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extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014314.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ The power of global connections™
2
+ Bank of America
3
+ Merrill Lynch
4
+ This message, and any attachments, is for the intended recipients) only, may contain information that is
5
+ privileged, confidential and/or proprietary and subject to important terms and conditions available at
6
+ http://www.bankofamerica.com/emaildisclaimer. If you are not the intended recipient, please delete this
7
+ message.
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014315.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ 2016 Future of Financials Conference
2
+ Management and client bullishness implies
3
+ further upside
4
+ Price Objective Change
5
+ Conference tone bullish into 2017
6
+ We recently hosted over 90 public and private companies and 700 attendees at our
7
+ Future of Financials conference, where investor attendance was up an impressive 66%
8
+ YoY. Revenue & regulatory upside + positioning = raising POs
9
+ We are raising our price objectives across most of our names. Banks: Most constructive we've heard in years
10
+ We are raising...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014316.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,6 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Conference tone bullish into 2017
2
+ We recently hosted over 90 public and private companies and 700 attendees at our
3
+ Future of Financials conference, where investor attendance was up an impressive 66%
4
+ YoY. When asked how they would
5
+ describe their portfolio positioning in financial stocks, 60% of the investors polled noted
6
+ that they are either slightly overweight or very overweight the sector (see Chart 1). Chart 1: How would you describe your portfolio positioning in financial stocks, excluding...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014317.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,6 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Banks Takeaways
2
+ With our conference coming a week following a historic US presidential election that
3
+ helped boost bank stocks by 12%, bank management teams were generally optimistic
4
+ with regards to the economic outlook heading into 2017. When asked what the biggest impact of the
5
+ GOP sweep would likely be to bank earnings, 35% noted tax cuts and infrastructure
6
+ spurring growth as the biggest impact. Chart 3: What do you think is the biggest impact of the GOP sweep to bank...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014318.txt ADDED
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1
+ Brokers Takeaways
2
+ In brokers, GS presented, while MS hosted 1-1 meetings with investors. Investors modestly positive on capital markets over next 1-2 years
3
+ Given the election outcome, recent rise in rates, potential for higher growth and de-
4
+ regulation, and lower corporate tax rates, we asked investors about their outlook for
5
+ capital markets over the next 1-2 years. Chart 5: Based on the backdrop and the election outcome, what is your outlook for the capital
6
+ markets over the next 1-2...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014319.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,27 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 6: What is your outlook on fixed income performance and flows versus equities?
2
+ 60%
3
+ 52%
4
+ 50%
5
+ 40% -
6
+ 30% -
7
+ 24%
8
+ 20% -
9
+ 16%
10
+ 10% -
11
+ 8%
12
+ 0%
13
+ 0% +
14
+ Weaker Fl performance Weaker Fl and Equity Flat Fl performance & Stronger Fl and Equity
15
+ Stronger Fl
16
+ & flows / Stronger
17
+ performance & flows
18
+ flows / Flat equity
19
+ performance & flows
20
+ equity performance &
21
+ flows
22
+ performance & flows
23
+ performance & flows /
24
+ Weaker equity
25
+ performance & flows
26
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
27
+ Active vs passive outlook -...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014320.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Nobody sees lower M&A activity in 2017 vs 2016. Chart 8: How will 2017 asset management M&A activity (# of deals) be versus 2016?
2
+ 60%
3
+ 56%
4
+ 50% -
5
+ 40% -
6
+ 32%
7
+ 30%-
8
+ 20% -
9
+ 12%
10
+ 10% -
11
+ 0%
12
+ 0%
13
+ Increase modestly
14
+ Increase
15
+ Be stagnant
16
+ significantly
17
+ Decrease
18
+ modestly
19
+ 0%
20
+ Decrease
21
+ significantly
22
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
23
+ Pricing/fee structure in retail seems to have more of a following
24
+ Given some underperformance of active managers, some scrutiny around fees, as well
25
+ as fee pressure from passive,...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014321.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Alternative Asset Manager Takeaways
2
+ Within alternative asset management, four of the public managers, ARES, BX, CG, and
3
+ KKR presented, while the others did meetings. Investors bullish on the equity markets
4
+ Our polling results indicate that investors are generally positive on equity market returns
5
+ over the next year. When asked "What is your expectation for equity market returns over
6
+ the next year?" the most common response was +0-10% (51%), followed by 10%+
7
+ (25%), 0 to - 10% (15%), and <- 10%...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014322.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,20 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 11: Where do you think we are in the overall Real Estate cycle?
