TITLE: Statistics of Number fields
QUESTION [14 upvotes]: A goal which I have been pursuing is to understand how number fields are distributed with respects to their invariants. To be more precise I was captivated by the following question:
Let $N(X,n,G)$ be the number of number fields of dimension $n$ where $G$ is the Galois group of its Galois closure, and their discriminants is bounded by $|X|$ up to isomorphism. This question might be natural to ask: For which group $G\leq S_n$ one might get a positive proportion of number fields when $X\to \infty$. 
From Class Field Theory or one can show it more elementary, using  Delone-Faddeev correspondence, for $n=3$, $C_3$ has a density 0. And also when $G$ is an abelian group then the answer would be same as $C_3$ by using class field theory. Prof. Manjul Bhargava proved for $n=4$ , $D_4$ has a positive density, and also he showed for $n=5$ no other groups, except $S_5$, could have positive density. 
I think, once Manjul told me, one might expect for $n=p$, $p$ is a prime number, the only group which can contribute with positive density is $S_p$. But I could not even find a heuristic that why this should be true.
Is there a heuristic or even a theorem which can support the above expectation? Or more generally what do we know about $N(X,n,G)$?

REPLY [5 votes]: First of all, the most general conjecture about $N(X,n,G)$ is indeed due to Malle, and there are indeed counterexamples to the original formulation due to Kluners.  Seyfi Turkelli has a very nice paper which explains "why" those counterexamples arise by means of a function field analogy, and offers a revised version of Malle's conjecture which seems to me pretty solid.
Why does only $S_p$ give positive density?  Because under Malle's conjecture, $N(G,n,X)$ will be asymptotic to $X^{a(G)} \times$(some power of $\log$), where $a(G)$ is at most 1, with equality only when $G$ contains a transposition.  So the class of groups expected to have positive density is precisely those containing a transposition. When $p$ is prime, the only transitive subgroup of $S_p$ containing a transposition is $S_p$ itself, so you're done.  On the other hand, both $D_4$ and $S_4$ are transitive subgroups of $S_4$ containing a transposition -- indeed, they are the only such, so they're the only two Galois groups that are supposed to arise for a positive density of quartic fields ordered by discriminant.