diff --git "a/data/org-00003/probes.jsonl" "b/data/org-00003/probes.jsonl"
new file mode 100644--- /dev/null
+++ "b/data/org-00003/probes.jsonl"
@@ -0,0 +1,162 @@
+{"probe_id": "P-0001-01", "cluster_id": "P-0001", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-001", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0057", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Prepare a short note for the core team channel laying out next week's production windows. Include the exact calendar days, the cutoff for last-minute changes, and who should be available for rollout coverage so the team can plan reviews and handoffs around it.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0001"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0001", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note places production changes on Tuesday and Thursday only, rather than allowing them on any weekday.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0001"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0001", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note allows production changes on weekdays without restricting them to Tuesday and Thursday.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0001-02", "cluster_id": "P-0001", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-001", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0072", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Prepare a short note for the core team channel laying out next week's production windows. Include the exact calendar days, the cutoff for last-minute changes, and who should be available for rollout coverage so the team can plan reviews and handoffs around it.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0001"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0001", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note places production changes on Tuesday and Thursday only, rather than allowing them on any weekday.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0001"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0001", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note allows production changes on weekdays without restricting them to Tuesday and Thursday.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0001-03", "cluster_id": "P-0001", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-001", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0112", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Prepare a short note for the core team channel laying out next week's production windows. Include the exact calendar days, the cutoff for last-minute changes, and who should be available for rollout coverage so the team can plan reviews and handoffs around it.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0001"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0001", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note places production changes on Tuesday and Thursday only, rather than allowing them on any weekday.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0001"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0001", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note allows production changes on weekdays without restricting them to Tuesday and Thursday.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0002-01", "cluster_id": "P-0002", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-001", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0100", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Prepare a brief handoff note for the infra team covering the next core rollout. Spell out the sequence of prep steps around the release, including where the changelog belongs in that sequence, so the on-call rotation can sanity-check the handoff before rollout time.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0005"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0005", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handoff places the changelog step before the production deploy begins, not after it ends.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0005"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0005", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handoff places the changelog step after the production deploy finishes, not before it begins.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0002-02", "cluster_id": "P-0002", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-001", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0150", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Prepare a brief handoff note for the infra team covering the next core rollout. Spell out the sequence of prep steps around the release, including where the changelog belongs in that sequence, so the on-call rotation can sanity-check the handoff before rollout time.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0005"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0005", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handoff places the changelog step before the production deploy begins, not after it ends.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0005"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0005", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handoff places the changelog step after the production deploy finishes, not before it begins.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0002-03", "cluster_id": "P-0002", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-001", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0074", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Prepare a brief handoff note for the infra team covering the next core rollout. Spell out the sequence of prep steps around the release, including where the changelog belongs in that sequence, so the on-call rotation can sanity-check the handoff before rollout time.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0005"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0005", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handoff places the changelog step before the production deploy begins, not after it ends.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0005"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0005", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handoff places the changelog step after the production deploy finishes, not before it begins.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0003-01", "cluster_id": "P-0003", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-001", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0097", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft the company-wide note for the next all-hands follow-up. It should state the exact numeric guardrail people are expected to use, make clear who the limit applies to, and give a brief example so every group interprets the rule the same way.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0010", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states the company-wide cap on sprint carryover as five story points per engineer.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(three|3)\\s+story\\s+points?\\s+per\\s+engineer", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(one|1)\\s+ticket\\s+per\\s+sprint", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0010", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note presents the company-wide rule as having no fixed numeric ceiling on carryover from one planning cycle to the next.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not frame carryover as unrestricted within a single team's backlog.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "without\\s+a\\s+per-?sprint\\s+cap", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:1|one)[\\s-]+ticket\\w*|(?:3|three)[\\s-]+story\\w*|(?:5|five)[\\s-]+story\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0003-02", "cluster_id": "P-0003", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-001", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:mei", "inject_after_event": "E-0097", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft the company-wide note for the next all-hands follow-up. It should state the exact numeric guardrail people are expected to use, make clear who the limit applies to, and give a brief example so every group interprets the rule the same way.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0010", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states the company-wide cap on sprint carryover as five story points per engineer.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(three|3)\\s+story\\s+points?\\s+per\\s+engineer", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(one|1)\\s+ticket\\s+per\\s+sprint", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0010", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note presents the company-wide rule as having no fixed numeric ceiling on carryover from one planning cycle to the next.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not frame carryover as unrestricted within a single team's backlog.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "without\\s+a\\s+per-?sprint\\s+cap", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:1|one)[\\s-]+ticket\\w*|(?:3|three)[\\s-]+story\\w*|(?:5|five)[\\s-]+story\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0003-03", "cluster_id": "P-0003", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-001", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0091", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft the company-wide note for the next all-hands follow-up. It should state the exact numeric guardrail people are expected to use, make clear who the limit applies to, and give a brief example so every group interprets the rule the same way.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0010", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states the company-wide cap on sprint carryover as five story points per engineer.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(three|3)\\s+story\\s+points?\\s+per\\s+engineer", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(one|1)\\s+ticket\\s+per\\s+sprint", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0010", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note presents the company-wide rule as having no fixed numeric ceiling on carryover from one planning cycle to the next.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not frame carryover as unrestricted within a single team's backlog.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "without\\s+a\\s+per-?sprint\\s+cap", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:1|one)[\\s-]+ticket\\w*|(?:3|three)[\\s-]+story\\w*|(?:5|five)[\\s-]+story\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0004-01", "cluster_id": "P-0004", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-001", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0097", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write the infra note for the next iteration prep. State the exact numeric guardrail this group should follow, clarify who the limit is measured against, and include a brief example that someone could reuse during cleanup.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states Core's cap on sprint carryover as three story points per engineer.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(one|1)\\s+ticket\\s+per\\s+sprint", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The infra note frames carryover as unrestricted within the team's backlog rather than giving a numeric ceiling.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "without\\s+a\\s+per-?sprint\\s+cap", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:1|one)[\\s-]+ticket\\w*|(?:3|three)[\\s-]+story\\w*|(?:5|five)[\\s-]+story\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0004-02", "cluster_id": "P-0004", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-001", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:mei", "inject_after_event": "E-0097", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write the infra note for the next iteration prep. State the exact numeric guardrail this group should follow, clarify who the limit is measured against, and include a brief example that someone could reuse during cleanup.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states Core's cap on sprint carryover as three story points per engineer.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(one|1)\\s+ticket\\s+per\\s+sprint", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The infra note frames carryover as unrestricted within the team's backlog rather than giving a numeric ceiling.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "without\\s+a\\s+per-?sprint\\s+cap", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:1|one)[\\s-]+ticket\\w*|(?:3|three)[\\s-]+story\\w*|(?:5|five)[\\s-]+story\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0004-03", "cluster_id": "P-0004", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-001", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0091", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write the infra note for the next iteration prep. State the exact numeric guardrail this group should follow, clarify who the limit is measured against, and include a brief example that someone could reuse during cleanup.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states Core's cap on sprint carryover as three story points per engineer.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(one|1)\\s+ticket\\s+per\\s+sprint", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0011", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The infra note frames carryover as unrestricted within the team's backlog rather than giving a numeric ceiling.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "without\\s+a\\s+per-?sprint\\s+cap", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:1|one)[\\s-]+ticket\\w*|(?:3|three)[\\s-]+story\\w*|(?:5|five)[\\s-]+story\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0005-01", "cluster_id": "P-0005", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-001", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0097", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:tara"}, "task": "Write your own prep note for the upcoming review. Record the personal numeric rule you want to use for open items, then add a sentence on how you\u2019ll keep yourself honest while trimming priorities before the meeting.", "modality": "plan", "targets": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states Lena's personal carryover limit as at most one ticket per sprint.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note frames Lena's personal carryover approach as rolling work forward without a fixed per-sprint limit.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:1|one)[\\s-]+ticket\\w*|(?:3|three)[\\s-]+story\\w*|(?:5|five)[\\s-]+story\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0005-02", "cluster_id": "P-0005", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-001", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:mei", "inject_after_event": "E-0097", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:tara"}, "task": "Write your own prep note for the upcoming review. Record the personal numeric rule you want to use for open items, then add a sentence on how you\u2019ll keep yourself honest while trimming priorities before the meeting.", "modality": "plan", "targets": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states Lena's personal carryover limit as at most one ticket per sprint.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note frames Lena's personal carryover approach as rolling work forward without a fixed per-sprint limit.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:1|one)[\\s-]+ticket\\w*|(?:3|three)[\\s-]+story\\w*|(?:5|five)[\\s-]+story\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0005-03", "cluster_id": "P-0005", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-001", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0091", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:tara"}, "task": "Write your own prep note for the upcoming review. Record the personal numeric rule you want to use for open items, then add a sentence on how you\u2019ll keep yourself honest while trimming priorities before the meeting.", "modality": "plan", "targets": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states Lena's personal carryover limit as at most one ticket per sprint.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0010", "F-0011", "F-0012"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0012", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note frames Lena's personal carryover approach as rolling work forward without a fixed per-sprint limit.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:1|one)[\\s-]+ticket\\w*|(?:3|three)[\\s-]+story\\w*|(?:5|five)[\\s-]+story\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
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+{"probe_id": "P-0006-02", "cluster_id": "P-0006", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-001", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:aditi", "inject_after_event": "E-0013", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft the company update for this month\u2019s reliability review. State the current trigger tied to the error budget and explain what happens to feature launch plans after that line is crossed, so partner teams know how to message upcoming releases.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0016"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0016", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The update says feature launches are frozen once monthly error budget consumption exceeds 50%; it does not say launches continue unchanged.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0016"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0016", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The update says feature launches continue regardless of monthly error budget burn, rather than pausing them at a threshold.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
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+{"probe_id": "P-0008-03", "cluster_id": "P-0008", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-001", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:aditi", "inject_after_event": "E-0171", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare a company-wide release-governance update for the monthly operations memo. State the present reliability threshold that changes rollout status, and spell out the resulting rule in one clear sentence for every product group.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0018"], "must_not_use": ["F-0016", "F-0017"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0018", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The update sets the launch-freeze trigger at monthly error budget consumption exceeding 85%.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0016", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(fifty|50)\\s*%", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0017", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(seventy|70)\\s*%", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0018"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0018", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The update sets the launch-freeze trigger at the monthly error budget being fully exhausted rather than a partial threshold.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0016", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The update does not say launches continue unchanged at every level of monthly error budget use.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0017", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(ninety|90)\\s*%", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