2
+ 60%
3
+ 57%
4
+ 50% -
5
+ 42%
6
+ 40% -
7
+ 30% -
8
+ 20% -
9
+ 10% -
10
+ 1%
11
+ 0% +
12
+ Early innings with limited areas Middle innings with a few
13
+ Late innings with growing areas
14
+ of concern
15
+ pockets of concern
16
+ of concern
17
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
18
+ Investors like the growth, superior performance, & distributions
19
+ When asked "What is the most attractive aspect of investing in an alternative asset
20
+ manager?" investors like both attractive growth &...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014323.txt ADDED
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1
+ Chart 13: Where do you think distributions for the industry will be in 2017 vs. 2016?
2
+ 40%
3
+ 37%
4
+ 37%
5
+ 35% -
6
+ 30%
7
+ 25% -
8
+ 20%
9
+ 21%
10
+ 15% -
11
+ 10% -
12
+ 5%
13
+ 5% -
14
+ 0% +
15
+ Roughly flat
16
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
17
+ Up 5-15%
18
+ 0%
19
+ Up 15%+
20
+ Down 5-15%
21
+ Down 15%+
22
+ Election results could have far reaching impacts for the sector
23
+ When asked "What is the most likely impact from the election results on the alternative
24
+ asset managers?" investors were fairly mixed in their responses, indicating to us that
25
+ investors expect...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014324.txt ADDED
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1
+ US Banks Top Takeaways
2
+ Associated Bancorp (ASB) B-3-7, Underperform
3
+ • A strong Midwest market should lead to steady growth: ASB's CEO Phillip Flynn
4
+ and CFO Chris Niles highlighted the strong fundamentals of the bank's Midwest
5
+ footprint with its low unemployment and a strong manufacturing base. While
6
+ commenting on the potential for relief coming out of DC under the new Trump
7
+ administration, management noted that shortage of skilled workers was probably
8
+ the biggest issue impeding businesses in...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014325.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,18 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 15: Would you want to see ASB partner with emerging online lenders to augment organic
2
+ growth?
3
+ 70%
4
+ 60%
5
+ 50%
6
+ 40%
7
+ 30%
8
+ 20%
9
+ 10%
10
+ 0%
11
+ Yes, partnership with online lenders provides a
12
+ No, given the uncertainty around how these
13
+ good source of loan growth
14
+ loans will perform during a credit downturn
15
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
16
+ BB&T (BBT), B-1-7, Buy
17
+ Pent up demand in small and middle market corporates. COO Chris Henson was
18
+ upbeat with regards to the growth outlook for the US economy post...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014326.txt ADDED
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1
+ Potential for regulatory relief requires BBT to reevaluate risk/compliance
2
+ spending. Management noted that 75-80% of its infrastructure budget is based
3
+ around risk management and regulatory costs. Given the possibility of regulatory
4
+ relief coming out of the new administration, management noted that it does not
5
+ want to misallocate its expense spending. Chart 18: What do you think is the biggest catalyst for BBT shares over the next 12-24...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014327.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Management acknowledged positive trends coming out
2
+ of a future Trump administration, with one being the positive benefit from higher
3
+ rates. With a December rate hike likely on the horizon, CFO Kent Lucien reminded
4
+ investors that a 25 bp rate increase would benefit NIl marginally ($1.5mn on an
5
+ annual basis), but as the 10yr continues to rally, spread income will benefit more
6
+ significantly. A 100 bp increase contributes to a 5.2% increase in NIl on an annual
7
+ •Continued focus on expenses. While...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014328.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,21 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 20: With regard to capital deployment, what would you like management to focus on?
