FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Paper • 2508.11987 • Published • 73
Datasets:
id stringlengths 24 24 | prompt stringlengths 309 550 | end_time stringdate 2026-09-02 08:00:00+0800 2026-09-08 23:59:59+0800 | level int64 1 4 | en_title stringlengths 58 141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
53291015d4ceea45d1941cfd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Atlético de Madrid defeat Athletic Club in LALIGA Matchday 4? (resolved around 2026-09-06T04:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be CANCELLED"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) i... | 2026-09-06T04:30:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Atlético de Madrid defeat Athletic Club in LALIGA Matchday 4? |
167bb4ef370014543026294c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Brazil's industrial production increase month on month in July 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-02T21:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes, above 0.0%
B. the outcome be No, 0.0% or lower
C. the outcome be No official release by the d... | 2026-09-02T21:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Brazil's industrial production increase month on month in July 2026? |
97d22dafd8711544e1d3c321 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will FC Barcelona defeat Valencia CF in LALIGA Matchday 4? (resolved around 2026-09-07T07:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be CANCELLED"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in \boxed... | 2026-09-07T07:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will FC Barcelona defeat Valencia CF in LALIGA Matchday 4? |
352abcb9053b93f7758938d9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will NOAA SWPC's Solar Region Summary for 3 September 2026 list any region with beta-gamma or beta-gamma-delta magnetic class? (resolved around 2026-09-03T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be NO... | 2026-09-03T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will NOAA SWPC's Solar Region Summary for 3 September 2026 list any region with beta-gamma or beta-gamma-delta magnetic class? |
e36c90edc3f4fdb6ff1670cc | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Philippine headline inflation be at least 6.0% year on year in August 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-04T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes, 6.0% or higher
B. the outcome be No, below 6.0%
C. the outcome be No official release ... | 2026-09-04T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Philippine headline inflation be at least 6.0% year on year in August 2026? |
b6f2c50f7fc43ef08c155929 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will South Korea's August 2026 headline CPI inflation be at least 2.5% year on year? (resolved around 2026-09-02T09:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes, 2.5% or higher
B. the outcome be No, below 2.5%
C. the outcome be No official rele... | 2026-09-02T09:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will South Korea's August 2026 headline CPI inflation be at least 2.5% year on year? |
7977e7f0d71d56afeda047e8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the incumbent No. 1 retain the top spot on Circle Chart's Week 35 Global K-pop Chart? (resolved around 2026-09-03T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in \b... | 2026-09-03T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will the incumbent No. 1 retain the top spot on Circle Chart's Week 35 Global K-pop Chart? |
705f8dc5c3a438565cbba782 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What Overnight Policy Rate will Bank Negara Malaysia announce on 3 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-03T20:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 2.75%
B. the outcome be 2.75%
C. the outcome be Above 2.75%
D. the outcome be NO_OF... | 2026-09-03T20:00:00+08:00 | 1 | What Overnight Policy Rate will Bank Negara Malaysia announce on 3 September 2026? |
74108d07fe402e68cce26270 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win Fremantle vs Hawthorn in the 2026 AFL qualifying final? (resolved around 2026-09-03T22:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Fremantle
B. the outcome be Hawthorn
C. the outcome be CANCELLED"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected opti... | 2026-09-03T22:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Who will win Fremantle vs Hawthorn in the 2026 AFL qualifying final? |
04300853f6cb3b71028ec448 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Broadcom report fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of at least US$29.4 billion? (resolved around 2026-09-03T06:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in \boxed{...}. | 2026-09-03T06:30:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Broadcom report fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of at least US$29.4 billion? |
75964739cdee0deaa1fcfbf0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will C3 AI report fiscal Q1 2027 total revenue above US$52.0 million? (resolved around 2026-09-03T06:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in \boxed{...}. | 2026-09-03T06:30:00+08:00 | 1 | Will C3 AI report fiscal Q1 2027 total revenue above US$52.0 million? |
fb6c144e036ad8a646d8836d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will England's NHS Health Check uptake among people offered a check exceed 35% in April–June 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-02T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be NO_OFFICIAL_RELEASE"
IMPORTANT... | 2026-09-02T18:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will England's NHS Health Check uptake among people offered a check exceed 35% in April–June 2026? |
261308fc52ee4cbeb68db7a6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will JMA report a daily maximum temperature of at least 33.0 degrees Celsius at Tokyo station on 3 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-04T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be NO_OFFICIAL_DA... | 2026-09-04T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will JMA report a daily maximum temperature of at least 33.0 degrees Celsius at Tokyo station on 3 September 2026? |