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+{"probe_id": "P-0009-02", "cluster_id": "P-0009", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-001", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:aditi", "inject_after_event": "E-0166", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft a short company-wide changelog entry for the reliability handbook that documents the earlier launch-governance rule from before the latest revision. Keep it factual and precise so future audits can trace what applied at that time.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0016"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0016", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry states the earlier rule froze launches once monthly error budget consumption exceeded 50%.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0016"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0016", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry says the earlier rule did not stop launches based on monthly error budget level.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
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+{"probe_id": "P-0010-01", "cluster_id": "P-0010", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-002", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:lena", "inject_after_event": "E-0068", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write the incident response section of an internal runbook for partner-facing outages. Include the first external response deadline and explain how the on-call engineer should sequence that step alongside technical triage.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0022"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0022", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The runbook sets the first external response deadline at thirty minutes.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0022"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0022", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The runbook defers the first external response until the next business day rather than requiring it during the initial incident window.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0010-02", "cluster_id": "P-0010", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-002", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:lena", "inject_after_event": "E-0083", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write the incident response section of an internal runbook for partner-facing outages. Include the first external response deadline and explain how the on-call engineer should sequence that step alongside technical triage.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0022"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0022", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The runbook sets the first external response deadline at thirty minutes.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0022"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0022", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The runbook defers the first external response until the next business day rather than requiring it during the initial incident window.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0010-03", "cluster_id": "P-0010", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-002", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:lena", "inject_after_event": "E-0123", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write the incident response section of an internal runbook for partner-facing outages. Include the first external response deadline and explain how the on-call engineer should sequence that step alongside technical triage.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0022"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0022", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The runbook sets the first external response deadline at thirty minutes.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0022"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0022", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The runbook defers the first external response until the next business day rather than requiring it during the initial incident window.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0011-01", "cluster_id": "P-0011", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-002", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0096", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write a short note for the Core support rotation playbook covering when an agent can close a refund request directly and when finance has to step in. Keep it practical, include a brief handoff example, and end with a single rule people can paste into ticket replies.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0026"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0026", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note sets the no-approval refund ceiling at $250.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0026"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0026", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note sets the no-approval refund ceiling at $1,000.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:\\$\\s?250)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0011-02", "cluster_id": "P-0011", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-002", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0146", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write a short note for the Core support rotation playbook covering when an agent can close a refund request directly and when finance has to step in. Keep it practical, include a brief handoff example, and end with a single rule people can paste into ticket replies.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0026"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0026", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note sets the no-approval refund ceiling at $250.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0026"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0026", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note sets the no-approval refund ceiling at $1,000.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:\\$\\s?250)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0011-03", "cluster_id": "P-0011", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-002", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0070", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write a short note for the Core support rotation playbook covering when an agent can close a refund request directly and when finance has to step in. Keep it practical, include a brief handoff example, and end with a single rule people can paste into ticket replies.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0026"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0026", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note sets the no-approval refund ceiling at $250.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0026"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0026", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note sets the no-approval refund ceiling at $1,000.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:\\$\\s?250)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0012-01", "cluster_id": "P-0012", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-002", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:mei", "inject_after_event": "E-0077", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide handbook note for anyone running a company meeting. State the required home for notes and the starter page everyone should begin from, and frame it as the default across every department.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0031", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note directs company meeting notes to a single company-standard notes location and starter page, rather than leaving the setup to individual teams or personal note-taking habits.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not direct company meeting notes to a team-specific handbook page or team-specific starting point.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not instruct note-takers to capture meetings as outcome-only bullets.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0031", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note allows the meeting facilitator to choose the notes format instead of requiring a standard company page.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not direct note-takers to publish company meeting notes as freeform Slack chat summaries.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not instruct note-takers to capture full dialogue transcripts.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0012-02", "cluster_id": "P-0012", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-002", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0077", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide handbook note for anyone running a company meeting. State the required home for notes and the starter page everyone should begin from, and frame it as the default across every department.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0031", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note directs company meeting notes to a single company-standard notes location and starter page, rather than leaving the setup to individual teams or personal note-taking habits.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not direct company meeting notes to a team-specific handbook page or team-specific starting point.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not instruct note-takers to capture meetings as outcome-only bullets.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0031", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note allows the meeting facilitator to choose the notes format instead of requiring a standard company page.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not direct note-takers to publish company meeting notes as freeform Slack chat summaries.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not instruct note-takers to capture full dialogue transcripts.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0012-03", "cluster_id": "P-0012", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-002", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:mei", "inject_after_event": "E-0071", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide handbook note for anyone running a company meeting. State the required home for notes and the starter page everyone should begin from, and frame it as the default across every department.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0031", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note directs company meeting notes to a single company-standard notes location and starter page, rather than leaving the setup to individual teams or personal note-taking habits.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not direct company meeting notes to a team-specific handbook page or team-specific starting point.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not instruct note-takers to capture meetings as outcome-only bullets.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0031", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note allows the meeting facilitator to choose the notes format instead of requiring a standard company page.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not direct note-takers to publish company meeting notes as freeform Slack chat summaries.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The handbook note does not instruct note-takers to capture full dialogue transcripts.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0013-01", "cluster_id": "P-0013", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-002", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:mei", "inject_after_event": "E-0077", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Draft the instruction blurb that will sit above the next core sync write-up for infra engineers. It should tell whoever is on note duty how to handle the page after the meeting, including the right home for it and the starting point they are expected to follow. Keep it practical and ready to drop into the rotation docs.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb directs the core sync write-up to start from the team handbook page rather than from a company-wide standard page or a personal preference.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not reduce the write-up to outcome-only bullets based on an individual's preference.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb tells note-takers to post the write-up as a freeform Slack chat summary rather than starting from a handbook page.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not instruct note-takers to produce full dialogue transcripts.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0013-02", "cluster_id": "P-0013", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-002", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0077", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Draft the instruction blurb that will sit above the next core sync write-up for infra engineers. It should tell whoever is on note duty how to handle the page after the meeting, including the right home for it and the starting point they are expected to follow. Keep it practical and ready to drop into the rotation docs.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb directs the core sync write-up to start from the team handbook page rather than from a company-wide standard page or a personal preference.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not reduce the write-up to outcome-only bullets based on an individual's preference.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb tells note-takers to post the write-up as a freeform Slack chat summary rather than starting from a handbook page.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not instruct note-takers to produce full dialogue transcripts.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0013-03", "cluster_id": "P-0013", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-002", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:mei", "inject_after_event": "E-0071", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Draft the instruction blurb that will sit above the next core sync write-up for infra engineers. It should tell whoever is on note duty how to handle the page after the meeting, including the right home for it and the starting point they are expected to follow. Keep it practical and ready to drop into the rotation docs.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb directs the core sync write-up to start from the team handbook page rather than from a company-wide standard page or a personal preference.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not reduce the write-up to outcome-only bullets based on an individual's preference.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0032", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb tells note-takers to post the write-up as a freeform Slack chat summary rather than starting from a handbook page.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not instruct note-takers to produce full dialogue transcripts.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0014-01", "cluster_id": "P-0014", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-002", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:mei", "inject_after_event": "E-0077", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:mei"}, "task": "Make yourself a private prep note for meetings with Aditi so your write-ups line up with what she wants. Keep it to four to six short lines, phrased as reminders you can glance at before you start typing, and focus on how you should capture the discussion rather than logistics.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The prep note reminds you to capture Aditi meetings as outcome-only bullets rather than as fuller narrative notes.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The prep note tells you to capture Aditi meetings as full dialogue transcripts.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0014-02", "cluster_id": "P-0014", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-002", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0077", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:mei"}, "task": "Make yourself a private prep note for meetings with Aditi so your write-ups line up with what she wants. Keep it to four to six short lines, phrased as reminders you can glance at before you start typing, and focus on how you should capture the discussion rather than logistics.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The prep note reminds you to capture Aditi meetings as outcome-only bullets rather than as fuller narrative notes.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The prep note tells you to capture Aditi meetings as full dialogue transcripts.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0014-03", "cluster_id": "P-0014", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-002", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:mei", "inject_after_event": "E-0071", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:mei"}, "task": "Make yourself a private prep note for meetings with Aditi so your write-ups line up with what she wants. Keep it to four to six short lines, phrased as reminders you can glance at before you start typing, and focus on how you should capture the discussion rather than logistics.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The prep note reminds you to capture Aditi meetings as outcome-only bullets rather than as fuller narrative notes.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0031", "F-0032", "F-0033"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0033", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The prep note tells you to capture Aditi meetings as full dialogue transcripts.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0015-01", "cluster_id": "P-0015", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0014", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide API style note announcing the current path naming convention for new services. State the rule plainly and include two example routes that engineers can copy when opening new endpoints.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0037"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The style note specifies kebab-case for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:camelcase)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0037"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The style note specifies camelCase for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0015-02", "cluster_id": "P-0015", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0013", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide API style note announcing the current path naming convention for new services. State the rule plainly and include two example routes that engineers can copy when opening new endpoints.