2
+ 70%
3
+ 60%
4
+ 50%
5
+ 40% •
6
+ 30% -
7
+ 20%
8
+ 10% -
9
+ 0%
10
+ 57%
11
+ Increase dividend payout
12
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
13
+ 29%
14
+ 14%
15
+ Increase the pace of share
16
+ Continue with current capital
17
+ buybacks
18
+ management strategy
19
+ Capital Bank Financial (CBF), C-1-7, Buy
20
+ Investor expectations for CBF to achieve its ROA target increased YoY. Of the
21
+ audience polled, 75% believe CBF to achieve its 1.1% ROA by YE17. CEO Gene Taylor...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014329.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,20 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Interestingly, investor sentiment
2
+ around CBF's positioning within the M&A market shifted, 75% of respondents
3
+ believing the pro forma institution is better positioned to act as an acquirer. (Note
4
+ last year, 55% of respondents believed CBF would be a takeout candidate in the
5
+ medium term. Chart 23: Do you think the pace of M&A activity will pick-up significantly
6
+ in 2017 vs. 2016?
7
+ 90%
8
+ 80%
9
+ 80%
10
+ 70%
11
+ 60%
12
+ 50%
13
+ 40%
14
+ 30%
15
+ 20%
16
+ 20%
17
+ 10%
18
+ 0%
19
+ Chart 24: Does the acquisition of CommunityOne better position CBF as
20
+ an...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014330.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ We note that when asked where is C's biggest
2
+ opportunity to take global market share within ICG, 47% of those polled said the
3
+ biggest opportunity lied within the Equities business. Gust 25: Where do you think 's bigest portunity is to take global market share within its l6.
4
+ 50%
5
+ 47%
6
+ 45%
7
+ 40%
8
+ 35%
9
+ 31%
10
+ 30%
11
+ 25%
12
+ 22%
13
+ 20%
14
+ 15%
15
+ 10% -
16
+ 5% -
17
+ 0%
18
+ Fixed income markets
19
+ Equity markets
20
+ Banking (Treasury & Trade
21
+ Solutions, advisory, ECM,
22
+ DCM)
23
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
24
+ • Lower regulatory constraints...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014331.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 27: Where do you see Citicorp's efficiency ratio settling in 2017?
2
+ 80%
3
+ 70%
4
+ 60%
5
+ 50%
6
+ 40%
7
+ 30%
8
+ 20%
9
+ 10%
10
+ 0%
11
+ 71%
12
+ 21%
13
+ 9%
14
+ Below the 58% reported TD in In line wiTh in% reported Above the S% reported TO
15
+ Source: BoFA Merrill Lynch Global Research
16
+ East West Bancorp (EWBC), B-1-7, Buy
17
+ • Sentiment post-election appears constructive on regulatory relief. CEO
18
+ Dominick Ng noted that the industry could be positively impacted should aspects of
19
+ Dodd-Frank, which have been both challenging and taken up...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014332.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ While EWBC isn't opposed to using excess capital for an
2
+ acquisition (depending on the market landscape), Mr. First Hawaiian (FHB), C-2-7, Neutral
3
+ • Positive outlook around the Hawaiian economy. Chairman and CEO Robert
4
+ Harrison and CFO/Treasurer Michael Ching were optimistic with regards to the
5
+ outlook for the Hawaiian economy, particularly around tourism trends. While the
6
+ recent strength of the dollar could impact the inflow of foreign tourists (with Japan
7
+ and Canada the key foreign markets for...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014333.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,39 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 29: What is the single biggest factor that would prevent you from buying or increasing
2
+ exposure to FHB?
3
+ 45%
4
+ 40%
5
+ 40%
6
+ 33%
7
+ 35%
8
+ 30%
9
+ 27%
10
+ 25% -
11
+ 20%
12
+ 15%
13
+ 10% -
14
+ 5%
15
+ 0%
16
+ +
17
+ FHB's premium valuation
18
+ Exposure to the auto sector
19
+ Liquidity overhang tied to a
20
+ single large shareholder (BNP
21
+ owns 82% of shares o/s)
22
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
23
+ Chart 30: What would you like management to prioritize in 2017?