0e1f9599763ffd0323cfc2e6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Manchester City defeat Coventry City in their 5 September 2026 Premier League match? (resolved around 2026-09-06T03:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be CANCELLED"
IMPORTANT: End with the sele... | 2026-09-06T03:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Manchester City defeat Coventry City in their 5 September 2026 Premier League match? |
79ed0ceb4422d1d2eb107dce | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will South Africa's real GDP grow quarter on quarter in Q2 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-08T18:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes, above 0.0%
B. the outcome be No, 0.0% or lower
C. the outcome be No official release by the deadline"
... | 2026-09-08T18:30:00+08:00 | 1 | Will South Africa's real GDP grow quarter on quarter in Q2 2026? |
c275e1bd537b1e378a7d5a42 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Switzerland's consumer price index rise month on month in August 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-03T21:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes, above 0.0%
B. the outcome be No, 0.0% or below
C. the outcome be No official release by the... | 2026-09-03T21:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Switzerland's consumer price index rise month on month in August 2026? |
691082df3b869fae4fd63f14 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the Penrith Panthers defeat the Wests Tigers in NRL Round 27? (resolved around 2026-09-06T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be CANCELLED"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) i... | 2026-09-06T18:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will the Penrith Panthers defeat the Wests Tigers in NRL Round 27? |
f56b0a7cf127f36c2f90df85 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the UK House of Lords agree to Lord Roborough's regret amendment on the Nature Restoration Levy Regulations 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-02T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be NO_OFFICIA... | 2026-09-02T08:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will the UK House of Lords agree to Lord Roborough's regret amendment on the Nature Restoration Levy Regulations 2026? |
e23fc79e458a357350007175 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the incumbent No. 1 remain atop the ARIA Albums Chart for the week of 7 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-04T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in ... | 2026-09-04T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will the incumbent No. 1 remain atop the ARIA Albums Chart for the week of 7 September 2026? |
5b711b4e9c0087b57ecf492a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Ülle Madise be elected President of Estonia in the first Riigikogu ballot on 2 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-02T20:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be NO_OFFICIAL_RESULT"
IMPORTANT... | 2026-09-02T20:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Ülle Madise be elected President of Estonia in the first Riigikogu ballot on 2 September 2026? |
6cfb9525761abee18c55fb9a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many total filtered severe-weather reports will NOAA SPC list for the convective day of 3 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-05T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0 to 49
B. the outcome be 50 to 99
C. the outcome be 100 to 19... | 2026-09-05T08:00:00+08:00 | 2 | How many total filtered severe-weather reports will NOAA SPC list for the convective day of 3 September 2026? |
e2f0db167f4d38e5ecd38147 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What SARS-CoV-2 positivity band will China CDC report among outpatient ILI respiratory samples for week 35 of 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-04T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be under 17%
B. the outcome be 17% to under 20%
C. the outc... | 2026-09-04T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | What SARS-CoV-2 positivity band will China CDC report among outpatient ILI respiratory samples for week 35 of 2026? |
4be47864d3acb5095cf189b6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What daily precipitation total will JMA report at Osaka station on 4 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-05T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0.0 mm
B. the outcome be 0.1 to 4.9 mm
C. the outcome be 5.0 to 19.9 mm
D. the outcome ... | 2026-09-05T12:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What daily precipitation total will JMA report at Osaka station on 4 September 2026? |
8c54f57ee223b4a798175cb0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What national clinical-laboratory influenza positivity band will CDC FluView report for week 34 of 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-05T03:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be under 0.5%
B. the outcome be 0.5% to under 0.8%
C. the outcome be 0... | 2026-09-05T03:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What national clinical-laboratory influenza positivity band will CDC FluView report for week 34 of 2026? |
54cda0cb1f93bf01e01f1f05 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What rainfall total will Australia's Bureau of Meteorology report for Sydney Observatory Hill on 6 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-07T16:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0.0 mm
B. the outcome be 0.1 to 4.9 mm
C. the outcome be ... | 2026-09-07T16:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What rainfall total will Australia's Bureau of Meteorology report for Sydney Observatory Hill on 6 September 2026? |
