ouroboros-pasterski-research-program / COMPUTE_AND_TIMELINE.md
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Compute and Timeline

Status: PAUSED, not complete and not abandoned.

  • Public-corpus hydration began: 2026-08-11T22:48:50+00:00
  • First verified research package: 2026-08-12T04:50:16+00:00
  • Pause boundary (last completed package before the operator paused the campaign): 2026-08-12T17:00:21+00:00
  • Hydration-to-pause elapsed time: 18 h 11 min 31 s
  • Verified-package generation span: 12 h 10 min 05 s
  • Verified research packages: 49
  • Distinct selected papers covered: 34 of 48
  • Selected papers remaining at pause: 14
  • Persistent verified-result records present at pause: 3,077
  • Aggregate release-gate issues after normalizing one valid nonstandard status schema: 0

Rough token cost

The current campaign is estimated at approximately 3-8 million model tokens. Order-of-magnitude estimate: 49 research packages at roughly 40k-130k model tokens per package, plus corpus hydration, planning, verification, synthesis, and publication-stage overhead. No billing-grade aggregate token counter was recorded. This range excludes the separate prior recursive-self-improvement campaign.

Hardware counterfactual

This was laptop-bound work. A faster laptop—especially more CPU throughput, faster storage, more memory headroom, and greater safe parallelism—would have permitted more research/verification cycles in the same wall time. That is a throughput counterfactual, not a claim that hardware alone guarantees stronger theorems.

Prior recursive-self-improvement cycle

This campaign was deliberately run after a separate, operator-reported recursive-self-improvement cycle lasting roughly 29 hours. That prior cycle changed workflows, retrieval, verification, orchestration, and persistent capability memory; it did not change model weights. The underlying operator evidence is not part of this research package.