24
+ 40%
25
+ 35%
26
+ 30%
27
+ 25%
28
+ 20%
29
+ 15%
30
+ 10%
31
+ 5%
32
+ 0%
33
+ 38%
34
+ 31%
35
+ 25%
36
+ 6%
37
+ Managing core
38
+ expense growth to
39
+ under...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014334.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ CRE market across its footprint it noted some caution around the health of the
2
+ market in Denver. Chart 31: What is the primary reason keeping you from buying/increasing exposure in GWB?
3
+ 40%
4
+ 38%
5
+ 38%
6
+ 35%
7
+ 30%
8
+ 25%
9
+ 25%
10
+ 20%
11
+ 15%
12
+ 10%
13
+ 5%
14
+ 0%
15
+ T
16
+ Ag exposure, as the weakness Stock valuation, see better Cautious commentary around
17
+ in the farm sector increases
18
+ risk/reward elsewhere
19
+ loan growth during 3Q16
20
+ credit risk
21
+ earnings
22
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
23
+ • Ag portfolio offers unique opportunity,...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014335.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ • Ready for M&A: While a depressed valuation (due to the volatility surrounding oil
2
+ prices) had kept IBKC out of M&A, given the recovery in valuation it noted its desire
3
+ to pursue potential deals across its footprint. Rate increase to boost the margin: In terms of its interest rate sensitivity,
4
+ management noted that it retains an asset sensitive balance sheet, with a potential
5
+ 25 basis point move in the Fed Funds rate expected to add 5c to quarterly EPS. Chart 32: What is the biggest factor...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014336.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,31 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 33: As a current or prospective JPM shareholder, what do you think is most important for the
2
+ stock to continue its outperformance next year?
3
+ 70%
4
+ 60%
5
+ 62%
6
+ 50%
7
+ 40%
8
+ 30%
9
+ 20%
10
+ 14%
11
+ 14%
12
+ 10%
13
+ 10%
14
+ 0%
15
+ Top-line revenue
16
+ growth
17
+ 0%
18
+ Continued
19
+ expense
20
+ management
21
+ Positive shift in the
22
+ interest rate
23
+ backdrop
24
+ Accelerating
25
+ capital return
26
+ More clarity on
27
+ regulatory and/or
28
+ litigation issues
29
+ facing the industry
30
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
31
+ • JPM cautious on CRE; however, overall credit remains...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014337.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,21 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 35: What is the biggest risk that prevents you from owning/increasing exposure to
2
+ NYCB?
3
+ 60%
4
+ 53%
5
+ 50%
6
+ 41%
7
+ 40%
8
+ 30%
9
+ 20% -
10
+ 10% -
11
+ 0%
12
+ Uncertainty tied with the
13
+ Astoria acquisition
14
+ 6%
15
+ T
16
+ Overhang from a softening in Liability sensitive balance sheet
17
+ the NYC multifamily space that could see pressure on the
18
+ margin from rising interest
19
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
20
+ • Regulatory relief would be meaningful for NYCB: Given that the prolonged
21
+ timeline for gaining regulatory approval for the...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014338.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,28 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ That said,
2
+ management noted that it was very likely that potential pro-growth measures taken
3
+ by the incoming Trump administration could push out any downturn, as in the short
4
+ run the economy would witness stronger growth. Chart 36: How do you view fundamentals for multifamily lending in 2017?
5
+ 60%
6
+ 50%
7
+ 50%
8
+ 40%
9
+ 28%
10
+ 30%
11
+ 20%
12
+ 11%
13
+ 10% •
14
+ 0%
15
+ No concern
16
+ 11%
17
+ 0%
18
+ Softening
19
+ Softening
20
+ Softening
21
+ Some concern, but
22
+ fundamentals
23
+ fundamentals
24
+ fundamentals
25
+ only in certain
26
+ should lead to
27
+ should lead to
28
+ should lead...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014339.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 38: How do you view the impact of new online lending startups on the banking
2
+ industry?