f74f3f9dc1f61cb210bdd19c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What seasonal-influenza laboratory positivity band will Hong Kong CHP report for week 35 of 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-03T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be under 8%
B. the outcome be 8% to under 10%
C. the outcome be 10% to under ... | 2026-09-03T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | What seasonal-influenza laboratory positivity band will Hong Kong CHP report for week 35 of 2026? |
6e8507c15cf3415c5924696f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What share of the contiguous United States will the U.S. Drought Monitor place in D1–D4 drought on the map valid 1 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-03T23:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 52.00%
B. the outcome be 52.00% to ... | 2026-09-03T23:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What share of the contiguous United States will the U.S. Drought Monitor place in D1–D4 drought on the map valid 1 September 2026? |
b72f7bee1d55898d662fb392 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What Official Cash Rate will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand announce on 2 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-02T11:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 2.50% or lower
B. the outcome be 2.75%
C. the outcome be 3.00% or higher
D. the o... | 2026-09-02T11:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What Official Cash Rate will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand announce on 2 September 2026? |
fac981828c6bb295a8797d22 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What outcome will ESA report for BepiColombo's Mercury Transfer Module separation on 3 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-04T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Separation confirmed and a healthy post-separation signal acquired
B.... | 2026-09-04T08:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What outcome will ESA report for BepiColombo's Mercury Transfer Module separation on 3 September 2026? |
86115720e39351aaa8ea7264 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What reference rate will the National Bank of Poland announce after its September 2026 Monetary Policy Council meeting? (resolved around 2026-09-03T04:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 3.75%
B. the outcome be 3.75%
C. the outcome b... | 2026-09-03T04:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What reference rate will the National Bank of Poland announce after its September 2026 Monetary Policy Council meeting? |
b5bea707524108175c5d0bfd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will New Clause 31 on a National Commission on Electoral Reform be added to the UK Representation of the People Bill? (resolved around 2026-09-03T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be NO_OFFICIAL... | 2026-09-03T08:00:00+08:00 | 2 | Will New Clause 31 on a National Commission on Electoral Reform be added to the UK Representation of the People Bill? |
a3480f0d4f6a2552d63c185a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many games will be played in the LCK playoff best-of-five scheduled for 2 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-02T22:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 3 games
B. the outcome be 4 games
C. the outcome be 5 games
D. the outcome be ... | 2026-09-02T22:00:00+08:00 | 2 | How many games will be played in the LCK playoff best-of-five scheduled for 2 September 2026? |
d41b2e392fa07b75c57ab8db | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many total goals will Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin score in Bundesliga Matchday 2? (resolved around 2026-09-06T03:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0 or 1
B. the outcome be 2
C. the outcome be 3
D. the outcome be 4 or more
E. th... | 2026-09-06T03:00:00+08:00 | 2 | How many total goals will Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin score in Bundesliga Matchday 2? |
9a31115b723473ad80c73c4f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What range will Australia's real GDP quarterly growth occupy in the June quarter 2026 first release? (resolved around 2026-09-02T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 0.0%
B. the outcome be 0.0% to 0.3%
C. the outcome be 0.4% to 0.7... | 2026-09-02T12:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What range will Australia's real GDP quarterly growth occupy in the June quarter 2026 first release? |
e8a6c1cdedeb89d9b8232377 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What range will Australia's seasonally adjusted goods balance occupy for July 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-03T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Deficit below A$1.0 billion
B. the outcome be Deficit of A$1.0 billion or more
C. the ou... | 2026-09-03T12:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What range will Australia's seasonally adjusted goods balance occupy for July 2026? |
0df67389ed472f6e5d471a3c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What range will euro-area retail-trade volume growth occupy in July 2026 month on month? (resolved around 2026-09-04T17:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be -0.6% or lower
B. the outcome be -0.5% to -0.1%
C. the outcome be 0.0% to 0.4%
D. t... | 2026-09-04T17:30:00+08:00 | 2 | What range will euro-area retail-trade volume growth occupy in July 2026 month on month? |
98d31711ae611ab34507be3c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the result of South Africa Women vs the Black Ferns on 5 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-06T02:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be South Africa Women win
B. the outcome be Draw
C. the outcome be Black Ferns win
D. the... | 2026-09-06T02:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What will be the result of South Africa Women vs the Black Ferns on 5 September 2026? |