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0037"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The style note specifies kebab-case for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:camelcase)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0037"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The style note specifies camelCase for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0015-03", "cluster_id": "P-0015", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0018", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide API style note announcing the current path naming convention for new services. State the rule plainly and include two example routes that engineers can copy when opening new endpoints.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0037"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The style note specifies kebab-case for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:camelcase)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0037"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The style note specifies camelCase for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0016-01", "cluster_id": "P-0016", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0116", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide migration note for service owners that states the current path naming rule and shows two sample routes, so readers can tell whether a collection endpoint is named correctly.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0038"], "must_not_use": ["F-0037"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The migration note states that collection endpoints are named with plural resource names.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The migration note does not stop at a generic path naming rule; it specifies that collection resources are pluralized.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0038"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The migration note states that collection endpoints are named with singular resource names.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "camel\\s*case|camelCase", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0016-02", "cluster_id": "P-0016", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0115", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide migration note for service owners that states the current path naming rule and shows two sample routes, so readers can tell whether a collection endpoint is named correctly.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0038"], "must_not_use": ["F-0037"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The migration note states that collection endpoints are named with plural resource names.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The migration note does not stop at a generic path naming rule; it specifies that collection resources are pluralized.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0038"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The migration note states that collection endpoints are named with singular resource names.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "camel\\s*case|camelCase", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0016-03", "cluster_id": "P-0016", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0120", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide migration note for service owners that states the current path naming rule and shows two sample routes, so readers can tell whether a collection endpoint is named correctly.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0038"], "must_not_use": ["F-0037"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The migration note states that collection endpoints are named with plural resource names.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The migration note does not stop at a generic path naming rule; it specifies that collection resources are pluralized.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0038"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The migration note states that collection endpoints are named with singular resource names.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "camel\\s*case|camelCase", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0017-01", "cluster_id": "P-0017", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0167", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide rollout note for API authors that states the current path convention and shows two sample routes for the latest standard, making clear how new endpoints should begin.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0039"], "must_not_use": ["F-0037", "F-0038"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0039", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note specifies that new API paths are versioned under /v2.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not stop at a generic resource-path naming rule; it specifies how new paths begin.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not stop at saying routes use pluralized resource names; it also specifies that new paths begin with /v2.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0039"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0039", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note says new paths do not carry a version prefix at the beginning.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "camel\\s*case|camelCase", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not say routes use singular resource names.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:v2\\.)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0017-02", "cluster_id": "P-0017", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0166", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide rollout note for API authors that states the current path convention and shows two sample routes for the latest standard, making clear how new endpoints should begin.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0039"], "must_not_use": ["F-0037", "F-0038"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0039", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note specifies that new API paths are versioned under /v2.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not stop at a generic resource-path naming rule; it specifies how new paths begin.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not stop at saying routes use pluralized resource names; it also specifies that new paths begin with /v2.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0039"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0039", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note says new paths do not carry a version prefix at the beginning.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "camel\\s*case|camelCase", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not say routes use singular resource names.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:v2\\.)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0017-03", "cluster_id": "P-0017", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0171", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide rollout note for API authors that states the current path convention and shows two sample routes for the latest standard, making clear how new endpoints should begin.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0039"], "must_not_use": ["F-0037", "F-0038"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0039", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note specifies that new API paths are versioned under /v2.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not stop at a generic resource-path naming rule; it specifies how new paths begin.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not stop at saying routes use pluralized resource names; it also specifies that new paths begin with /v2.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0039"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0039", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note says new paths do not carry a version prefix at the beginning.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "camel\\s*case|camelCase", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0038", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not say routes use singular resource names.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:v2\\.)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0018-01", "cluster_id": "P-0018", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0170", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a short changelog entry for the company API guide that records the naming rule in effect before the later revisions. Include one representative route from that earlier standard so the archive entry is concrete.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0037"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records the earlier convention as kebab-case for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0037"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records the earlier convention as camelCase for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0018-02", "cluster_id": "P-0018", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0166", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a short changelog entry for the company API guide that records the naming rule in effect before the later revisions. Include one representative route from that earlier standard so the archive entry is concrete.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0037"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records the earlier convention as kebab-case for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0037"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records the earlier convention as camelCase for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0018-03", "cluster_id": "P-0018", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-002", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0171", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a short changelog entry for the company API guide that records the naming rule in effect before the later revisions. Include one representative route from that earlier standard so the archive entry is concrete.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0037"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records the earlier convention as kebab-case for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0037"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0037", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records the earlier convention as camelCase for resource names in API paths.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0019-01", "cluster_id": "P-0019", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-003", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0051", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write a short message for the infra team channel laying out this week\u2019s production release schedule boundaries. Include the exact Friday cutoff for risky rollouts, when regular production work can start again after the gap, and one sentence telling people to plan merges around that window.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0043"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0043", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message sets the deploy freeze start at Friday 4pm.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0043", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message sets the deploy freeze end at Monday 9am.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0043"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0043", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message permits production rollouts during Saturday or Sunday instead of holding them until Monday morning.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:4pm|9am\\.)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0019-02", "cluster_id": "P-0019", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-003", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0066", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write a short message for the infra team channel laying out this week\u2019s production release schedule boundaries. Include the exact Friday cutoff for risky rollouts, when regular production work can start again after the gap, and one sentence telling people to plan merges around that window.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0043"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0043", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message sets the deploy freeze start at Friday 4pm.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0043", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message sets the deploy freeze end at Monday 9am.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0043"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0043", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message permits production rollouts during Saturday or Sunday instead of holding them until Monday morning.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:4pm|9am\\.)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0019-03", "cluster_id": "P-0019", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-003", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0106", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write a short message for the infra team channel laying out this week\u2019s production release schedule boundaries. Include the exact Friday cutoff for risky rollouts, when regular production work can start again after the gap, and one sentence telling people to plan merges around that window.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0043"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0043", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message sets the deploy freeze start at Friday 4pm.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0043", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message sets the deploy freeze end at Monday 9am.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0043"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0043", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message permits production rollouts during Saturday or Sunday instead of holding them until Monday morning.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:4pm|9am\\.)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0020-01", "cluster_id": "P-0020", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-003", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0073", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Draft a message for the core team chat announcing the standing office-hours slot for the next few weeks. Say which weekday people should join, include the exact one-hour window, and add a brief line about bringing debugging questions or architecture follow-ups there.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0047"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0047", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement places the standing session on Tuesday rather than later in the week.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0047", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement sets the office-hours window from 2pm to 3pm.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:10am|11am\\.|thursdays)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0047"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0047", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement places the standing session on Thursday rather than earlier in the week.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0047", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement sets the office-hours window from 10am to 11am.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:2pm|3pm\\.|tuesdays)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0020-02", "cluster_id": "P-0020", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-003", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0123", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Draft a message for the core team chat announcing the standing office-hours slot for the next few weeks. Say which weekday people should join, include the exact one-hour window, and add a brief line about bringing debugging questions or architecture follow-ups there.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0047"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0047", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement places the standing session on Tuesday rather than later in the week.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0047", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement sets the office-hours window from 2pm to 3pm.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:10am|11am\\.|thursdays)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0047"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0047", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement places the standing session on Thursday rather than earlier in the week.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0047", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement sets the office-hours window from 10am to 11am.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:2pm|3pm\\.|tuesdays)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
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+{"probe_id": "P-0022-01", "cluster_id": "P-0022", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-003", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0092", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write a Core-only playbook entry for platform work that spells out when teammates must open the standard architecture brief before implementation. Keep it short, operational, and clearly scoped to this team\u2019s way of working rather than company-wide guidance.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0051", "F-0052", "F-0053"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0052", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The playbook entry states Core's design-doc requirement as triggered by changes touching two or more services.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0053", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The playbook entry does not add a special rule that singles out shared-library work.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0051", "F-0052", "F-0053"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0052", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The playbook entry states Core's design-doc requirement as triggered only once a change spans five or more services.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0053", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bunder\\s+(50|fifty)\\s+lines?\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
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+{"probe_id": "P-0022-03", "cluster_id": "P-0022", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-003", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0091", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write a Core-only playbook entry for platform work that spells out when teammates must open the standard architecture brief before implementation. Keep it short, operational, and clearly scoped to this team\u2019s way of working rather than company-wide guidance.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0051", "F-0052", "F-0053"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0052", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The playbook entry states Core's design-doc requirement as triggered by changes touching two or more services.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0053", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The playbook entry does not add a special rule that singles out shared-library work.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0051", "F-0052", "F-0053"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0052", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The playbook entry states Core's design-doc requirement as triggered only once a change spans five or more services.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0053", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bunder\\s+(50|fifty)\\s+lines?\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