3
+ 60%
4
+ 54%
5
+ 50%
6
+ 38%
7
+ 40%
8
+ 30%
9
+ 20%
10
+ 10% •
11
+ 8%
12
+ 0% +
13
+ A revenue growth opportunity Potential disruptors that will Online lending start ups don't
14
+ as banks partner with these likely take market share away offer anything proprietary
15
+ new players
16
+ from traditional lenders
17
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
18
+ • Possible tailwind from regulation: Management at Regions noted that while it is
19
+ still uncertain how the...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014340.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ income segment) have not changed despite the headlines surrounding a softening
2
+ in the multifamily space.
3
+ • Hiring bankers, even as team hiring on pause: On the hiring front, management
4
+ noted that although it does not expect to hire teams heading into year-end, it is
5
+ continuing to hire individual bankers (recently hired 4 to 5 lenders). Management does not expect to hire
6
+ additional CRE lenders.
7
+ • Easing in regulatory environment could provide some relief on expense growth:
8
+ With regard to the...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014341.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,36 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 39: How do you view fundamentals for multifamily lending in 2017?
2
+ 30%
3
+ 25%
4
+ 20%
5
+ 15%
6
+ 10% •
7
+ 5%
8
+ 0%
9
+ 27%
10
+ 27%
11
+ 13%
12
+ 27%
13
+ 7%
14
+ Softening
15
+ Softening
16
+ Softening
17
+ Some concern, but
18
+ fundamentals
19
+ fundamentals
20
+ fundamentals
21
+ only in certain
22
+ should lead to
23
+ should lead to
24
+ should lead to
25
+ regions and at
26
+ slower financing
27
+ worsening credit slower financing certain rental price
28
+ activity next year
29
+ metrics
30
+ activing and
31
+ points
32
+ worsening credit
33
+ metrics
34
+ No concern
35
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
36
+ • Confident past...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014342.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chief Credit Officer Kevin Howard noted
2
+ expectations for net charge-offs to naturally tick up as recoveries become less of a
3
+ benefit and some seasoning in the loan portfolio. Management reiterated its intent to continue to deploy excess capital. Although SNV will disclose a more detailed capital plan in January, management
4
+ expects to continue deploying excess capital via buybacks, M&A and/or organic
5
+ growth. Chart 41: What would you like to see management do with its excess...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014343.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 42: How do you view SNV's partnerships with online lenders (SoFi/GreenSky)?
2
+ 57%
3
+ 70%
4
+ 60%
5
+ 50%
6
+ 40%
7
+ 30%
8
+ 20%
9
+ 10%
10
+ 0%
11
+ 43%
12
+ Positively. Creates another
13
+ avenue for loan growth
14
+ 0%
15
+ Cautiously. The exposure is
16
+ loans will perform during a
17
+ relatively small so does not
18
+ credit downturn
19
+ matter either ways
20
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
21
+ Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI) C-2-9, Neutral
22
+ • Upbeat on business outlook: TCBI's President & CEO Keith Cargill, CFO & COO
23
+ Peter Bartholow, CAO Julie Anderson,...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014344.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 44: Where do you see TCBI's provisioning in 2017 relative to 2016?
2
+ 47%
3
+ 50%
4
+ 45%
5
+ 40%
6
+ 35%
7
+ 30%
8
+ 25% -
9
+ 20% -
10
+ 15% -
11
+ 10%
12
+ 5%
13
+ 0%
14
+ 37%
15
+ 16%
16
+ Lower, given the stabilization Flat-to-higher, given credit Uncertain, as volatility in oil
17
+ in oil prices which should lead normalization in the rest of the
18
+ prices could lead to an
19
+ to reserve reversals
20
+ book
21
+ elevated level of provisioning
22
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
23
+ • Mortgage growth to continue despite a downshift in activity: Management...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014345.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,6 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ • Continued investments in regulatory costs despite potential regulatory relief. On the topic of regulation, management noted that it is still too early to know what
2
+ type of regulatory relief banks of USB's size may receive so management has not
3
+ slowed down any of its investments in regulatory costs.
