control, to be up on your hind legs roaring at the world.
declining crude oil pricing:causes and global impact
Recent decline in oil prices of crude
oil: Causes and Global Impact
Reasons for decline in oil prices
Macroeconomic effects - Oil exporting countries
- Oil importing countries
Effects on India
Crude Oil, often called “black gold” is naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product
composed of hydrocarbon deposits.
Trade of crude oil across the globe is one the major factors in determining the G.D.P
and financial policies of various countries across the globe
Recent overview of crude oil
Oil prices fell sharply in the second half of 2014.
Four-year period of stability around $105 per barrel.
From June 2014, the global oil prices started a trend of downward shift.
From $115 per barrel it touched a low of $45 per barrel in Jan 2015.
This decline being the largest since the 2008 decline when prices fell from a whooping
$145.85 per barrel to $32 per barrel.
West Texas Intermediate
(WTI) crude oil is of very
high quality and is at refining a
larger portion of gasoline. Its
API gravity is 39.6 degrees,
which makes it a "light" crude
oil, and it contains only about
0.24 percent of sulfur (making
a "sweet" crude oil).
Brent Blend is actually a
combination of crude oil from
fifteen different oil fields
located in the North Sea. It is
still a "light" crude oil, but not
quite as "light" as WTI, and it
contains about 0.37 percent of
sulfur (making it a "sweet"
crude oil, but again slightly
less "sweet" than WTI).
Supply and demand Role of OPEC
Strengthening US Dollar
Middle East countries are
crude oil prices
Supply And Demand
Technological shift from vertical to horizontal drilling in US led to it becoming a
producer from a consumer.
Major boom in shale gas production causes the production increase by 0.9 million
barrel per day.
Between July and Dec 2014 alone, the projected oil demand for 2015 is
downwards by 0.8 million barrel per day.
The US is producing record amounts of oils plenty of supply out of OPEC and Russia.
But there’s not enough demand from developing economies
like China and India to consume all the oil that’s being supplied.
A global recession has left Asian demand weaker than expected, and
governments are slashing fuel subsidies across Asia.
It’s not just Asia, though. Austerity measures and decreased consumption
across Europe are curbing oil demand throughout that continent, too.
OPEC coordinates and unifies the petroleum policies of its members.
In 2014 OPEC comprised 12 members: Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq,
Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela.
OPEC member countries produce about 40 percent of the world's crude oil.
Equally important to global prices, OPEC's oil exports represent about 60 percent of the
total petroleum traded internationally
On November 27, a big meeting was held by the Cartel, and countries, like
Venezuela and Iran, proposed that the Cartel (mainly Saudi Arabia)
decreases oil production in order to maintain stability in the oil prices.
Just to ensure it maintains its market share, Saudi Arabia, the world's largest
oil producer, did not agree to reducing oil production and was willing to let
OPEC's surprising response: Let prices keep falling
Oil prices continued to slip onwards of September 2014.(remove it)
During the November 27, 2014 Vienna meeting of OPEC countries the major oil producing
members like Saudi Arabia and Iran, did nothing to arrest the falling price.
Some countries, like Venezuela and Iran, wanted the cartel (mainly Saudi Arabia) to cut
back on production in order to prop up the price. These countries need high prices in
order to "break even" on their budgets and pay for all the government spending.
On the other side Saudi Arabia, the world's second-largest crude oil producer, which was
opposed to cutting production and seemed willing to let prices keep dropping.
In the 1980s, when prices fell and the country tried to cut back on production to prop
them up. The result was that prices kept declining anyway and Saudi Arabia simply lost
"We will produce 30 million barrels a day for the next 6 months, and we will watch to
see how the market behaves," said OPEC Secretary-General Abdalla El-Badri.
That caused the price of oil to start crashing even further.
The price of Brent crude went from $80 per barrel to $70 per barrel in just a few days. And
it kept tumbling to down below $60 per barrel by mid-December and $50 by January.
OPEC is now engaged in a "price war" with the US.
It's relatively cheap to pump oil out of places like Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. But it's
more expensive to extract oil from shale formations in places like Texas and North Dakota.
So as the price of oil keeps falling, some US producers may become unprofitable and
go out of business. And the price of oil will stabilize. At least that's what OPEC members
Across the globe the crude oil is bought and sold in dollars.
Dollar getting stronger makes oil more expensive to buy in countries outside the US. That, in
turn, weakens worldwide demand and further puts downward pressure on oil prices.
high estimates suggest that a 10 percent appreciation is associated with a decline of about 10
percent in the oil price, whereas the low estimates suggest 3 percent or less.
Even though global oil prices are falling, they’re falling less for countries with currencies that are
weaker than the US dollar.
Lower oil prices reduce energy costs generally, as prices of competing energy
materials are forced down too.
Oil is feedstock for various sectors, including petrochemicals, paper, and
aluminium, the decline in price directly impacts a wide range of processed or
The transportation, petrochemicals, and agricultural sectors, and some
manufacturing industries, would be major beneficiaries from lower prices.
Real Income Shifts
Oil price declines generate changes in real income benefiting oil-importers and
losses hurting oil-exporters.
The shift in income from oil exporting economies with higher average saving
rates to net importers with a higher propensity to spend should generally result in
stronger global demand over the medium-term.
Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Oil importing countries:
declining oil prices may
inflation expectations below
central banks could
respond with additional
monetary policy which can
lower oil prices might trigger
contractionary fiscal policy
may benefit more from a
decline in energy input
expectations in developing
economies may also be
more responsive to changes
in fuel prices than in
Reduced investment in new exploration or development.
Lower oil prices would especially put at risk oil investment projects in low-income
countries (e.g., Mozambique, Uganda)
also unconventional sources such as shale oil, tar sands, deep sea oil fields (especially in
Brazil, Mexico, Canada and the United States), and oil in the Arctic zone.
In 2014-15 the price of crude oil has fallen more than 50%. This fall in the price
of oil has a significant impact in reducing transport and other business costs.
Falling oil prices is good news for oil importers, such as Western Europe, China,
India and Japan; however, it is bad news for oil exporters, such as Russia,
Venezuela, Kuwait, Iraq and Nigeria.
Oil Exporting Countries
Many oil exporting countries rely on tax revenue from oil production to fund
For example, Russia gains 70% of all tax revenues from oil and gas. Falling oil
prices will lead to a government budget deficit, social problems and will require
