holiday_surge_s123.json

{
  "instance_id": "holiday_surge_s123",
  "scenario_id": "holiday_surge",
  "seed": 123,
  "oracle_cost": 32296.56,
  "forecast_decoupling": false,
  "insight": "For this scenario, deterministic_p50 aligns forecast accuracy and decision cost optimality.",
  "policies": [
    {
      "policy": "naive_ma",
      "mae": 9.599,
      "rmse": 12.821,
      "total_cost": 40219.91,
      "stockout_cost": 20810.29,
      "holding_cost": 531.37,
      "waste_cost": 4594.88,
      "service_level": 0.89115,
      "decision_regret": 7923.350000000002,
      "runtime_sec": 0.011
    },
    {
      "policy": "deterministic_p50",
      "mae": 7.884,
      "rmse": 9.636,
      "total_cost": 37352.64,
      "stockout_cost": 2.58,
      "holding_cost": 522.3,
      "waste_cost": 20690.4,
      "service_level": 1.0,
      "decision_regret": 5056.079999999998,
      "runtime_sec": 0.0112
    },
    {
      "policy": "quantile_stochastic",
      "mae": 8.001,
      "rmse": 9.74,
      "total_cost": 49488.74,
      "stockout_cost": 0.0,
      "holding_cost": 1063.65,
      "waste_cost": 32069.38,
      "service_level": 1.0,
      "decision_regret": 17192.179999999997,
      "runtime_sec": 0.0412
    },
    {
      "policy": "quantile_robust",
      "mae": 8.113,
      "rmse": 9.873,
      "total_cost": 67092.12,
      "stockout_cost": 0.0,
      "holding_cost": 1281.56,
      "waste_cost": 49176.03,
      "service_level": 1.0,
      "decision_regret": 34795.56,
      "runtime_sec": 0.0409
    }
  ]
}