4
+ • Long term 13.5- 16.5% ROE target unchanged. Risk management compliance expenses sustaining at this level. In terms of its P2P initiative with Zelle,
5
+ Davis was optimistic around its growth.
6
+ • In...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014346.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,28 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 46: What do you consider to be the most important catalyst for USB in 2017?
2
+ 50%
3
+ 45%
4
+ 40%
5
+ 35%
6
+ 30%
7
+ 25%
8
+ 20%
9
+ 15%
10
+ 10%
11
+ 5% -
12
+ 0%
13
+ 43%
14
+ 43%
15
+ 14%
16
+ 0%
17
+ Sustained operating
18
+ Further acceleration of Using excess capital
19
+ Rising interest rates
20
+ leverage, regardless of
21
+ capital return
22
+ and strong currency to
23
+ rate backdrop
24
+ engage in non-
25
+ depository deals
26
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
27
+ Wells Fargo & Co (WFC), B-1-7, Buy
28
+ • WFC sees modestly better benefit from steepening yield curve vs parallel shift....
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014347.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,21 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ That said, Mr Blinde assured investors that WFC will continue to focus on deposit
2
+ growth (66% of total funding) even as its long-term debt needs continue. Blinde
3
+ noted that potential changes to the annual stress test process, as proposed by Gov. Chart 49: What do you think is the biggest catalyst for WFC shares over the next 12-24 months?
4
+ 35%
5
+ 31%
6
+ 30%
7
+ 24%
8
+ 25%
9
+ 20%
10
+ 21%
11
+ 14%
12
+ 15% -
13
+ 10%
14
+ 10% -
15
+ 5%
16
+ 0%
17
+ Better clarity
18
+ Delivering clean Achieving solid Renewed focus on
19
+ Accelerating
20
+ around the full
21
+ and...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014348.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ That said, following the results of the election, and
2
+ assuming the new administration can create fiscal stimulus, management sounded
3
+ optimistic around growth prospects in C&l (10% ex-energy YoY), owner-occupied,
4
+ etc.
5
+ • Energy portfolio performing in-line with expectations. Management reaffirmed
6
+ the >8% allowance on its energy portfolio ($2.3mn or 5% of total loans) remains
7
+ sufficient to cover future losses. However, continued stress in its oilfield services
8
+ portfolio (26% of portfolio) remains...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014349.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 52: What do you consider as the single most important catalyst for ZION shares in 2017?
2
+ 35%
3
+ 30%
4
+ 25%
5
+ 20%
6
+ 15%
7
+ 10% -
8
+ 5% -
9
+ 0%
10
+ 14%
11
+ 29%
12
+ 21%
13
+ 21%
14
+ 14%
15
+ Greater comfort
16
+ More aggressive Stronger revenue
17
+ Continued
18
+ around potential
19
+ capital return to growth regardless expense savings
20
+ energy losses
21
+ shareholders
22
+ of what happens
23
+ to achieve an
24
+ to interest rates
25
+ efficiency ratio in
26
+ the low 60%s for
27
+ FY17
28
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
29
+ Chart 53: Compared to this year's CCAR capital ask which...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014350.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 55: What would get you more interested in investing in GS stock?
2
+ 60%
3
+ 50%
4
+ 40% -
5
+ 30% -
6
+ 20% -
7
+ 10% -
8
+ 0%
9
+ 51%
10
+ 34%
11
+ 10%
12
+ 5%
13
+ A stronger revenue Normalizing regulations
14
+ backdrop
15
+ and ability to return
16
+ more capital
17
+ Investing to drive
18
+ improving returns
19
+ Additional expense
20
+ reductions
21
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
22
+ • Management focused the presentation on Marcus, Goldman's new consumer
23
+ lending effort. This venture has significant potential with an unsecured consumer
24
+ loan target market of $850B...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014351.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,27 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 56: What would get you more interested in investing in IVZ stock?