either higher taxes or government spending cuts.
Some oil-exporting countries in the Middle East and North Africa, could contract
by 0.8–2.5 percentage points in the year following a 10 percent decline in the
annual average oil price.
Further we discuss in detail about oil exporting countries.
Oil Exporting Countries:
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
Russian budget heavily relies
on its oil income
More than half of its budget
revenues come from selling
Oil and Gas
The Russian economy may
go into Recession if oil
prices keep falling
Effect of falling oil prices on Russia
Image Courtesy: http://www.kp24.fi/data/attachments/6488fd17-c93a-453c-b788-eedd292063d9_389541.jpg
Russia is the world’s largest crude oil producer.
Russia gains 70% of all tax revenues from oil and gas.
Oil revenues makes up 45% of the government budget and falling oil prices will lead to a
government budget deficit, and will require either higher taxes or government spending.
Russia’s economy is expected to shrink 4.5% next year if oil stays at $60 per barrel.
The plunging price of oil has also caused the ruble's value to collapse.
Oil company in Nefteyugansk, Russia, owned by Rosneft
2. Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia is the world's second-largest crude producer after Russia.
It produces 10 million barrel per day.
It will suffer financially from cheap oil.
It oil stays at around $60 per barrel next year, the government will run a deficit
equal to 14% of GDP.
It can afford temporary falls in oil prices because they have substantial reserves. It
has build up a stockpile of foreign currency worth some $740 billion, which it will
use to finance its deficits.
This is why Saudi Arabia has so far not responded by cutting output.
Still, if low oil prices persist, Saudi Arabia may have to cut back on some of the
It is another major oil producer.
In Venezuela oil sales provide both 47% of government revenues and the main
source of foreign currency.
Venezuela are relying on oil revenues to fund generous social spending.
A fall in oil prices could lead to a significant budget deficit and social problems.
The nation's economy is set to shrink some 3% this year and inflation is rampant.
This will translate into
accelerated economic growth
to a forecasted 3.5% next year.
Falling oil prices will cause
gas prices to go down, which
will result in increased
Effect of falling oil prices on US
Image Courtesy: http://www.ulkeajans.com/images/haberler/obama_uluslararasi_toplum_gazzede_ateskes_icin_calismali_h56636.jpg
In the US a fall in crude prices would have more varied impacts.
For many people, it will offer a nice economic boost: cheaper oil means lower
gasoline prices which have fallen to $2.47 per gallon.
However oil-producing states like Texas and North Dakota are likely to see a drop in
revenues and economic activity.
The falling price of oil is also putting severe pressure on Alaska’s state budget.
All told, oil prices are likely to be good for 42 states and bad for the other 8.
High oil prices are one of the major factors affecting the Iranian economy.
Severe economic problems may result if oil prices keep falling.
Iran may decide to reach a nuclear deal with the US to ease economic sanctions.
Image Courtesy - http://www.timesofisrael.com/irans-supreme-leader-undergoes-prostate-surgery//
Effect of falling oil prices on Iran
One big problem for Iran is that it needs oil prices well north of $100 per barrel to
balance its budget, especially since Western sanctions have made it much harder
to export crude.
If oil prices keep falling, the Iranian government may need to make up revenues
elsewhere say, by paring back domestic fuel subsidies (always an unpopular
move, at least in the short term).
Oil Importing Countries
There are three main channels through which a decrease in the price of oil affects
The first is the effect of the increase in real income on consumption.
The second is the decrease in the cost of production of final goods, and in turn on
profit and investment.
The third is the effect on the rate of inflation.
A 10 percent decrease in oil prices would raise growth in oil-importing economies by some
0.1– 0.5 percentage points, depending on the share of oil imports in GDP.
In China, for example, the impact of lower oil prices on growth is expected to boost
activity by 0.1-0.2 percent because oil accounts for only 18 percent of energy
consumption, whereas 68 percent is accounted for by coal.
Japan is also a major importer of oil and oil-related products with imports valued at $210
billion in 2014, roughly equivalent to 4% of the country’s GDP.
Japan’s manufacturing sector is set to experience. a significant upside from lower raw
material and electricity costs. This includes companies in the steel, tyres, glass and
Several other large oil-importing emerging market economies also stand to benefit from
lower oil prices.
In Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Africa and Turkey, the fall in oil prices will help
lower inflation and reduce current account deficits a major source of vulnerability for
many of these countries.
Some oil importers would also be affected by a slowdown in oil-exporting countries.
A sharp recession in Russia would dampen growth in Central Asia, while weakening
external accounts in Venezuela or the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries may put
at risk external financing support they provide to neighbouring countries.
How does the fall in oil prices affect India?
India, which is the fourth largest consumer of oil, is a big beneficiary of falling oil
India imports nearly two-thirds of crude oil requirements.
The reduced prices will not only lower the import bill but also help save foreign
And It will also enable oil marketing companies to reduce retail prices of petrol and
As per rough estimates, a $10 fall in crude could reduce the current account deficit by
approximately 0.5% of GDP and the fiscal deficit by around 0.1% of GDP.
Lower oil prices have also aided government's efforts to keep inflation low and stable
besides curtailing fuel subsidies.
A lower subsidy bill will help contain the country's fiscal deficit — a measure of the
amount the government borrows to fund its expenses — at the budgeted level of 4.1% of
GDP in 2014-15.
With every dollar decrease in oil prices, the government's oil import bill comes down by
Rs. 4,000 crore.
Following four years of stability at around $105 per barrel, oil prices fell sharply in the
second half of 2014.
The decline in oil prices was quite significant compared with the previous episodes of
oil price drops during the past three decades.
There have been a number of long-terms and short-term drivers behind the recent
plunge in oil prices: several years of large upward surprises in oil supply; some
downward surprises in demand; unwinding of some geopolitical risks that had
threatened production; change in OPEC policy objectives; and appreciation of U.S.
Supply related factors have clearly played a dominant role.
The decline in oil prices has significant macroeconomic, financial implications.
If sustained, it will support activity and reduce inflationary, external, and fiscal
pressures in oil-importing countries.
On the other hand, it would affect oil-exporting countries adversely by weakening
fiscal and external positions and reducing economic activity.
However, declining oil prices also present a significant window of opportunity to
reform energy taxes and fuel subsidies, which are substantial in several developing
countries, and reinvigorate reforms to diversify oil-reliant economies.