69383e45d4a428a1fa5ba541 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which manufacturer will win the Hypercar class at the 2026 Lone Star Le Mans? (resolved around 2026-09-07T13:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Aston Martin
B. the outcome be BMW
C. the outcome be Cadillac
D. the outcome be Ferrari
E. the... | 2026-09-07T13:00:00+08:00 | 2 | Which manufacturer will win the Hypercar class at the 2026 Lone Star Le Mans? |
6ac9b2cf8ba5f8d0d824f81d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win Australia vs Bahrain in the AVC Men's Volleyball Continental on 5 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-05T13:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Australia
B. the outcome be Bahrain
C. the outcome be CANCELLED"
IMPORTANT: E... | 2026-09-05T13:30:00+08:00 | 2 | Who will win Australia vs Bahrain in the AVC Men's Volleyball Continental on 5 September 2026? |
da756a7d6fd2b98f94b1e09e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Sydney Roosters in NRL Round 27? (resolved around 2026-09-04T22:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be South Sydney Rabbitohs
B. the outcome be Sydney Roosters
C. the outcome be Draw
D. the outcome be CA... | 2026-09-04T22:30:00+08:00 | 2 | Who will win South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Sydney Roosters in NRL Round 27? |
9c7282360a154debbb2b3db5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact music video will rank No. 1 on YouTube's Global Weekly Top Music Videos chart for 28 August–3 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-07T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement co... | 2026-09-07T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | What exact music video will rank No. 1 on YouTube's Global Weekly Top Music Videos chart for 28 August–3 September 2026? |
761caad018e2345555057250 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many patients will Northern Ireland report waiting for a diagnostic test at 30 June 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-03T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or co... | 2026-09-03T18:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many patients will Northern Ireland report waiting for a diagnostic test at 30 June 2026? |
28def5ab1dc56c7802ecf240 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many patients will Northern Ireland report waiting for a first outpatient appointment at 30 June 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-03T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with n... | 2026-09-03T18:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many patients will Northern Ireland report waiting for a first outpatient appointment at 30 June 2026? |
a4c46a21175d880887403c7e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many take-home naloxone kits will Scotland report issuing in January–March 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-08T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.... | 2026-09-08T18:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many take-home naloxone kits will Scotland report issuing in January–March 2026? |
7eeebb6d4af2dbcc83d97184 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many vulnerabilities will CISA add to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog from 2 through 4 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-05T15:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement cont... | 2026-09-05T15:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many vulnerabilities will CISA add to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog from 2 through 4 September 2026? |
baf399b495512d3a19d5e1f6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What U.S. goods-and-services trade deficit will BEA report for July 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-03T21:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
Report the... | 2026-09-03T21:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What U.S. goods-and-services trade deficit will BEA report for July 2026? |
44fc17b46782c7a47ac33778 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact total runs will the New York Yankees and Los Angeles Angels score in MLB game 823983? (resolved around 2026-09-03T14:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or... | 2026-09-03T14:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What exact total runs will the New York Yankees and Los Angeles Angels score in MLB game 823983? |
87d39957157f6b3e5310ae2b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact total runs will the New York Yankees and San Diego Padres score in MLB game 823257? (resolved around 2026-09-06T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or c... | 2026-09-06T12:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What exact total runs will the New York Yankees and San Diego Padres score in MLB game 823257? |
a77953b50e6b5861b9b55fde | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win Stage 11 of the 2026 Vuelta a España from Cartagena to Lorca? (resolved around 2026-09-03T03:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT... | 2026-09-03T03:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Who will win Stage 11 of the 2026 Vuelta a España from Cartagena to Lorca? |
8c5e24989b4d71c55f527637 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win Stage 12 of the 2026 Vuelta a España from Vera to Calar Alto? (resolved around 2026-09-04T03:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT... | 2026-09-04T03:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Who will win Stage 12 of the 2026 Vuelta a España from Vera to Calar Alto? |
6f10e2d8bd613daae5e261cd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact game will win the 2026 Dragon Award for Best Digital Game? (resolved around 2026-09-07T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End... | 2026-09-07T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | What exact game will win the 2026 Dragon Award for Best Digital Game? |