2
+ 60%
3
+ 50%
4
+ 48%
5
+ 40% •
6
+ 30% -
7
+ 20% -
8
+ 10% -
9
+ 0%
10
+ 38%
11
+ 10%
12
+ 5%
13
+ Consistent above A more favorable
14
+ Less regulation for
15
+ More operating
16
+ average organic
17
+ market backdrop
18
+ the industry
19
+ leverage
20
+ growth
21
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
22
+ 0%
23
+ Longer term FX
24
+ hedges
25
+ • IVZ is confident it can achieve its 3-5% organic growth rate driven by three main
26
+ pillars. Lastly, IVZ sees opportunity in its institutional
27
+ channel, particularly in Asia which...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014352.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 57: What would get you more interested in investing in EV stock?
2
+ 40%
3
+ 38%
4
+ 35% -
5
+ 30%
6
+ 25% -
7
+ 20% -
8
+ 15%
9
+ 10% -
10
+ 5%
11
+ 31%
12
+ -23%
13
+ 0%
14
+ 8%
15
+ Stronger high-fee flows
16
+ and a favorable fee rate
17
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
18
+ ETMFs taking off
19
+ Increased capital return
20
+ Positive operating
21
+ leverage aiding the margin
22
+ • EV disclosed their F4Q AUM which was $336.4B up modestly from $334.4B at the
23
+ end of its prior quarter as modest market losses were offset by inflows which were
24
+ also disclosed by EV. EV...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014353.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Legg Mason (LM), C-1-7, Buy
2
+ • Presenting from LM was Joe Sullivan, Chairman & CEO, and Alan Magleby, Head of
3
+ IR. Nobody said
4
+ that a stronger balance sheet or more affiliate deals would get them more excited
5
+ about LM's stock. Chart 58: What would get you more interested in investing in LM stock?
6
+ 90%
7
+ 82%
8
+ 80%
9
+ 70%
10
+ 60%
11
+ 50%
12
+ 40%
13
+ 30%
14
+ 20% -
15
+ 12%
16
+ 10%
17
+ 6%
18
+ 0%
19
+ 0%
20
+ 0%
21
+ The absence of deal
22
+ noise
23
+ Operating leverage and
24
+ higher margins
25
+ A stronger balance
26
+ sheet
27
+ More affiliate deals
28
+ Stronger organic
29
+ growth, notably...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014354.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ LM feels its strong positioning in global
2
+ distribution and product sets bodes well to perform in a new fiduciary world.
3
+ • Additionally, a lower potential U.S. corporate tax rate will not change its cash tax
4
+ rate which is likely to be 6-7% through 2021 and in the mid-teens through 2025
5
+ after that. However, it would impact GAAP EPS and a lower corporate tax rate
6
+ would lower the value of LM's DTA. AB (AB), B-1-8, Buy
7
+ •
8
+ Presenting from AB was Peter Kraus, Chairman & CEO. Chart 59: What would get...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014355.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Peter Kraus commented that there is a very strong philosophical argument
2
+ for the regulators to approve new fee structures which would allow investors to pay
3
+ a low beta fee and a higher performance fee for alpha generated (while it exists in
4
+ Europe, a similar structure is not available in the U.S.). Alternative Asset Manager Top Takeaways
5
+ Ares Management (ARES), C-2-7, Neutral
6
+ •
7
+ Michael Arougheti, Co-founder and President, presented for Ares. Chart 60: What would get you more interested in...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014356.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Gray also thinks that concerns over the commercial real estate market
2
+ may be overdone.