domain: finance


There is little doubt that some of the world’s largest corporations are investigating 3D printing as a means to both make and save money across the board. Amazon, for example, has slowly been inching its way into the space, partnering with several key companies, including Mixee Labs, to offer customizable 3D printed products to their customers.
As the world’s leading ecommerce provider, Amazon seems to stay ahead of the curve when it comes to selling us anything from printer paper to giant $1 million robots. Thus far, it appears as if the company’s decision to enter the 3D printing space has paid off, as they continue to expand the program in both scale and scope.
If you know much about Amazon, then you know that they obsess with getting products to consumers as fast as physically possible. In fact, they have recently launched One-Hour Delivery in Manhattan, and is pushing for delivery via drones. Usually though, the faster a product is shipped, the more money it will cost the company that is shipping it, and ultimately this comes back to the consumer. For example, Amazon needs to stock literally millions of products at warehouse hubs as close to their customers as possible. Warehouse space is not cheap, especially when considering the millions of square feet needed by a company like Amazon.
What if Amazon could avoid same of these storage costs and get items to users even faster with the use of new, rapidly advancing technologies like 3D printing? Well, that’s just what they are looking into.
Late last week United States Patent and Trademark Office published a patent filing by Amazon Technologies, Inc. which outlines a method of 3D printing on-demand within mobile manufacturing hubs. According to Amazon, such a setup could save the company time and money on several fronts.
“The multiplicity of items offered may require the electronic marketplace owner/operator to maintain a large inventory requiring sufficient space to store the inventory,” states the filing. “An electronic marketplace may also face the challenge of time delays related to the process of finding the selected item among a large inventory. Increased space to store additional inventory may raise costs for the electronic marketplace. Additionally, time delays between receiving an order and shipping the item to the customer may reduce customer satisfaction and affect revenues generated. Accordingly, an electronic marketplace may find it desirable to decrease the amount of warehouse or inventory storage space needed, to reduce the amount of time consumed between receiving an order and delivering the item to the customer, or both.”
By utilizing ‘mobile manufacturing apparatuses Amazon would be able to send an STL file to a mobile unit that’s closest to a customer, providing it with instructions to print out an item which was ordered. When the item has been completed, it could then be within miles of the customer who ordered it and quickly delivered or picked up.
The mobile hubs, according to the patent filing, would include a means to both additively and subtractively manufacture an item. This could include a number of different 3D printing technologies as well as CNC machining tools, which would ultimately reduce Amazon’s reliance on warehouse space as well as the robots and employees needed to sort through these stored items.
Of course every patent that’s filed does not materialize into an actual product or service, but as 3D printing technology continues to progress and competition for delivery speed picks up, this is certainly something I could see Amazon eventually putting to use. Now we just have to wait for the drones which 3D print items 10,000 feet above the earth and can deliver items within minutes.
Let us know your thoughts on this patent filing. Could such a 3D printing and delivery process actually work anytime soon? Discuss in the Amazon mobile 3D printing forum thread on 3DPB.com. Below is a quick visualization of what Amazon’s 3D printing process could look like.
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When it comes to custom cabinets in Phoenix, you will find that the possibilities are unlimited. If you are looking for a unique look and want a set of cabinets that will fit into your home but also provide you with a sense of style, you need to contact us today. Whether you have a traditional home or an edgy loft, you will find that there are many different styles of cabinets to choose from. If you have a large home or even a small space, we can design a set of custom cabinets in Phoenix that will not only look great but also add value to your home as well. Our expert craftsmen can work closely with you to find exactly what you are looking for.
If you are looking for custom cabinetry in Phoenix, you may want to consider some of the incredible designs that are available through our craftsmen. Some of the most popular styles include contemporary, antique, traditional, country, Spanish Colonial, and even Bali island cabinetry designs. No matter what type of cabinetry you are looking for, you will likely be able to find something that is custom made just for you in Phoenix. The key to finding the perfect custom cabinets is knowing where to look.
One way to help you find the right custom cabinets in Phoenix is by checking out some of the specialty craftsman shops that are available on the Internet. By taking a look at what these craftsmen have to offer, you will be able to choose a style that fits your individual needs. One option is to check out a complete set of antique cabinet designs that are created specifically to work well with the surroundings and home style of the homeowner. Another popular option is to check out a full line of contemporary cabinetry. Contemporary cabinetry is available in a wide range of styles and colors, so no matter what you are looking for, you are sure to be able to find it on the Internet. The key is knowing where to look.
Another way to find the custom cabinets in Phoenix is to contact a custom furniture dealer. Many manufacturers now have direct relationships with reputable furniture dealers, allowing them to sell their products at a great discount. When ordering custom cabinets from a manufacturer or dealer, they will often provide pricing quotes right on the company website. This allows you to see exactly what they have to offer without having to contact them directly. In many cases, you can even get a free consultation to discuss what kind of custom cabinets would look best in your home.
Many people are now choosing to purchase custom cabinets in Phoenix because they know that they will be made with the highest quality materials available. Whether you are looking for cherry, oak, mahogany, or pine, there will be plenty to choose from. In addition, the cabinets can be made in many different sizes as well, including small, large, and extra large. Because the cabinets are designed to specific specifications, homeowners can create the perfect storage solution for their rooms. You can use the custom cabinets in Phoenix to store any belongings you have for display, such as antique pieces of furniture. Some custom furniture manufacturers even offer them as temporary storage units during times when you don’t need as much storage space.
If you are looking for custom cabinets in Phoenix, you have a number of different options. Although you can typically find the custom cabinets in Phoenix at a hardware store or large home supply store, you can also look online to find a large selection of custom cabinets. Online shopping is convenient and usually much cheaper than local retailers. The best part about shopping online is that you can quickly and easily view all the options you have to choose from and make your purchase within a few minutes. Whether you want a set of custom cabinets in Phoenix or just want to buy a few, you will find that it is easy to find the perfect custom cabinet.