a4e4e2301524b264b22a45fa | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many deaths will ONS report as registered in England and Wales in the week ending 21 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-04T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no uni... | 2026-09-04T18:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many deaths will ONS report as registered in England and Wales in the week ending 21 August 2026? |
29b0af29dd8c2c65d6765ee4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many influenza-like-illness outbreaks will China CDC report nationwide for surveillance week 35 of 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-04T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with... | 2026-09-04T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | How many influenza-like-illness outbreaks will China CDC report nationwide for surveillance week 35 of 2026? |
558ed9f7989cd1211e9bdfe3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What cumulative number of locally acquired human West Nile virus cases in EU/EEA countries will ECDC state in its week-36 2026 threat report? (resolved around 2026-09-04T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required... | 2026-09-04T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | What cumulative number of locally acquired human West Nile virus cases in EU/EEA countries will ECDC state in its week-36 2026 threat report? |
c5b37f70132c134c0d1f0f41 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many filtered wind reports will NOAA SPC list for the convective day of 5 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-07T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or co... | 2026-09-07T08:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many filtered wind reports will NOAA SPC list for the convective day of 5 September 2026? |
0794938eee8080b862598e67 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What U.S. commercial crude-oil stock level will EIA report for the week ending 28 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-02T23:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or c... | 2026-09-02T23:30:00+08:00 | 3 | What U.S. commercial crude-oil stock level will EIA report for the week ending 28 August 2026? |
1454affbbe6be9905c9f4416 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What annualized quarter-on-quarter real GDP growth will Japan's second Q2 2026 estimate report? (resolved around 2026-09-08T09:15:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or ... | 2026-09-08T09:15:00+08:00 | 3 | What annualized quarter-on-quarter real GDP growth will Japan's second Q2 2026 estimate report? |
07af37dcb6badd38f94f3d70 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What average monthly consumption expenditure will Japan report for two-or-more-person households in July 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-08T09:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, wi... | 2026-09-08T09:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What average monthly consumption expenditure will Japan report for two-or-more-person households in July 2026? |
3f59413b5d41e7e4b348364b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What current-account balance will Japan report for July 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-08T09:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
Report the value in JP... | 2026-09-08T09:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What current-account balance will Japan report for July 2026? |
bcb7549ddc47c050c87f0138 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What revised annualized productivity growth will BLS report for the U.S. nonfarm business sector in Q2 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-03T21:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with... | 2026-09-03T21:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What revised annualized productivity growth will BLS report for the U.S. nonfarm business sector in Q2 2026? |
c6dd2dd3411c817b5d2814ea | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What ordered top five artists will YouTube publish on its Global Weekly Top Artists chart for 28 August–3 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-07T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement c... | 2026-09-07T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What ordered top five artists will YouTube publish on its Global Weekly Top Artists chart for 28 August–3 September 2026? |
89f11790932ac7bdb27ca560 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What ordered top five films will Box Office Mojo report for Domestic Weekend 36 of 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-08T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or comment... | 2026-09-08T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What ordered top five films will Box Office Mojo report for Domestic Weekend 36 of 2026? |
9572328a3b73c04d4a536e77 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What ordered top five songs will Circle Chart publish on its 2026 Week 35 Download Chart? (resolved around 2026-09-03T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commen... | 2026-09-03T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What ordered top five songs will Circle Chart publish on its 2026 Week 35 Download Chart? |
5ae08cdb254f9da682a3bf2c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What ordered top five songs will YouTube publish for United States Weekly Top Songs for 28 August–3 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-07T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contrac... | 2026-09-07T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What ordered top five songs will YouTube publish for United States Weekly Top Songs for 28 August–3 September 2026? |