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+{"probe_id": "P-0023-02", "cluster_id": "P-0023", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-003", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0086", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:felix"}, "task": "Make yourself a private pre-flight note for platform work so you can decide quickly whether to open the architecture brief before you begin. Keep it terse, aimed at your own use, and include the special-case trigger you follow for updates to code shared across repos.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0051", "F-0052", "F-0053"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0053", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The private note uses shared-library work as its trigger for opening the architecture brief.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0051", "F-0052", "F-0053"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0053", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The private note treats shared-library tweaks under fifty lines as not needing a design doc.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0023-03", "cluster_id": "P-0023", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-003", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0091", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:felix"}, "task": "Make yourself a private pre-flight note for platform work so you can decide quickly whether to open the architecture brief before you begin. Keep it terse, aimed at your own use, and include the special-case trigger you follow for updates to code shared across repos.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0051", "F-0052", "F-0053"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0053", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The private note uses shared-library work as its trigger for opening the architecture brief.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0051", "F-0052", "F-0053"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0053", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The private note treats shared-library tweaks under fifty lines as not needing a design doc.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0024-01", "cluster_id": "P-0024", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0065", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft a company-wide travel planning reminder for employees booking trips for upcoming events. State the minimum lead time people need before they leave, and add one line telling staff to lock plans early so finance and admin have time to process everything cleanly.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0057"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The reminder sets the minimum travel booking lead time at fourteen days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0057"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The reminder sets the minimum travel booking lead time at two days' notice.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0024-02", "cluster_id": "P-0024", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0064", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft a company-wide travel planning reminder for employees booking trips for upcoming events. State the minimum lead time people need before they leave, and add one line telling staff to lock plans early so finance and admin have time to process everything cleanly.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0057"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The reminder sets the minimum travel booking lead time at fourteen days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0057"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The reminder sets the minimum travel booking lead time at two days' notice.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0024-03", "cluster_id": "P-0024", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0069", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft a company-wide travel planning reminder for employees booking trips for upcoming events. State the minimum lead time people need before they leave, and add one line telling staff to lock plans early so finance and admin have time to process everything cleanly.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0057"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The reminder sets the minimum travel booking lead time at fourteen days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0057"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The reminder sets the minimum travel booking lead time at two days' notice.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0025-01", "cluster_id": "P-0025", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0116", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "You\u2019re refreshing the company travel handbook page for upcoming trips. Write a replacement paragraph plus a compliant example and an edge-case example that show the current booking window for everyone and make clear the page supersedes any older internal guidance.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0058"], "must_not_use": ["F-0057"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The replacement paragraph sets the minimum travel booking lead time at ten days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(at\\s+least\\s+)?(fourteen|14)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0058"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The replacement paragraph sets the minimum travel booking lead time at five days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(two|2)\\s+days?\\s+(of\\s+)?notice\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0025-02", "cluster_id": "P-0025", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0115", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "You\u2019re refreshing the company travel handbook page for upcoming trips. Write a replacement paragraph plus a compliant example and an edge-case example that show the current booking window for everyone and make clear the page supersedes any older internal guidance.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0058"], "must_not_use": ["F-0057"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The replacement paragraph sets the minimum travel booking lead time at ten days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(at\\s+least\\s+)?(fourteen|14)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0058"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The replacement paragraph sets the minimum travel booking lead time at five days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(two|2)\\s+days?\\s+(of\\s+)?notice\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0025-03", "cluster_id": "P-0025", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0120", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "You\u2019re refreshing the company travel handbook page for upcoming trips. Write a replacement paragraph plus a compliant example and an edge-case example that show the current booking window for everyone and make clear the page supersedes any older internal guidance.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0058"], "must_not_use": ["F-0057"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The replacement paragraph sets the minimum travel booking lead time at ten days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(at\\s+least\\s+)?(fourteen|14)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0058"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The replacement paragraph sets the minimum travel booking lead time at five days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(two|2)\\s+days?\\s+(of\\s+)?notice\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0026-01", "cluster_id": "P-0026", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0167", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "You\u2019re posting an org-wide update on the benefits portal about trip scheduling. Write a short notice with one compliant example and one non-compliant example so employees follow the current rule rather than older copies that remain in circulation.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0059"], "must_not_use": ["F-0057", "F-0058"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0059", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The notice sets the minimum travel booking lead time at seven days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(at\\s+least\\s+)?(fourteen|14)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(at\\s+least\\s+)?(ten|10)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0059"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0059", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The notice allows booking as late as the day before only when lead approval is in place, instead of requiring a longer advance window.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(two|2)\\s+days?\\s+(of\\s+)?notice\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(five|5)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0026-02", "cluster_id": "P-0026", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0166", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "You\u2019re posting an org-wide update on the benefits portal about trip scheduling. Write a short notice with one compliant example and one non-compliant example so employees follow the current rule rather than older copies that remain in circulation.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0059"], "must_not_use": ["F-0057", "F-0058"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0059", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The notice sets the minimum travel booking lead time at seven days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(at\\s+least\\s+)?(fourteen|14)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(at\\s+least\\s+)?(ten|10)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0059"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0059", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The notice allows booking as late as the day before only when lead approval is in place, instead of requiring a longer advance window.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(two|2)\\s+days?\\s+(of\\s+)?notice\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(five|5)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0026-03", "cluster_id": "P-0026", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0171", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "You\u2019re posting an org-wide update on the benefits portal about trip scheduling. Write a short notice with one compliant example and one non-compliant example so employees follow the current rule rather than older copies that remain in circulation.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0059"], "must_not_use": ["F-0057", "F-0058"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0059", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The notice sets the minimum travel booking lead time at seven days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(at\\s+least\\s+)?(fourteen|14)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(at\\s+least\\s+)?(ten|10)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0059"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0059", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The notice allows booking as late as the day before only when lead approval is in place, instead of requiring a longer advance window.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(two|2)\\s+days?\\s+(of\\s+)?notice\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0058", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(five|5)\\s+days?\\s+before\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0027-01", "cluster_id": "P-0027", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0170", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "You\u2019re adding an entry to the company policy history page for audit purposes. Write a brief archive note describing the earlier version of the trip-booking rule that was in effect before later revisions, with one concrete example to illustrate that prior state.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0057"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The archive note records the earlier rule as requiring travel bookings at least fourteen days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0057"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The archive note records the earlier rule as allowing travel bookings with just two days of notice.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0027-02", "cluster_id": "P-0027", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0166", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "You\u2019re adding an entry to the company policy history page for audit purposes. Write a brief archive note describing the earlier version of the trip-booking rule that was in effect before later revisions, with one concrete example to illustrate that prior state.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0057"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The archive note records the earlier rule as requiring travel bookings at least fourteen days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0057"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The archive note records the earlier rule as allowing travel bookings with just two days of notice.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0027-03", "cluster_id": "P-0027", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-003", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0171", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "You\u2019re adding an entry to the company policy history page for audit purposes. Write a brief archive note describing the earlier version of the trip-booking rule that was in effect before later revisions, with one concrete example to illustrate that prior state.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0057"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The archive note records the earlier rule as requiring travel bookings at least fourteen days before departure.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0057"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0057", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The archive note records the earlier rule as allowing travel bookings with just two days of notice.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0028-01", "cluster_id": "P-0028", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-004", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0057", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "You\u2019re updating the Core team\u2019s internal contracting cheat sheet for engineers who route vendor paperwork into signature. Add one rule for agreements that come back with heavy markup so the next handoff step is unambiguous.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0063"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0063", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The cheat sheet says agreements with over five redlined clauses go to legal review before countersign, rather than going straight to countersign.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0063"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0063", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The cheat sheet allows agreements with redlines to be countersigned immediately without prior legal review.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:5|five)[\\s-]+redlined\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0028-02", "cluster_id": "P-0028", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-004", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0072", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "You\u2019re updating the Core team\u2019s internal contracting cheat sheet for engineers who route vendor paperwork into signature. Add one rule for agreements that come back with heavy markup so the next handoff step is unambiguous.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0063"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0063", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The cheat sheet says agreements with over five redlined clauses go to legal review before countersign, rather than going straight to countersign.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0063"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0063", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The cheat sheet allows agreements with redlines to be countersigned immediately without prior legal review.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:5|five)[\\s-]+redlined\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0028-03", "cluster_id": "P-0028", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-004", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0112", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "You\u2019re updating the Core team\u2019s internal contracting cheat sheet for engineers who route vendor paperwork into signature. Add one rule for agreements that come back with heavy markup so the next handoff step is unambiguous.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0063"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0063", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The cheat sheet says agreements with over five redlined clauses go to legal review before countersign, rather than going straight to countersign.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0063"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0063", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The cheat sheet allows agreements with redlines to be countersigned immediately without prior legal review.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-cs", "kind": "fact_absent", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<![\\w-])(?:(?:5|five)[\\s-]+redlined\\w*)(?![\\w-])", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0029-01", "cluster_id": "P-0029", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-004", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0085", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "You\u2019re preparing the Core team\u2019s planning prep checklist. Write a short note that tells people the timing rule for staffing assumptions so the packet for the annual planning session can be assembled cleanly.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0068"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0068", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note sets the staffing-assumptions lock point at two weeks before the planning offsite.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0068"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0068", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note keeps staffing assumptions open until the day of the planning session itself instead of setting an earlier cutoff.