domain: design


text:
Treating addiction – whether at rehab or not – can be divided into three main phases. Firstly is detoxification, the process by which an addict’s system is cleansed of substances of abuse. Once this cleansing process has taken place, and the immediate pressures of drug dependency have been lifted, the addict will then need to address the psychological aspects of their addiction, including understanding the root causes and seeking to put measures in place to ensure that they do not stumble back into addiction by relapsing.
Research from NIAAA also suggests that alcoholism can stem from genes. While the specific “alcoholism gene” hasn’t yet been identified, there are known genes that can boost the power of alcohol and reduce the impact of a hangover. People with these gene combinations may get a bigger high from drinking, and they may not feel ill or sick after a long day of drinking. Their bodies just seem primed for alcohol abuse, and that can make them more likely to develop alcoholism.
Drug addiction is a growing concern in the United States. People often use drugs as an outlet for their problems, although drug use creates its own problems over time. Drug addiction not only affects a person’s health and relationships, but also impacts society and the environment. There are numerous treatment options to guide people toward a sober and healthy life.
Drug addiction isn’t always an instantly obvious problem; it often starts small. In fact, drug addiction sometimes begins with simple recreational use, or a “one-time” experiment, trying something new, or even a prescription for a much-needed painkiller after an accident or surgery. The trouble is that for some people—the ones who become addicted—the use of the addictive substance becomes frequent and a necessity.
The official diagnosis of drug addiction by the Diagnostic and Statistic Manual of Mental Disorders (2000), which makes distinctions between drug use, abuse, and substance dependence, is flawed. First, diagnosis of drug use versus abuse can be arbitrary and reflect cultural norms, not medical phenomena. Second, the term substance dependence implies that dependence is the primary pharmacologic phenomenon underlying addiction, which is likely not true, as tolerance, sensitization, and learning and memory also play central roles. It is ironic and unfortunate that the Manual avoids use of the term addiction, which provides the best description of the clinical syndrome.
This is an ongoing debate in the medical community, but it is generally agreed that there is no one cause for the development of addiction. According to the National Institute on Drug Abuse, contributing factors may include a genetic predisposition to develop addictive tendencies, an environment that is permissive of drug abuse, access to illicit substances, and certain developmental issues. The existence of a Dual Diagnosis is one of the biggest risk factors for the development of addiction. Heroin Withdrawal | First Week In

domain: sociology


text:
Tampa businessman Aakash Patel picked up another endorsement for his Hillsborough County Commission campaign Monday, adding to his stack of backers in the closing days before voters decide whether he or attorney Todd Marks will get the Republican nomination for the countywide District 7 seat.
“I am honored to endorse Aakash Patel in his run for Hillsborough County Commission. He has shown his strong conservative values as he has served on the Early Learning Coalition and in the way he has grown his business. He will be a strong advocate for conservative initiatives when he serves on the Commission. I fully support him and encourage everyone I know to vote for Patel,” former Republican state Rep. Rich Glorioso.
Glorioso joins a long list of Republican officials who have backed Patel’s campaign to succeed retiring Commissioner Al Higginbotham in November. Prior endorsements include U.S. Rep. Gus Bilirakis, Attorney General Pam Bondi, House Speaker Richard Corcoran, former House Speaker Will Weatherford and Zephyrhills Rep. Danny Burgess.
“It is such an honor to have the support of Representative Glorioso. Rich has been a great conservative advocate for transportation, economic development and community issues. I am humbled by the continued outpouring of support from Representative Glorioso and the voters I meet daily as we move closer to Election Day,” Patel said.
Patel and Marks are the only two Republicans vying for Higginbotham’s seat. Both men were previously candidates for the District 1 seat held by Commissioner Sandra Murman but they switched races after she decided to serve out the remainder of her term rather than make her own run for District 7.
Also running for the seat are Democrats Ray Chiaramonte, Mark Nash, Kimberly Overman and Sky White as well as Green Party candidate Kim O’Connor.
Through Aug. 10, Patel had raised more than $550,000 between his campaign and committee, Elevate Tampa, and had $56,210 left in the bank. Marks, through the same date, had raised $146,616 and had $59,079 on hand.
The primary election is Aug. 28.