3
+ •
4
+ When asked "What would get you more interested in investing in BX stock?" the
5
+ most common response was a market pullback (30%), followed by comfort on the
6
+ direction of the real estate market (25%), rising returns and visibility on
7
+ distributions (21%), and a more simplified structure (20%), while fundraising and
8
+ margin improvement were less important (4%). Chart 61: What would get you more interested in...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014357.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,6 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Carlyle Group (CG), C-2-8, Neutral
2
+ • Glenn Youngkin, President and Chief Operating Officer, presented for CG. Youngkin is positive on the economic/market backdrop and on CG's ability to
3
+ generate cash carry relatively consistently over time given the firm's diversity of
4
+ • When asked "What would get you more interested in investing in CG stock?" most
5
+ investors would like to see an increased float and reduced complexity (40%),
6
+ followed closely by rising fee related earnings (30%). Chart 62: What...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014358.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ KKR & Co (KKR), C-1-8, Buy
2
+ • Bill Janetschek, Chief Financial Officer, presented for KKR. Janetschek
3
+ believes that KKR's balance sheet gives them the ability to take advantage of
4
+ market dislocations, sees opportunities to grow in certain areas (e.g. infrastructure
5
+ and real estate), and noted that they don't need to grow the headcount to bring on
6
+ • When asked "What would get you more interested in investing in KKR stock?" the
7
+ most common response was a market pullback for better...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014359.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,9 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Specialty Finance
2
+ American Express Company (AXP), B-2-7, Neutral
3
+ •
4
+ Presenting from American Express Company was Mr. Jeff Campbell, Chief Financial
5
+ Officer. AXP did express caution on near-term Discount rate pressures
6
+ and FX headwinds.
7
+ •
8
+ When asked what would be a key factor to increase / initiate a position in AXP, 53%
9
+ of the audience said they would like to see better visibility in AXP's core growth. Chart 64: What would be a key factor for you to increase / initiate a position in American...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014360.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,6 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Conference Panels Top Takeaways
2
+ Contact your BofA sales representative for additional information. Blockchain: Potential Transformation of Financial Markets
3
+ With Blockchain one of the most talked about potential disruption in financial services
4
+ and 71% polled noting that blockchain is a significant opportunity for financial service
5
+ firms, we thought it was timely to host a panel on the potential impact of Blockchain on
6
+ financial markets that included Co-founder & COO of R3 Todd McDonald and CEO...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014361.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,34 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 67: How knowledgeable are you with blockchain technology?
2
+ 60%
3
+ 50%
4
+ 40% -
5
+ 30% -
6
+ 20% -
7
+ 10% -
8
+ 0%
9
+ 50%
10
+ 34%
11
+ 16%
12
+ Very knowledgeable
13
+ Source: BoFA Merrill Lynch Global Research
14
+ Moderately knowledgeable
15
+ Not at all knowledgeable
16
+ Chart 68: After this panel, how do you feel about the applicability of
17
+ blockchain technology in financial services?
18
+ 80%
19
+ 71%
20
+ 70%
21
+ 60%
22
+ 50%
23
+ 40%
24
+ 30%
25
+ 20%
26
+ 14%
27
+ 14%
28
+ 10%
29
+ 0%
30
+ A significant
31
+ opportunity for
32
+ financial service firms
33
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
34
+ A modest...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014362.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Chart 70: What is the primary challenge related to the new clearing rules?
2
+ 60%
3
+ 50%
4
+ 50%
5
+ 45%
6
+ 40% -
7
+ 30%
8
+ 20% -
9
+ 10%
10
+ 2%
11
+ 2%
12
+ 0%
13
+ +
14
+ The rising cost,
15
+ The complexity around The lack of dealers
16
+ particularly in the
17
+ infrastructure and offering the capabilities
18
+ amount of collateral
19
+ different country rules given their challenges
20
+ required
21
+ Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
22
+ None
23
+ •
24
+ Panel participants believe that the election/shift in regulatory outlook might lead to
25
+ a slowdown of products being added to...
extracted/summaries/house-oversight-nov/14/house-oversight-014363.txt ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ Equity Market Structure: Simplifying the Complex
2
+ • Guest speakers in this panel included Anthony Barchetto (EVP, Head of Corporate
3
+ Development, BATS Global Markets, Inc.), Jamil Nazarali (Head of Execution
4
+ Services, Citadel Securities Inc.), Eric Stockland (Chief Strategy Officer, IEX Corp.)
5
+ and Pankil Patel (Managing Director, Electronic Sales, BofA Merrill Lynch).
6
+ • Panel members had a spirited debate regarding the current market structure pros
7
+ and cons, rebates, off-exchange trading,...