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0029-02", "cluster_id": "P-0029", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-004", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0135", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "You\u2019re preparing the Core team\u2019s planning prep checklist. Write a short note that tells people the timing rule for staffing assumptions so the packet for the annual planning session can be assembled cleanly.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0068"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0068", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note sets the staffing-assumptions lock point at two weeks before the planning offsite.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0068"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0068", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note keeps staffing assumptions open until the day of the planning session itself instead of setting an earlier cutoff.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0029-03", "cluster_id": "P-0029", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-004", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0059", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "You\u2019re preparing the Core team\u2019s planning prep checklist. Write a short note that tells people the timing rule for staffing assumptions so the packet for the annual planning session can be assembled cleanly.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0068"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0068", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note sets the staffing-assumptions lock point at two weeks before the planning offsite.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0068"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0068", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note keeps staffing assumptions open until the day of the planning session itself instead of setting an earlier cutoff.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0030-01", "cluster_id": "P-0030", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-004", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:lena", "inject_after_event": "E-0112", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft an engineering-wide launch-evidence guideline that states the statistical bar required before anyone makes a rollout call. Keep it concise, policy-style, and suitable for posting in the company handbook so every team sees the same decision standard.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0072", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The guideline states the org-wide rule as requiring 95 percent significance before every rollout decision.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0073", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(two|2)\\s+peer\\s+reviews?\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,60}\\b(shared|get\\s+shared)\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\braw\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bbefore\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bsummary\\s+deck\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0072", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The guideline does not present 95 percent significance before any rollout decision as the org-wide rule.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0073", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\b(zero|0)\\s+peer\\s+reviews?\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,60}\\b(shared|get\\s+shared)\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bsummary\\s+decks?\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bbefore\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\braw\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
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+{"probe_id": "P-0031-01", "cluster_id": "P-0031", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-004", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:lena", "inject_after_event": "E-0112", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write a short note for the Core analysis workflow that tells teammates what review gate must be cleared before findings can be circulated inside the group. Make it process-focused and specific enough to paste into the team playbook without extra explanation.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0073", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states the team's rule as requiring two peer reviews before experiment results are shared.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\braw\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bbefore\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bsummary\\s+deck\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0073", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states the team's rule as requiring zero peer reviews before experiment results are shared.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bsummary\\s+decks?\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bbefore\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\braw\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0031-02", "cluster_id": "P-0031", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-004", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:lena", "inject_after_event": "E-0106", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write a short note for the Core analysis workflow that tells teammates what review gate must be cleared before findings can be circulated inside the group. Make it process-focused and specific enough to paste into the team playbook without extra explanation.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0073", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states the team's rule as requiring two peer reviews before experiment results are shared.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\braw\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bbefore\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bsummary\\s+deck\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0073", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states the team's rule as requiring zero peer reviews before experiment results are shared.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bsummary\\s+decks?\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bbefore\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\braw\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0031-03", "cluster_id": "P-0031", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-004", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:lena", "inject_after_event": "E-0111", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write a short note for the Core analysis workflow that tells teammates what review gate must be cleared before findings can be circulated inside the group. Make it process-focused and specific enough to paste into the team playbook without extra explanation.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0073", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states the team's rule as requiring two peer reviews before experiment results are shared.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\braw\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bbefore\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bsummary\\s+deck\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0073", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states the team's rule as requiring zero peer reviews before experiment results are shared.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bsummary\\s+decks?\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\bbefore\\b[^\\n\\r]{0,40}\\braw\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0032-01", "cluster_id": "P-0032", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-004", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:lena", "inject_after_event": "E-0112", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:lena"}, "task": "Prepare a private prep note for your sync with Marcus about the review packet you will send. List the first artifact he should get, the follow-up artifact that should come afterward, and a brief reason for that sequence. Keep it as your own note with three short bullets rather than a message for anyone else.", "modality": "plan", "targets": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note puts raw material first and the summary slides second for Marcus.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note puts summary slides first and raw material later for Marcus.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0032-02", "cluster_id": "P-0032", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-004", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:lena", "inject_after_event": "E-0106", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:lena"}, "task": "Prepare a private prep note for your sync with Marcus about the review packet you will send. List the first artifact he should get, the follow-up artifact that should come afterward, and a brief reason for that sequence. Keep it as your own note with three short bullets rather than a message for anyone else.", "modality": "plan", "targets": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note puts raw material first and the summary slides second for Marcus.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note puts summary slides first and raw material later for Marcus.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0032-03", "cluster_id": "P-0032", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-004", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:lena", "inject_after_event": "E-0111", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:lena"}, "task": "Prepare a private prep note for your sync with Marcus about the review packet you will send. List the first artifact he should get, the follow-up artifact that should come afterward, and a brief reason for that sequence. Keep it as your own note with three short bullets rather than a message for anyone else.", "modality": "plan", "targets": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note puts raw material first and the summary slides second for Marcus.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0072", "F-0073", "F-0074"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0074", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note puts summary slides first and raw material later for Marcus.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0033-01", "cluster_id": "P-0033", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0014", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft an all-hands recruiting note that spells out the current candidate loop so interviewers and coordinators use the same structure. Keep it crisp and operational, with the stages listed in order and a short line on how scheduling should mirror the process.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0078"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note describes the loop as including four interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0078"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not describe four interviews and a hiring-manager screen as part of the current loop.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0033-02", "cluster_id": "P-0033", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0013", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft an all-hands recruiting note that spells out the current candidate loop so interviewers and coordinators use the same structure. Keep it crisp and operational, with the stages listed in order and a short line on how scheduling should mirror the process.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0078"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note describes the loop as including four interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0078"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not describe four interviews and a hiring-manager screen as part of the current loop.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0033-03", "cluster_id": "P-0033", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0018", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft an all-hands recruiting note that spells out the current candidate loop so interviewers and coordinators use the same structure. Keep it crisp and operational, with the stages listed in order and a short line on how scheduling should mirror the process.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0078"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note describes the loop as including four interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0078"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not describe four interviews and a hiring-manager screen as part of the current loop.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0034-01", "cluster_id": "P-0034", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0065", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Update the company recruiting handbook blurb announcing the current candidate loop for open roles. Keep it concise and concrete so coordinators can schedule against it without follow-up questions, and present the sequence as the live company standard.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0079"], "must_not_use": ["F-0078"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb describes the live loop as including five interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not describe the live loop as four interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0079"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not describe five interviews and a hiring-manager screen as part of the current loop.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not say the four interviews and the hiring-manager screen are removed from the loop.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0034-02", "cluster_id": "P-0034", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0064", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Update the company recruiting handbook blurb announcing the current candidate loop for open roles. Keep it concise and concrete so coordinators can schedule against it without follow-up questions, and present the sequence as the live company standard.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0079"], "must_not_use": ["F-0078"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb describes the live loop as including five interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not describe the live loop as four interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0079"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not describe five interviews and a hiring-manager screen as part of the current loop.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not say the four interviews and the hiring-manager screen are removed from the loop.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0034-03", "cluster_id": "P-0034", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0069", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Update the company recruiting handbook blurb announcing the current candidate loop for open roles. Keep it concise and concrete so coordinators can schedule against it without follow-up questions, and present the sequence as the live company standard.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0079"], "must_not_use": ["F-0078"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb describes the live loop as including five interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not describe the live loop as four interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0079"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not describe five interviews and a hiring-manager screen as part of the current loop.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The blurb does not say the four interviews and the hiring-manager screen are removed from the loop.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0035-01", "cluster_id": "P-0035", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0116", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare an all-hands recruiting checklist that states the current candidate loop for the whole company. Make it easy for interviewers and coordinators to follow, with the live sequence written plainly enough that scheduling and handoffs stay aligned.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0080"], "must_not_use": ["F-0078", "F-0079"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0080", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist presents an active hiring process with three interviews and a hiring-manager screen; it does not say that loop has been removed.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not describe a live hiring process with four interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not describe a live hiring process with five interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0080"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0080", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not describe three interviews and a hiring-manager screen as part of the current loop.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\ball\\s+(four|4)\\s+interviews?\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\ball\\s+(five|5)\\s+interviews?\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0035-02", "cluster_id": "P-0035", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0115", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare an all-hands recruiting checklist that states the current candidate loop for the whole company. Make it easy for interviewers and coordinators to follow, with the live sequence written plainly enough that scheduling and handoffs stay aligned.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0080"], "must_not_use": ["F-0078", "F-0079"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0080", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist presents an active hiring process with three interviews and a hiring-manager screen; it does not say that loop has been removed.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not describe a live hiring process with four interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not describe a live hiring process with five interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0080"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0080", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not describe three interviews and a hiring-manager screen as part of the current loop.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\ball\\s+(four|4)\\s+interviews?\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\ball\\s+(five|5)\\s+interviews?\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0035-03", "cluster_id": "P-0035", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0120", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare an all-hands recruiting checklist that states the current candidate loop for the whole company. Make it easy for interviewers and coordinators to follow, with the live sequence written plainly enough that scheduling and handoffs stay aligned.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0080"], "must_not_use": ["F-0078", "F-0079"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0080", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist presents an active hiring process with three interviews and a hiring-manager screen; it does not say that loop has been removed.