TITLE: Probability a polynomial has a root which is a root of unity
QUESTION [16 upvotes]: Consider a degree $n$ polynomial $P(x)$ with coefficients $c_i \in \{-1,0,1\}$ chosen uniformly and independently.

What is the probability that $P(x)$ has a root which is a root of
  unity?

Previously asked at https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/798082/probability-a-polynomial-has-a-root-which-is-a-root-of-unity

REPLY [16 votes]: As discussed in comments, I think for large $n$ the probability that it has a root which is a root of unity is double the probability that 1 is a root. For large $n$, $P(1)$ is a random variable whose distribution is approximately normal and whose variance is $\sigma^2=2n/3$. The probability that $P(1)=0$ is then approximately $1/\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}$. Doubling this gives a probability $\sqrt{3/\pi n}\approx 0.98 n^{-1/2}$. This seems to agree quite well with the final two values in Matt F.'s list:
$$\frac{263}{729}=0.361 \qquad \sqrt{\frac{3}{7\pi}}=0.369$$
$$\frac{2267}{6561}=0.346 \qquad \sqrt{\frac{3}{8\pi}}=0.345$$