domain: news


text:
For our 2024 issue, in addition to manuscripts on various gender related topics, we invite contributions to a special section titled “Barbie in the Age of Gender Reconsiderations:
Meaningful Critique or Media Industry Coup?”
Call for papers HERE.
Gender Studies (GS) is a journal addressing academics and a general readership at the same time. Its main goals are to explore literature, language, culture and society from the perspective of gender practices and relations, and also to highlight attempts of educationalists and gender studies experts in various parts of the world to institutionalize Gender Studies in the academe.
The GS journal welcomes original research employing primarily qualitative methods of analysis in the following areas: literature, linguistics, discourse studies, media and film studies, popular culture, cultural studies, history and education for the field of humanities.
Why subscribe and read
Sciendo archives the contents of this journal in Portico - digital long-term preservation service of scholarly books, journals and collections.
The editorial board is participating in a growing community of Similarity Check System's users in order to ensure that the content published is original and trustworthy. Similarity Check is a medium that allows for comprehensive manuscripts screening, aimed to eliminate plagiarism and provide a high standard and quality peer-review process.

domain: library


text:
I finally got to play with this set and I so LOVE it.
This is also for Beate's 14th sketch challenge. Thanks again for the inspiration Beate!!!! I love your challenges too. They take me out of my comfort zone!!!
Date: Monday, August 13, 2007 GMT Views: 765

domain: artistic


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domain: medical


text:
by kitchen mckeown
kitchen mckeown (they/them) is a sober transmasculine writer living in Vancouver. They have a BFA in Theatre Performance from Concordia University and graduated from the University of British Columbia's Creative Writing Program. Their poems have appeared or are forthcoming in Bad Nudes, The Void, The Puritan, Poetry is Dead, Mineral Lit Mag, Room, and Peach Mag. They can be found on Instagram at tendr.bttns.
This poem was shortlisted for the 2020 Peach Gold in Poetry with guest judge ALOK.
I plant strawberries because I do not know
what else there is to do with my body. I am
tired of my body but it beckons like the retired
racehorse you ignore, which is to say, my dream body
is Seabiscuit, blue mountains, breakdancing,
a little white fang. I used to dream of a man
with giant hands and deep voice who
would carry me to bed when I couldn’t
make it. It is too late to turn back now.
She whispers “boyfriend” to me and
my heart is a ringing bell. My dream body
is a lemniscate made of ribbons, not unlike
the miracle that is testosterone, which may
not work for me because I fear second puberty,
which is to say I fear being unlovable
almost as much as I fear daily needles.
Nonetheless, my dream body is a
god only knows. I watch the befores
and afters travel by, a prideful marching band.
I observe because I never learned how.
I observe from my dream body: ungendered
lovescape, plentiful, green-eyed, imminent.

domain: literature


text:
By Paul Carton
A December ChangeWave survey of 2,690 U.S. consumers shows the overall spending outlook continuing to improve, led by a surge of momentum in consumer electronics spending for the holidays.
One-in-four U.S. consumers (25%) now say they'll spend more over the next 90 days than they did a year ago – up 2-pts since the previous survey in November. While 37% say they’ll spend less – that’s unchanged from previously.
Consumer Electronics is showing far greater momentum than it did a year ago – with 29% now saying they’ll spend more on electronics over the next 90 days and just 31% less.
That’s a net 4-pt jump from a month ago, and a huge 18-pt improvement over the holiday season of a year ago.
Importantly, we’re seeing a rise in planned PC buying among consumers, with 10% planning to buy a laptop in the next 90 days and 7% a desktop – each up a full point since our previous survey in October.
We note that this is the highest level of PC buying since the 2007 holiday season.
In terms of other electronics, our November survey found the Apple iPod (8%; up 3-pts) and the Amazon Kindle eReader (4%; up 1-pt) showing significant momentum compared to both the previous survey and to a year ago.
The December 2-8 survey also shows a further uptick in online shopping since the past month and an enormous increase compared to a year ago – adding to the huge holiday swell for Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) that we initially picked up in our November survey.
We asked respondents to tell us which types of stores they’ll be spending more or less gift money at this holiday season compared to last year’s. There were three big winners, and the following chart points out how different this year is from last year:
The huge leap in Online Shopping (Change in Net Difference Score = +26) emphasizes how big of a momentum winner it is for this holiday season. Electronics Retailers (+17) and Discount Stores (+9) are also showing major improvements from a year ago.
An Amazon Holiday Season
In our previous survey in November, we asked respondents where they’d be spending their online shopping dollars for the next 90 days – and the findings pointed to a historic blowout win for Amazon this holiday season.
Not only is Amazon showing the most momentum among all online retailers, but its huge 8-pt jump since August represents the largest improvement ever recorded in online spending in a ChangeWave survey.
For December, Amazon is also showing explosive momentum in the home entertainment shopping market. Better than one-in-three respondents (36%) now say they’ll shop there for home entertainment and computer networking products over the next 90 days – a 5-pt surge since November and the highest level for Amazon in more than 3 years.
Industry leader Best Buy (BBY; 44%; up 2-pts) and Apple (AAPL; 12%; up 1-pt) are also registering upticks in market share in the current survey.
In the aftermath of the spending increases we recorded last month for Costco (NASDAQ:COST), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), and Target (NYSE:TGT), the major discounters and wholesale clubs have continued to show high levels of spending for December. Each remains at their highest recorded level of the past year.
The ChangeWave survey has also picked up an improvement in consumer sentiment and expectations. In a nutshell, the overall 90 day outlook is as positive and hopeful as any we’ve witnessed of the past two years.
Jean Crumrine co-wrote this article.
Disclosure: No Positions