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not describe a live hiring process with four interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not describe a live hiring process with five interviews and a hiring-manager screen.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0080"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0080", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not describe three interviews and a hiring-manager screen as part of the current loop.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\ball\\s+(four|4)\\s+interviews?\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0079", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\ball\\s+(five|5)\\s+interviews?\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0036-01", "cluster_id": "P-0036", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0119", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare a company-wide retrospective note for People Ops and interviewers that documents the prior candidate evaluation path used before the latest recruiting overhaul. Keep it brief, factual, and suitable for an internal archive so readers can compare the former setup with the current process without extra commentary.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0078"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The document recounts that the earlier hiring loop used four interviews and a hiring-manager screen, not that those steps had been removed.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0078"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The document recounts that the earlier hiring loop had removed the four interviews and the hiring-manager screen, not that those steps were part of the process.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0036-02", "cluster_id": "P-0036", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0115", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare a company-wide retrospective note for People Ops and interviewers that documents the prior candidate evaluation path used before the latest recruiting overhaul. Keep it brief, factual, and suitable for an internal archive so readers can compare the former setup with the current process without extra commentary.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0078"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The document recounts that the earlier hiring loop used four interviews and a hiring-manager screen, not that those steps had been removed.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0078"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The document recounts that the earlier hiring loop had removed the four interviews and the hiring-manager screen, not that those steps were part of the process.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0036-03", "cluster_id": "P-0036", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-004", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0120", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare a company-wide retrospective note for People Ops and interviewers that documents the prior candidate evaluation path used before the latest recruiting overhaul. Keep it brief, factual, and suitable for an internal archive so readers can compare the former setup with the current process without extra commentary.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0078"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The document recounts that the earlier hiring loop used four interviews and a hiring-manager screen, not that those steps had been removed.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0078"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0078", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The document recounts that the earlier hiring loop had removed the four interviews and the hiring-manager screen, not that those steps were part of the process.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0037-01", "cluster_id": "P-0037", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-005", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0051", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write a short infra-team message announcing the next platform office-hours session, including the exact day, start time, and room name, plus one line on what teammates should bring to make the slot useful.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0084"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0084", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message tells the infra team to attend platform office hours on Tuesday at 3 PM in Atlas.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0084"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0084", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not invite the infra team to attend platform office hours on Tuesday at 3 PM in Atlas as the current session slot.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0037-02", "cluster_id": "P-0037", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-005", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0066", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write a short infra-team message announcing the next platform office-hours session, including the exact day, start time, and room name, plus one line on what teammates should bring to make the slot useful.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0084"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0084", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message tells the infra team to attend platform office hours on Tuesday at 3 PM in Atlas.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0084"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0084", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not invite the infra team to attend platform office hours on Tuesday at 3 PM in Atlas as the current session slot.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0037-03", "cluster_id": "P-0037", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-005", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0106", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write a short infra-team message announcing the next platform office-hours session, including the exact day, start time, and room name, plus one line on what teammates should bring to make the slot useful.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0084"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0084", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message tells the infra team to attend platform office hours on Tuesday at 3 PM in Atlas.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0084"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0084", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not invite the infra team to attend platform office hours on Tuesday at 3 PM in Atlas as the current session slot.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0038-01", "cluster_id": "P-0038", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-005", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0124", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Draft a brief core-team checklist for handling small customer credit requests in the support tooling flow. Make it explicit when frontline support can finish the request on their own and when they need approval from someone else.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0088"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0088", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist says support agents may approve refunds of up to 100 dollars without manager signoff.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0088"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0088", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist says support agents need manager signoff even for refunds below 100 dollars.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0038-02", "cluster_id": "P-0038", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-005", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0174", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Draft a brief core-team checklist for handling small customer credit requests in the support tooling flow. Make it explicit when frontline support can finish the request on their own and when they need approval from someone else.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0088"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0088", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist says support agents may approve refunds of up to 100 dollars without manager signoff.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0088"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0088", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist says support agents need manager signoff even for refunds below 100 dollars.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0038-03", "cluster_id": "P-0038", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-005", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0098", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Draft a brief core-team checklist for handling small customer credit requests in the support tooling flow. Make it explicit when frontline support can finish the request on their own and when they need approval from someone else.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0088"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0088", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist says support agents may approve refunds of up to 100 dollars without manager signoff.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0088"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0088", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist says support agents need manager signoff even for refunds below 100 dollars.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0039-01", "cluster_id": "P-0039", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-005", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0124", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide announcement for the release calendar that tells everyone the standard code-change blackout window around the end of the week, including the exact start and resume points. Keep it concise and operational.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0092", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement states the company-wide deploy freeze as running from Thursday noon through Monday morning.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement does not present a Thursday 5pm through Monday 10am freeze window as the company-wide rule.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "wednesday", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0092", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement says code changes may continue over the weekend instead of stopping for a standard blackout window.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement does not make weekend code changes conditional on a team lead remaining online.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement does not invoke one person's preference to keep urgent personal fixes moving late in the weekend.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0039-02", "cluster_id": "P-0039", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-005", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0118", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide announcement for the release calendar that tells everyone the standard code-change blackout window around the end of the week, including the exact start and resume points. Keep it concise and operational.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0092", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement states the company-wide deploy freeze as running from Thursday noon through Monday morning.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement does not present a Thursday 5pm through Monday 10am freeze window as the company-wide rule.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "wednesday", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0092", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement says code changes may continue over the weekend instead of stopping for a standard blackout window.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement does not make weekend code changes conditional on a team lead remaining online.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement does not invoke one person's preference to keep urgent personal fixes moving late in the weekend.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0039-03", "cluster_id": "P-0039", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-005", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0123", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide announcement for the release calendar that tells everyone the standard code-change blackout window around the end of the week, including the exact start and resume points. Keep it concise and operational.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0092", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement states the company-wide deploy freeze as running from Thursday noon through Monday morning.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement does not present a Thursday 5pm through Monday 10am freeze window as the company-wide rule.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "wednesday", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0092", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement says code changes may continue over the weekend instead of stopping for a standard blackout window.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement does not make weekend code changes conditional on a team lead remaining online.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The announcement does not invoke one person's preference to keep urgent personal fixes moving late in the weekend.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0040-01", "cluster_id": "P-0040", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-005", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0124", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write a short note for the core team release calendar that states the standard code-change blackout window for this team, with the exact cutoff and restart times. Keep the wording direct so nobody has to interpret it.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states Core's deploy freeze as running from Thursday 5pm through Monday 10am.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "wednesday", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note allows weekend code changes when a lead remains online.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not rely on one person's preference to keep urgent personal fixes moving late in the weekend.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0040-02", "cluster_id": "P-0040", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-005", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0118", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write a short note for the core team release calendar that states the standard code-change blackout window for this team, with the exact cutoff and restart times. Keep the wording direct so nobody has to interpret it.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states Core's deploy freeze as running from Thursday 5pm through Monday 10am.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "wednesday", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note allows weekend code changes when a lead remains online.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not rely on one person's preference to keep urgent personal fixes moving late in the weekend.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0040-03", "cluster_id": "P-0040", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-005", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0123", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:core"}, "task": "Write a short note for the core team release calendar that states the standard code-change blackout window for this team, with the exact cutoff and restart times. Keep the wording direct so nobody has to interpret it.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note states Core's deploy freeze as running from Thursday 5pm through Monday 10am.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "wednesday", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0093", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note allows weekend code changes when a lead remains online.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note does not rely on one person's preference to keep urgent personal fixes moving late in the weekend.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0041-01", "cluster_id": "P-0041", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-005", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0124", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:felix"}, "task": "Write your own release-week note for upcoming code changes, setting the point after which you stop making routine updates and what exception path you would follow if something urgent comes up. Keep it as a private checklist.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist states the personal cutoff as pausing deploys after Wednesday evening.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist keeps room for personal urgent fixes to continue late into the weekend instead of stopping midweek.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0041-02", "cluster_id": "P-0041", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-005", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0118", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:felix"}, "task": "Write your own release-week note for upcoming code changes, setting the point after which you stop making routine updates and what exception path you would follow if something urgent comes up. Keep it as a private checklist.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist states the personal cutoff as pausing deploys after Wednesday evening.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist keeps room for personal urgent fixes to continue late into the weekend instead of stopping midweek.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0041-03", "cluster_id": "P-0041", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-005", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:felix", "inject_after_event": "E-0123", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:felix"}, "task": "Write your own release-week note for upcoming code changes, setting the point after which you stop making routine updates and what exception path you would follow if something urgent comes up. Keep it as a private checklist.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist states the personal cutoff as pausing deploys after Wednesday evening.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0092", "F-0093", "F-0094"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0094", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist keeps room for personal urgent fixes to continue late into the weekend instead of stopping midweek.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0042-01", "cluster_id": "P-0042", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0014", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft the org-facing pricing blurb for the current Pro offer so sales, support, and finance can reuse the same wording this week. Keep it to two sentences: the first states the current monthly per-seat amount, and the second tells teams to mirror that figure anywhere customers might see it.