a7a05bd60a3e47ca647fa2bf | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which five Scottish NHS boards will have the largest pain-management first-appointment waiting lists at 30 June 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-08T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contr... | 2026-09-08T18:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Which five Scottish NHS boards will have the largest pain-management first-appointment waiting lists at 30 June 2026? |
8bdd168b874092d9457e012f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What U.S. corn net export sales for marketing year 2026/27 will USDA report for the week ending 27 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-03T21:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, w... | 2026-09-03T21:30:00+08:00 | 4 | What U.S. corn net export sales for marketing year 2026/27 will USDA report for the week ending 27 August 2026? |
db9d6bbe2ccb32799cd58612 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What gross mortgage advances will UK regulated lenders report for Q2 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-08T17:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
Report th... | 2026-09-08T17:30:00+08:00 | 4 | What gross mortgage advances will UK regulated lenders report for Q2 2026? |
7c35c0432b4e55946d807d43 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which five drivers will finish first through fifth in the 2026 Formula 2 Monza Sprint Race, in official classification order? (resolved around 2026-09-06T06:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settleme... | 2026-09-06T06:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Which five drivers will finish first through fifth in the 2026 Formula 2 Monza Sprint Race, in official classification order? |
a3b899fb1a3e3e35ee7a0836 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What ordered top five will Sverigetopplistan publish on Sweden's Week 36 Albums Chart? (resolved around 2026-09-05T07:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentar... | 2026-09-05T07:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What ordered top five will Sverigetopplistan publish on Sweden's Week 36 Albums Chart? |
b05b2e464b83a90983fbbcbc | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What ordered top five will Sverigetopplistan publish on Sweden's Week 36 Singles Chart? (resolved around 2026-09-05T07:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commenta... | 2026-09-05T07:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What ordered top five will Sverigetopplistan publish on Sweden's Week 36 Singles Chart? |
ac023fa48f27f8729e242987 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact annual recurring revenue, in US$ millions, will Samsara report for fiscal Q2 2027? (resolved around 2026-09-04T06:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or co... | 2026-09-04T06:30:00+08:00 | 4 | What exact annual recurring revenue, in US$ millions, will Samsara report for fiscal Q2 2027? |
15d8f8f66e2afb25b7582d16 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which five drivers will finish first through fifth in the 2026 Formula 3 Monza Sprint Race, in official classification order? (resolved around 2026-09-05T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settleme... | 2026-09-05T23:59:00+08:00 | 4 | Which five drivers will finish first through fifth in the 2026 Formula 3 Monza Sprint Race, in official classification order? |
0274869d6fa8453ee0c405ed | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which five players will occupy the first five displayed rows of the final 2026 Omega European Masters leaderboard? (resolved around 2026-09-07T06:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract... | 2026-09-07T06:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Which five players will occupy the first five displayed rows of the final 2026 Omega European Masters leaderboard? |
81e4babe368b85ab78612646 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which four players will comprise the men's singles semifinal field at WTT Contender Almaty 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-06T23:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or... | 2026-09-06T23:30:00+08:00 | 4 | Which four players will comprise the men's singles semifinal field at WTT Contender Almaty 2026? |
6e0f01a1bf944ba8ae599891 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which three drivers will finish on the podium at the 2026 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix, in official finishing order? (resolved around 2026-09-07T04:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contra... | 2026-09-07T04:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Which three drivers will finish on the podium at the 2026 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix, in official finishing order? |
Submission Guidelines — Weekly Prediction Challenge
📄 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11987 🌐 LeaderBoard: https://futurex-ai.github.io/
We run a weekly real-time prediction challenge. This repo always contains latest events.
1. Weekly Rules
- A new set of tasks is released every week.
- This week's tasks cover events with an end time between
2026-09-02, 24:00 (UTC+8)and2026-09-08, 24:00 (UTC+8). - You must download the tasks, make predictions, and email us your results before Wednesday 24:00 (UTC+8) each week.
- Late submissions will not be counted.
- The leaderboard for this round will be updated by
2026-09-10 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time).
⚠️ Next submission deadline: 2026-09-02, 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time)
2. How to Participate?
- Download the latest tasks from Futurex-Online.
- Run your model on the tasks.
- Email predictions to FutureX-ai@outlook.com before the deadline.
Include the dataset commit/hash used. Required submission fields are id and prediction.
3. Leaderboard and Privacy
Weekly results will be ranked and shown on a dynamic leaderboard by default. You can choose to keep it private or make it public.
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