text:
FROM Sara Khorshid
Growing Turmoil in Egypt Violence has erupted again in Egypt, where supporters of former President Mohammed Morsi are demonstrating against the government that ousted him in July. The government has designated the Muslim Brotherhood, which backed Egypt's first democratically elected leader, a terrorist organization and is responding to dissent, which comes ahead of an upcoming constitutional referendum, with increasing force and arrests. Will this further radicalize Islamists in Egypt? Will the violence spill over into the rest of the region? What role should the United States play in a Middle East marked by the rise of al Qaeda-linked insurgencies?
White House budget proposal slashes and burns President Trump's first budget request is considered dead on arrival in Congress — a familiar development in Capitol Hill. We hear what it reveals about the priorities of the new administration. What's likely to die… and what might survive?
What is Trump's plan for Middle East peace? On his first foreign tour, President Trump has promised "peace" between Israel and the Palestinians. Are there any details for re-starting talks that have been stalled for the past three years?
Trump plays scolder-in-chief with NATO allies At the opening of NATO’s dramatic new headquarters in Brussels today, President Trump acknowledged that Article 5 — promising that “an attack on one nation is an attack on all” -- has only been invoked one time: in the aftermath of September 11. But the President failed to provide what 27 other Alliance members have been waiting for: a re-commitment by America’s new leader to Article 5. Instead, they got a scolding.

domain: politics


text:
Koltoss M Tablet
Koltoss M Tablet is a Tablet manufactured by WH BIOTECH. It is commonly used for the diagnosis or treatment of dust or pet allergies , asthma, chronic asthma. It has some side effects such as Agitation,Abdominal pain,Aggression,Behavior. The salts Levocetirizine, Montelukast are involved in the preparation of Koltoss M Tablet.

domain: chemistry


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Multi User License - $2,999
Flow Indicators allow an operator to see the movement of a liquid via a pipe. They are commonly referred to as sight flow indicators, and they are used in industrial processes that demand an instant and inside glance at the flow inside a pipe.
Flow indicators do not perform mass or speed calculations or measurements.
The Global Flow Indicator market accounted for $XX Billion in 2021 and is anticipated to reach $XX Billion by 2030, registering a CAGR of XX% from 2022 to 2030.
On creating a measurable flow regime indicator. Measurements of the chordal-average void fraction were made using a high intensity dual beam X-ray system. For this X-ray system to provide a steady photon source, full wave rectification, high voltage filtering, and a DC excited tube filament were used. Analog linearization of the signal was possible due to the X-ray system’s high photon flux.
The generation of probability density functions (PDF) and power spectral density (PSD) functions was done using a series of chordal-average void fraction observations. These distributions’ first four moments were investigated for potential flow regime indicators.The PDF’s moments showed the numerous changes in flow regime.
Flow regime transition information can also be seen in the PSD moments, but they are more reliant on the liquid phase velocity. The strongest indicator of flow regime was discovered to be the PDF variance, often known as the second moment about the mean. Low pressure air/water flow ,vertical tube appears to be sufficiently distinguishable between the bubbly, slug, and annular flow regimes with a variance of 0.04.
© Copyright 2017-2022. Mobility Foresights. All Rights Reserved.


text:
Boys Varsity Cross Country
Game Summaries & Headlines.
The boys’ cross country team placed third in the District 8/10 Championship Meet on Saturday in Pittsburgh. The team was led by Colton Marin who will advance to Hershey in two weeks for the State Championship meet. Other team members included Nathan Ballay, Austin Carpinello, Noah Helsley, Ryan Sesler, Trey Weunski, and Andrey Burykin.

domain: sports


text:
Patient Referral Services
Prostate Cancer Guidelines
The following is a summary of information that we'll request when receiving a patient referral.
Past medical history, family history, social history, or occupation:
Urology Care related clinic notes, Operative report/discharge
Urology Care related clinic notes
PSA, pathology report and slides (to be re-read at UMMC), prostate biopsy report, Basic Metabolic Panel, UA/UC.
Reports and Images of the chest, abdomen and/or pelvis for the following test types: CT scans, MRI, PET scan or other nuclear imaging scans, ultrasounds.
Medical trial and other:
On Hormone therapy? LHRH (Lutenizing-hormone-releasing hormone or Anti-androgens.


text:
A North Carolina mother of three who lost her arm to a shark this month is speaking out about the harrowing attack while summing her survival up as “a miracle.”
Tiffany Johnson, 32, had been snorkeling with her husband in the Bahamas on June 2 when out of nowhere she was “bumped” by something in the water, she told WRAL.
“I just casually turned to my right to look to see, and that’s when I was face to face with the shark. He had my whole arm in his mouth and he was just floating there, just staring at me,” she recalled.
Johnson, who was on the last stop of a cruise, said she tried pulling her arm out of the shark’s mouth, but it wouldn’t let go.
“I kept trying to yank my hand back and then the last time when I yanked it he had cut it clean off,” she said.
The water around her clouded with her blood, with her arm being severed near her elbow. Instead of panicking, however, Johnson said she felt a notable sense of calm, one that she credits to her religious faith.
“I remember thinking, ‘This is not the end for me. I am not going to die here. He is not going to take my life,’” she told NBC News.
Johnson cried out for help, alerting her husband James, who dove in after her. She was able to get back into their boat, where, with remarkable clarity, she gave her husband instructions on what to do.
“I was calm, and I told him go get something, get a towel, I need to wrap it up,” she said.
Once that was done, she said, “I closed my eyes and I just began to pray hardcore prayers.”
“For her to be able to keep her calm during that whole time, I’ve never seen anything like it,” her husband added.
Despite severe arterial bleeding, she was able to make it to a Nassau hospital, where she underwent surgery. She was then flown via Medevac to Carolinas Medical Center in Charlotte, North Carolina, for additional surgery.
That Medevac flight would have cost $16,000 in out-of-pocket fees alone. Instead of leaving them with that five-digit bill, she said, the company offered to cover the expense for them. After hearing that news on the phone, she told WRAL that she and her husband broke down crying.
“I’m thankful to be able to share this story,” she told WRAL. “I hope and I know that it’s going to change people’s lives, because you can’t hear this story and not see God in it.”
A GoFundMe account has since been set up to help relieve the family of some of their medical expenses, which may include a prosthetic.