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0098"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The draft presents 49 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount, not as a retired price.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0098"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The draft does not present 49 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0042-02", "cluster_id": "P-0042", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0013", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft the org-facing pricing blurb for the current Pro offer so sales, support, and finance can reuse the same wording this week. Keep it to two sentences: the first states the current monthly per-seat amount, and the second tells teams to mirror that figure anywhere customers might see it.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0098"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The draft presents 49 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount, not as a retired price.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0098"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The draft does not present 49 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0042-03", "cluster_id": "P-0042", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0018", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft the org-facing pricing blurb for the current Pro offer so sales, support, and finance can reuse the same wording this week. Keep it to two sentences: the first states the current monthly per-seat amount, and the second tells teams to mirror that figure anywhere customers might see it.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0098"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The draft presents 49 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount, not as a retired price.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0098"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The draft does not present 49 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0043-01", "cluster_id": "P-0043", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0065", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write the company-wide pricing correction note for the Pro offer after the latest update. Make it a short announcement that names the current monthly per-seat amount and includes a reminder for every public channel to use that same figure immediately.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0099"], "must_not_use": ["F-0098"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message presents 59 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount, not as a retired price.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not present 49 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0099"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not present 59 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not say 49 dollars per seat per month is no longer the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0043-02", "cluster_id": "P-0043", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0064", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write the company-wide pricing correction note for the Pro offer after the latest update. Make it a short announcement that names the current monthly per-seat amount and includes a reminder for every public channel to use that same figure immediately.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0099"], "must_not_use": ["F-0098"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message presents 59 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount, not as a retired price.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not present 49 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0099"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not present 59 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not say 49 dollars per seat per month is no longer the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0043-03", "cluster_id": "P-0043", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0069", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write the company-wide pricing correction note for the Pro offer after the latest update. Make it a short announcement that names the current monthly per-seat amount and includes a reminder for every public channel to use that same figure immediately.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0099"], "must_not_use": ["F-0098"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message presents 59 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount, not as a retired price.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not present 49 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0099"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not present 59 dollars per seat per month as the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The message does not say 49 dollars per seat per month is no longer the current Pro amount.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0044-01", "cluster_id": "P-0044", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0167", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare the org-wide pricing FAQ entry for the Pro offer after this quarter's change. Use one short paragraph that states the current monthly per-seat amount and a follow-up sentence telling every customer-facing surface to replace any older figure still in circulation.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0100"], "must_not_use": ["F-0098", "F-0099"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0100", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ entry states the current Pro plan price as 65 dollars per seat monthly.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bpriced\\s+at\\s*\\$?\\s*(forty[-\\s]*nine|49)\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bpriced\\s+at\\s*\\$?\\s*(fifty[-\\s]*nine|59)\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0100"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0100", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ entry does not present 65 dollars per seat monthly as the current Pro plan price.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bno\\s+longer\\s+\\$?\\s*(forty[-\\s]*nine|49)\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bno\\s+longer\\s+\\$?\\s*(fifty[-\\s]*nine|59)\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0044-02", "cluster_id": "P-0044", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0166", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare the org-wide pricing FAQ entry for the Pro offer after this quarter's change. Use one short paragraph that states the current monthly per-seat amount and a follow-up sentence telling every customer-facing surface to replace any older figure still in circulation.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0100"], "must_not_use": ["F-0098", "F-0099"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0100", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ entry states the current Pro plan price as 65 dollars per seat monthly.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bpriced\\s+at\\s*\\$?\\s*(forty[-\\s]*nine|49)\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bpriced\\s+at\\s*\\$?\\s*(fifty[-\\s]*nine|59)\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0100"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0100", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ entry does not present 65 dollars per seat monthly as the current Pro plan price.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bno\\s+longer\\s+\\$?\\s*(forty[-\\s]*nine|49)\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bno\\s+longer\\s+\\$?\\s*(fifty[-\\s]*nine|59)\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0044-03", "cluster_id": "P-0044", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0171", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare the org-wide pricing FAQ entry for the Pro offer after this quarter's change. Use one short paragraph that states the current monthly per-seat amount and a follow-up sentence telling every customer-facing surface to replace any older figure still in circulation.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0100"], "must_not_use": ["F-0098", "F-0099"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0100", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ entry states the current Pro plan price as 65 dollars per seat monthly.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bpriced\\s+at\\s*\\$?\\s*(forty[-\\s]*nine|49)\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bpriced\\s+at\\s*\\$?\\s*(fifty[-\\s]*nine|59)\\b", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0100"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0100", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ entry does not present 65 dollars per seat monthly as the current Pro plan price.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bno\\s+longer\\s+\\$?\\s*(forty[-\\s]*nine|49)\\b", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0099", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "\\bno\\s+longer\\s+\\$?\\s*(fifty[-\\s]*nine|59)\\b", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0045-01", "cluster_id": "P-0045", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0170", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft the org-wide pricing history note for the Pro offer so finance and support can audit older materials. Write it as a brief changelog entry that states the monthly per-seat amount used in the earlier version and labels it as the prior public figure.", "modality": "review", "targets": ["F-0098"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records the earlier Pro plan price as 49 dollars per seat monthly.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0098"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records that the Pro plan was no longer priced at 49 dollars per seat monthly.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0045-02", "cluster_id": "P-0045", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0166", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft the org-wide pricing history note for the Pro offer so finance and support can audit older materials. Write it as a brief changelog entry that states the monthly per-seat amount used in the earlier version and labels it as the prior public figure.", "modality": "review", "targets": ["F-0098"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records the earlier Pro plan price as 49 dollars per seat monthly.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0098"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records that the Pro plan was no longer priced at 49 dollars per seat monthly.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0045-03", "cluster_id": "P-0045", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-005", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:otto", "inject_after_event": "E-0171", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft the org-wide pricing history note for the Pro offer so finance and support can audit older materials. Write it as a brief changelog entry that states the monthly per-seat amount used in the earlier version and labels it as the prior public figure.", "modality": "review", "targets": ["F-0098"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records the earlier Pro plan price as 49 dollars per seat monthly.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0098"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0098", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The changelog entry records that the Pro plan was no longer priced at 49 dollars per seat monthly.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0046-01", "cluster_id": "P-0046", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-006", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0051", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write a short infra-team review checklist for backend service pull requests. Include the test bar reviewers should enforce before approving changes, so new engineers can use the checklist without asking for clarification in Slack.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0104"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0104", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist sets the backend line-coverage floor at a minimum of 80 percent.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0104"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0104", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not require a minimum 80 percent line-coverage floor as the rule for backend services.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0046-02", "cluster_id": "P-0046", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-006", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0066", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write a short infra-team review checklist for backend service pull requests. Include the test bar reviewers should enforce before approving changes, so new engineers can use the checklist without asking for clarification in Slack.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0104"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0104", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist sets the backend line-coverage floor at a minimum of 80 percent.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0104"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0104", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not require a minimum 80 percent line-coverage floor as the rule for backend services.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0046-03", "cluster_id": "P-0046", "archetype": "A1", "archetype_instance": "A1-006", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:bastian", "inject_after_event": "E-0106", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write a short infra-team review checklist for backend service pull requests. Include the test bar reviewers should enforce before approving changes, so new engineers can use the checklist without asking for clarification in Slack.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0104"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0104", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist sets the backend line-coverage floor at a minimum of 80 percent.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0104"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0104", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not require a minimum 80 percent line-coverage floor as the rule for backend services.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["propagation_latency"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [5, 20, 60], "metric": "propagation_latency"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0047-01", "cluster_id": "P-0047", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-006", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0069", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Draft an infra-team publish checklist for frontend packages. Include the statement-coverage gate that determines whether a package is ready to go out, phrased so release reviewers can make a clear yes or no call.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0109"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0109", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist gates frontend package release on statement coverage reaching 85 percent.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0109"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0109", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist allows frontend package release even when statement coverage misses 85 percent.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0047-02", "cluster_id": "P-0047", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-006", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0119", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Draft an infra-team publish checklist for frontend packages. Include the statement-coverage gate that determines whether a package is ready to go out, phrased so release reviewers can make a clear yes or no call.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0109"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0109", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist gates frontend package release on statement coverage reaching 85 percent.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0109"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0109", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist allows frontend package release even when statement coverage misses 85 percent.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0047-03", "cluster_id": "P-0047", "archetype": "A2", "archetype_instance": "A2-006", "kind": "application", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0043", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Draft an infra-team publish checklist for frontend packages. Include the statement-coverage gate that determines whether a package is ready to go out, phrased so release reviewers can make a clear yes or no call.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0109"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0109", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist gates frontend package release on statement coverage reaching 85 percent.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0109"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0109", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist allows frontend package release even when statement coverage misses 85 percent.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["proactive_application"], "latency_series": {"offsets_events": [4, 30, 80], "metric": "proactive_application"}}