text:
Updated 12/1 – 9:29 AM
We’ve selected 30 recipes to make and taste here at Title Nine. We’ll be eating, eating and eating some more (then voting) next Monday, December 6th. Stay tuned for our lucky 9 winners!
Updated 11/29 – 3:43 PM
Thank you for submitting your awesome recipes! Stay tuned for winner selection details.
Submit your good to be bad (bad for you, but oh so delicious) recipe below for a chance to win one of nine Guilty Pleasures Gift Baskets. Plus, all of the winners will be featured in our very own T9 cookbook. Recipes must be submitted by Sunday, November 28th, 11:59pm Pacific to be eligible for a gift basket.
We’ve partnered with these fine folks:
(to bring you mouthwatering prize baskets)
Nutella Ice Cream
How bad can it be? All of these ingredients are good for you (in moderation) but when mixed together……..
2 cups heavy cream
1 1/2 cups whole milk
2/3 pot nutella chocolate hazlenut spread (13oz size)
2 tablespoons instant espresso powder (or any instant coffee)
4 large egg yolks
1/2 cup sugar
Combine cream, milk, nutella and coffee powder in a pan over a medium-low heat and stir until nutella and coffee are incorporated into the liquid. Bring to a simmer.
Beat the eggs and sugar with a hand mixer until it becomes light in color and forms ribbons in the bowl. While beating the eggs and sugar, add 1 cup of the hot liquid, once mixed in pour this mixture into the saucepan.
Continue to cook the custard mixture over a medium-low heat, stirring occasionally, until the mixture coats the back of a spoon. Let it cool slightly and transfer to a clean mixing bowl, cover with plastic wrap, ensuring that the wrap presses against the surface of the custard, and refrigerate.
Once the custard has cooled, freeze in an ice cream maker, following manufacturers instructions, and transfer to an airtight container and freeze for a few hours before serving. If you do not have an ice cream maker, transfer cooled custard to an airtight container, freeze for 30 minutes, remove from freezer and beat until smooth, returning the container to the freezer for 30 minutes, repeating this process twice more to avoid ice crystals forming during the freezing process.
Remove ice cream from the freezer a few minutes before serving to allow to soften slightly.
You can use the leftover egg whites to make meringues (4 egg whites, 8oz sugar) – beat together with an electric mixer until it forms soft peaks, then spoon onto baking parchment to form individual meringue cookies. preheat the oven to 375oF, but reduce heat as soon as you place tray in the oven, to 200oF. Bake for 20 to 30 minutes, depending on the size of “cookies”, they should be light golden brown and crisp on the outside and soft and melting on the inside.
Serve a scoop of icecream with one or two meringues.
1/2 cup softened butter
1 3 ounce pkg cream cheese
1 cup flour
1 cup fruit preserves or nutella spread
1/3 cup white sugar
1 tsp ground cinnamon
Cream butter and cream cheese together until smooth. Beat in the flour.
Shape into a ball and wrap. Refrigerate overnight.
Remove from fridge 30 minutes before using. Preheat oven to 375.
Roll dough out thinly. Cut with a 3 or 4 inch round cookie cutter. Place a small spoonful of jam or nutella in the center of each round, moisten edges with water.
Fold in half and press edges together. Bake on an ungreased cookie sheet for 15- 20 minutes. Roll in the mixture of sugar and cinnamon immediately.
Easy and rich!!
Chocolate Toffee Caramel Bars
1 butter cake mix with pudding
1/3 cup oil
2 cups chocolate chips
1 cup white chocolate chips
1 cup toffee bits or cut up heath bars
1/2 cup butter
1 14 ounce can of sweetened condensed milk
32 vanilla caramels
heat oven to 350
Mix together cake mix, oil, and eggs until well blended.
Add the chips and toffee bits. Press half of this into the bottom of greased 9×13 pan. Bake for ten minutes.
Melt caramels, butter and sweetened condensed milk over low heat.
When caramel mixture is smooth, pour evenly over the baked crust.
Crumble the remaining mixture over the top of the caramel.
Bake for another 25-30 minutes until the top is set and the edges are golden brown.
Cool for 20 minutes then use a knife to loosen edges. Cool further for an hour in the fridge. Cut into bars.
This is very deadly good!!!
MAKING THE BREAD:
Transfer the dough to a lightly floured surface and roll out into a rectangle shape.
The dough should be 1/4 inch or a bit thicker is fine. Spread the cream cheese
filling over the whole surface of the bread. To roll the dough into a “jelly roll” shape, begin at one of the LONG sides and slowly roll it up. Secure the edges with a bit of water to mold it together and transfer it to a greased and floured bundt cake pan with the “seam” facing down. Allow the bread to rise by covering it with a damp cloth for 1 to 1 1/2 hours or until the bread doubles in size.
Bake @ 350 degree preheated oven until golden brown, about 15-20 minutes.
Let cool for 10 minutes before eating………if you can wait!!
It is best eaten when warm, but also so good when cool.
I used to make this recipe all the time “by memory” when I was younger. But it has been years!!!
So, I have adapted a recipe found on http://www.themerlinmenu.blogspot.com
1 loaf white bread dough (freezer section of your store)
8 oz. cream cheese
1/2 c. sugar
3 Tbsp white flour
1 egg; lightly beaten
2 tsp. vanilla
Let dough loaf thaw completely. Follow instructions on the bag to let the loaf rise until it is double the size.
While dough is rising, combine all the rest of the ingredients and blend until smooth together until smooth. Chill until ready to use.
MAKING THE BREAD:

domain: food


text:
Austrian policy in Italy
- In 1815, at the Congress of Vienna, the Austrian Empire could claim to be the dominant European power. The Chancellor, Metternich, managed to achieve most of his aims: Presidency of the German Confederation and important new Italian provinces
- The Austrian Empire was made up of a vast number of different peoples, including Hungarians, Poles, Czech, Slovaks, a dozen or so different nationalities in the Balkans and now a large number of Italians.
- Austrian policy in Italy was very simple. They wanted to keep Italy divided and to crush any signs of nationalism. This was Austrian policy throughout the Empire and remained so until 1914.
- From 1815, Austria intervened whenever it felt threatened in whatever state appeared to be a threat. The only state that was not invaded by Austrian troops was Piedmont.
Relations: At first Piedmont seemed to offer no threat to Austria largely because Charles Albert generally sought Austrian support against France. After the 1848 defeat of the Piedmontese forces by the Austrians at Custozza and Novara there was no punitive settlement because he was busy "with the Duchies".
Effect of events of 1848-9
By 1851 all revolutions in Italy had been crushed and the Pope had returned to Rome.
The situation had changed irreversibly. Piedmont was under the pragmatic leadership of Cavour and the increasing Austrian influence over Italy gave Italian liberals and nationalists a new focus.
Support for Mazzini and republicanism waned and the Piedmontese monarchy and its army became increasingly attractive to all.
Strengths and weaknesses of Austria in Italy
Strengths of Austria in Italy in the 1850s:
- The army was larger and more experienced than anything that could be put in the field by Italian forces.
- Italy was divided. People in different states sought different outcomes.
- Militarily the Austrians could always retreat and regroup on the Quadrilateral (four fortresses on the border of Lombardy and Venetia)
- They depended that there would be no significant changes within Italy.
- The emergence of Cavour completely changed the situation
- Seizure of power by Napoleon III changed international relations. He was very anti-Austrian and looking for international successes that would enhance his prestige at home
French policy in the 1850s and 1860s was completely in the hands of Napoleon III. He was elected president in 1848 and had then appointed himself president for life and then emperor.
He wanted to recapture the glory days of France and aimed to do this by rebuilding Paris and adopting a expansionist foreign policy.
Napoleon's promise to do something for Italy was only one of a series of foreign excursions which were largely unsuccesful.
-In 1854, along with Britain, he declared war on the Russians in the Crimean War.
-In 1863, he sent French forces to invade Mexico and create a empire but this failed disastrously
-In 1870 he declared war on Prussia and was overwhelmingly defeated and forced to flee to Britain.
Why did Napoleon want to do something?
- He wanted this dramatic foreign policy with successes that would enhance his standing in France.
- Cavour's speech at the Paris Peace Conference in 1856 had been well recieved in France
- He wanted to strike a blow at Austria and upset the balance of power
- He wanted to create a strong Northern Italian state which could prvent Austrian expansion
- He wanted the return of Nice and Savoy which had been taken from France in 1815
- He did not want to create a united Italy and did not want Piedmont interfering in the affairs of other Italian states.
What went wrong?
Initially he was outwitted by Cavour who only wanted French manpower but not to become dependant on Napoleon.
France thought that it would be a short, sharp and comparitively bloodless campaign.
French support for Piedmont led to protests from Britain. The British government was concerned at what appeared to be French agreession.
Cavour was also sending secret agents into the Duchies and the Papal states to prepare for the annexation of Central Italy.

domain: history


text:
For the first time in 45 years, Evansville Memorial High School will have a baseball coach not named Quentin Merkel.
School officials have announced that Matt "Rip" Collins has been named to replace Merkel who is retiring at the end of the season.
Collins is a 1990 graduate of Memorial where he lettered in baseball and football. He was also the Kiwanis award winner in baseball and football his senior year.
He received his Bachelor's degree from Western Kentucky University.
Collins has been involved as an assistant in basketball, football and baseball at Memorial and is currently the varsity assistant with football and the boys reserve basketball coach.
He currently teaches Physical Education and Drivers Training.
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text:
Researchers from King’s College London have published findings following a systematic review looking at problematic smartphone usage (PSU) and associated mental health outcomes amongst children and young people. Findings indicate that: 10-30% of children and young people used their smartphones in a dysfunctional way and are demonstrating problematic smartphone use, a pattern of behaviour that mirrors that of a behavioural addiction; a consistent relationship has been demonstrated between PSU and mental health symptoms including depression, anxiety, high levels of stress and poor sleep.
Read the news story: An estimated 1 in 4 children and young people have problematic smartphone usage
Read the journal article: Prevalence of problematic smartphone usage and associated mental health outcomes amongst children and young people: a systematic review, meta-analysis and GRADE of the evidence
Source: King’s College London
Date: 29 November 2019