+{"probe_id": "P-0048-01", "cluster_id": "P-0048", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-006", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0091", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare a company-wide launch checklist for a release announcement packet. Keep it focused on actions that must happen for the whole company at launch time, not team-specific review workflow or any one person's preferred prep habit. Include the public changelog step in the checklist.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0113", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist says a public changelog must be posted on the day of release for the company-wide launch.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not tell reviewers to confirm release-note bullets in a change proposal before approval.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not include any one-person prep-timing step ahead of launch.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0113", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist allows the release to proceed without requiring a public changelog on the day of release.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not create a team-specific exception that lets some changes skip release-note bullets.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not postpone release-note drafting until after launch.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0048-02", "cluster_id": "P-0048", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-006", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0085", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare a company-wide launch checklist for a release announcement packet. Keep it focused on actions that must happen for the whole company at launch time, not team-specific review workflow or any one person's preferred prep habit. Include the public changelog step in the checklist.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0113", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist says a public changelog must be posted on the day of release for the company-wide launch.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not tell reviewers to confirm release-note bullets in a change proposal before approval.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not include any one-person prep-timing step ahead of launch.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0113", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist allows the release to proceed without requiring a public changelog on the day of release.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not create a team-specific exception that lets some changes skip release-note bullets.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not postpone release-note drafting until after launch.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0048-03", "cluster_id": "P-0048", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-006", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0090", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare a company-wide launch checklist for a release announcement packet. Keep it focused on actions that must happen for the whole company at launch time, not team-specific review workflow or any one person's preferred prep habit. Include the public changelog step in the checklist.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0113", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist says a public changelog must be posted on the day of release for the company-wide launch.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not tell reviewers to confirm release-note bullets in a change proposal before approval.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not include any one-person prep-timing step ahead of launch.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0113", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist allows the release to proceed without requiring a public changelog on the day of release.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not create a team-specific exception that lets some changes skip release-note bullets.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not postpone release-note drafting until after launch.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0049-01", "cluster_id": "P-0049", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-006", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0091", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write an infra-team checklist snippet for code reviewers covering the release-notes step on change proposals. Make it clear what reviewers should confirm before approving a change, and keep the note focused on the team's own review standard rather than broader company launch comms or one teammate's routine.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist tells reviewers to confirm changelog bullets are present in the change description before approval.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not center one teammate's preferred timing for drafting release notes.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist allows internal refactors to be approved without changelog bullets.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not tell reviewers to wait until after launch to handle release notes.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0049-02", "cluster_id": "P-0049", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-006", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0085", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write an infra-team checklist snippet for code reviewers covering the release-notes step on change proposals. Make it clear what reviewers should confirm before approving a change, and keep the note focused on the team's own review standard rather than broader company launch comms or one teammate's routine.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist tells reviewers to confirm changelog bullets are present in the change description before approval.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not center one teammate's preferred timing for drafting release notes.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist allows internal refactors to be approved without changelog bullets.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not tell reviewers to wait until after launch to handle release notes.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0049-03", "cluster_id": "P-0049", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-006", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0090", "context_frame": {"kind": "team_internal", "ref": "team:infra"}, "task": "Write an infra-team checklist snippet for code reviewers covering the release-notes step on change proposals. Make it clear what reviewers should confirm before approving a change, and keep the note focused on the team's own review standard rather than broader company launch comms or one teammate's routine.", "modality": "checklist", "targets": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist tells reviewers to confirm changelog bullets are present in the change description before approval.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not center one teammate's preferred timing for drafting release notes.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0114", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist allows internal refactors to be approved without changelog bullets.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The checklist does not tell reviewers to wait until after launch to handle release notes.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0050-01", "cluster_id": "P-0050", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-006", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0091", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:tara"}, "task": "Make yourself a short coordination note for working with Anouk around launches. Include one concrete action and one timing cue that will help you stay aligned, and keep it framed as a personal reminder instead of a team standard or company-wide update.", "modality": "plan", "targets": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note is a personal reminder tied to Anouk and has Tara prepare changelog notes before the launch period begins, rather than after the release or as a standing rule for others.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note is a personal reminder tied to Anouk and has Tara plan changelog-note work for the morning after the release, rather than before the launch period begins.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0050-02", "cluster_id": "P-0050", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-006", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0085", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:tara"}, "task": "Make yourself a short coordination note for working with Anouk around launches. Include one concrete action and one timing cue that will help you stay aligned, and keep it framed as a personal reminder instead of a team standard or company-wide update.", "modality": "plan", "targets": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note is a personal reminder tied to Anouk and has Tara prepare changelog notes before the launch period begins, rather than after the release or as a standing rule for others.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note is a personal reminder tied to Anouk and has Tara plan changelog-note work for the morning after the release, rather than before the launch period begins.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0050-03", "cluster_id": "P-0050", "archetype": "A4", "archetype_instance": "A4-006", "kind": "scope_resolution", "principal": "persona:tara", "inject_after_event": "E-0090", "context_frame": {"kind": "personal", "ref": "persona:tara"}, "task": "Make yourself a short coordination note for working with Anouk around launches. Include one concrete action and one timing cue that will help you stay aligned, and keep it framed as a personal reminder instead of a team standard or company-wide update.", "modality": "plan", "targets": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note is a personal reminder tied to Anouk and has Tara prepare changelog notes before the launch period begins, rather than after the release or as a standing rule for others.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0113", "F-0114", "F-0115"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "scope_correct", "fact_id": "F-0115", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The note is a personal reminder tied to Anouk and has Tara plan changelog-note work for the morning after the release, rather than before the launch period begins.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["scope_resolution_accuracy"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0051-01", "cluster_id": "P-0051", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-006", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0014", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft a short all-hands FAQ blurb explaining how primary oncall pay works so managers can answer compensation questions consistently. Keep it concrete and include the amount tied to a single primary week.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0119"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ blurb states the primary oncall stipend as 300 dollars per week.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0119"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ blurb does not state 300 dollars per primary week as the oncall stipend.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0051-02", "cluster_id": "P-0051", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-006", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0013", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft a short all-hands FAQ blurb explaining how primary oncall pay works so managers can answer compensation questions consistently. Keep it concrete and include the amount tied to a single primary week.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0119"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ blurb states the primary oncall stipend as 300 dollars per week.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0119"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ blurb does not state 300 dollars per primary week as the oncall stipend.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0051-03", "cluster_id": "P-0051", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-006", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0018", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft a short all-hands FAQ blurb explaining how primary oncall pay works so managers can answer compensation questions consistently. Keep it concrete and include the amount tied to a single primary week.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0119"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ blurb states the primary oncall stipend as 300 dollars per week.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0119"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The FAQ blurb does not state 300 dollars per primary week as the oncall stipend.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0052-01", "cluster_id": "P-0052", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-006", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0065", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide compensation update for the handbook section on primary oncall coverage. State the current weekly amount plainly so finance, managers, and engineers all read the same number when questions come up.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0120"], "must_not_use": ["F-0119"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The compensation update states the primary oncall stipend as 400 dollars per week.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<!no\\s)(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0120"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The compensation update does not state 400 dollars per primary week as the oncall stipend.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "no\\s+(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0052-02", "cluster_id": "P-0052", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-006", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0064", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide compensation update for the handbook section on primary oncall coverage. State the current weekly amount plainly so finance, managers, and engineers all read the same number when questions come up.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0120"], "must_not_use": ["F-0119"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The compensation update states the primary oncall stipend as 400 dollars per week.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<!no\\s)(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0120"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The compensation update does not state 400 dollars per primary week as the oncall stipend.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "no\\s+(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0052-03", "cluster_id": "P-0052", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-006", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0069", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Write a company-wide compensation update for the handbook section on primary oncall coverage. State the current weekly amount plainly so finance, managers, and engineers all read the same number when questions come up.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0120"], "must_not_use": ["F-0119"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The compensation update states the primary oncall stipend as 400 dollars per week.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<!no\\s)(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0120"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The compensation update does not state 400 dollars per primary week as the oncall stipend.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "no\\s+(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0053-01", "cluster_id": "P-0053", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-006", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0116", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare a short org note for the next compensation sync that states the current weekly payment for primary oncall coverage. Make it crisp enough that finance can reuse the wording without editing the amount.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0121"], "must_not_use": ["F-0119", "F-0120"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0121", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The org note states the primary oncall stipend as 500 dollars per week.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<!no\\s)(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<!no\\s)(400|four\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0121"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0121", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The org note does not state 500 dollars per primary week as the oncall stipend.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "no\\s+(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "no\\s+(400|four\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0053-02", "cluster_id": "P-0053", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-006", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0115", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare a short org note for the next compensation sync that states the current weekly payment for primary oncall coverage. Make it crisp enough that finance can reuse the wording without editing the amount.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0121"], "must_not_use": ["F-0119", "F-0120"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0121", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The org note states the primary oncall stipend as 500 dollars per week.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<!no\\s)(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<!no\\s)(400|four\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0121"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0121", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The org note does not state 500 dollars per primary week as the oncall stipend.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "no\\s+(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "no\\s+(400|four\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
+{"probe_id": "P-0053-03", "cluster_id": "P-0053", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-006", "kind": "staleness", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0120", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Prepare a short org note for the next compensation sync that states the current weekly payment for primary oncall coverage. Make it crisp enough that finance can reuse the wording without editing the amount.", "modality": "message", "targets": ["F-0121"], "must_not_use": ["F-0119", "F-0120"], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0121", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The org note states the primary oncall stipend as 500 dollars per week.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<!no\\s)(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "asrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "(?<!no\\s)(400|four\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0121"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0121", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The org note does not state 500 dollars per primary week as the oncall stipend.", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-2", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "no\\s+(300|three\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}, {"id": "casrt-3", "kind": "fact_absent", "fact_id": "F-0120", "checker": "pattern", "criterion": "no\\s+(400|four\\s+hundred)\\s*dollars?", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["staleness_rate"], "latency_series": null}
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+{"probe_id": "P-0054-03", "cluster_id": "P-0054", "archetype": "A7", "archetype_instance": "A7-006", "kind": "historical", "principal": "persona:yuki", "inject_after_event": "E-0120", "context_frame": {"kind": "org_facing", "ref": null}, "task": "Draft a short retrospective note for finance and leadership summarizing the earlier version of the primary-oncall pay policy before the later updates, so the audit trail clearly shows what changed across revisions.", "modality": "document", "targets": ["F-0119"], "must_not_use": [], "assertions": [{"id": "asrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The retrospective note records the earlier primary oncall stipend as 300 dollars per week.", "weight": 1.0}], "counterfactual_probe": {"ledger_deltas": ["F-0119"], "assertions": [{"id": "casrt-1", "kind": "fact_applied", "fact_id": "F-0119", "checker": "semantic", "criterion": "The retrospective note records that oncall engineers received no 300 dollar stipend per primary week in the earlier policy.", "weight": 1.0}]}, "judge_rubric": null, "metrics": ["history_retention"], "latency_series": null}