{ "description": "Best FELM DCF results aggregated from multiple runs", "date_generated": "2026-01-16", "source_runs": { "felm_anneal": "results/felm_anneal/dataset/hyperparams.json", "felm_anneal_low_lambda_v2": "results/felm_anneal_low_lambda_v2/dataset/hyperparams.json", "felm_hone": "results/felm_hone/dataset/hyperparams.json" }, "alpha_to_source": { "0.01": "felm_anneal", "0.02": "felm_anneal", "0.03": "felm_anneal", "0.04": "felm_anneal", "0.05": "felm_anneal", "0.06": "felm_anneal_low_lambda_v2", "0.07": "felm_anneal_low_lambda_v2", "0.08": "felm_anneal", "0.09": "felm_hone", "0.1": "felm_hone" }, "alpha_to_features": { "0.01": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "0.02": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "0.03": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "0.04": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "0.05": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "0.06": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "0.07": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "0.08": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "0.09": [ "frequency-score", "claim_index", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "has_unnecessary_dependencies", "problem_relevance", "uses_problem_data", "domain_science", "domain_reasoning", "nx_in_degree", "nx_out_degree", "nx_pagerank", "nx_betweenness", "nx_closeness", "nx_clustering", "nx_is_source", "nx_is_sink", "nx_reachability", "nx_depth_from_sources" ], "0.1": [ "frequency-score", "claim_index", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "has_unnecessary_dependencies", "problem_relevance", "uses_problem_data", "domain_science", "domain_reasoning", "nx_in_degree", "nx_out_degree", "nx_pagerank", "nx_betweenness", "nx_closeness", "nx_clustering", "nx_is_source", "nx_is_sink", "nx_reachability", "nx_depth_from_sources" ] }, "results": { "0.01": { "alpha": 0.01, "target_coverage": 0.99, "source": "felm_anneal", "feature_set": "7_features", "features": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "learned": { "coverage": 0.9915476190476191, "coverage_std": 0.015760064391671432, "avg_claims_retained": 0.7153174603174602, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.19439424360066407, "precision": 0.2608035714285714, "precision_std": 0.09359210216558873 }, "baseline": { "coverage": 0.9918873239436619, "coverage_std": 0.006704935457718004, "avg_claims_retained": 0.4446760563380282, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.17468878212716243, "precision": 0.13114084507042253, "precision_std": 0.046563578384589195 }, "hyperparams": { "temp": 1.0, "beta": 1, "gamma": 1.5, "lambda_": 1.2, "violation_mode": "exponential", "squash_temp": 0.8, "cutoff_temp": 0.01, "lr": 0.015, "hard_coverage_mean": 0.9915476190476191, "hard_coverage_std": 0.015760064391671432, "hard_avg_claims_retained_mean": 0.7153174603174602, "hard_avg_claims_retained_std": 0.19439424360066407, "hard_precision_mean": 0.2608035714285714, "hard_precision_std": 0.09359210216558873 }, "meets_coverage": true }, "0.02": { "alpha": 0.02, "target_coverage": 0.98, "source": "felm_anneal", "feature_set": "7_features", "features": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "learned": { "coverage": 0.9774603174603176, "coverage_std": 0.020982121749398376, "avg_claims_retained": 1.4280555555555556, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.4606316849650614, "precision": 0.4873743386243386, "precision_std": 0.15545133977830713 }, "baseline": { "coverage": 0.9808450704225352, "coverage_std": 0.009643517052745727, "avg_claims_retained": 0.8967887323943661, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.20397459885189215, "precision": 0.2575446009389671, "precision_std": 0.05132522708138355 }, "hyperparams": { "temp": 1.0, "beta": 1, "gamma": 1.0, "lambda_": 1.5, "violation_mode": "exponential", "squash_temp": 0.8, "cutoff_temp": 0.01, "lr": 0.015, "hard_coverage_mean": 0.9774603174603176, "hard_coverage_std": 0.020982121749398376, "hard_avg_claims_retained_mean": 1.4280555555555556, "hard_avg_claims_retained_std": 0.4606316849650614, "hard_precision_mean": 0.4873743386243386, "hard_precision_std": 0.15545133977830713 }, "meets_coverage": true }, "0.03": { "alpha": 0.03, "target_coverage": 0.97, "source": "felm_anneal", "feature_set": "7_features", "features": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "learned": { "coverage": 0.9732142857142858, "coverage_std": 0.024502964120548153, "avg_claims_retained": 1.4577380952380952, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.3746905899990178, "precision": 0.5040410052910053, "precision_std": 0.09771194976933983 }, "baseline": { "coverage": 0.9710985915492957, "coverage_std": 0.011279008314819218, "avg_claims_retained": 1.180281690140845, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.1856609439647076, "precision": 0.33245070422535217, "precision_std": 0.042476707374746105 }, "hyperparams": { "temp": 1.0, "beta": 1, "gamma": 1.25, "lambda_": 1.3, "violation_mode": "exponential", "squash_temp": 0.8, "cutoff_temp": 0.01, "lr": 0.015, "hard_coverage_mean": 0.9732142857142858, "hard_coverage_std": 0.024502964120548153, "hard_avg_claims_retained_mean": 1.4577380952380952, "hard_avg_claims_retained_std": 0.3746905899990178, "hard_precision_mean": 0.5040410052910053, "hard_precision_std": 0.09771194976933983 }, "meets_coverage": true }, "0.04": { "alpha": 0.04, "target_coverage": 0.96, "source": "felm_anneal", "feature_set": "7_features", "features": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "learned": { "coverage": 0.9647222222222223, "coverage_std": 0.034487277697772496, "avg_claims_retained": 1.6817460317460315, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.355912253759144, "precision": 0.5549007936507937, "precision_std": 0.08089042865566827 }, "baseline": { "coverage": 0.9588732394366198, "coverage_std": 0.013079647060556534, "avg_claims_retained": 1.447492957746479, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.17841908409564786, "precision": 0.40163380281690136, "precision_std": 0.03931126367158381 }, "hyperparams": { "temp": 0.5, "beta": 1, "gamma": 1.5, "lambda_": 1.45, "violation_mode": "exponential", "squash_temp": 0.8, "cutoff_temp": 0.01, "lr": 0.015, "hard_coverage_mean": 0.9647222222222223, "hard_coverage_std": 0.034487277697772496, "hard_avg_claims_retained_mean": 1.6817460317460315, "hard_avg_claims_retained_std": 0.355912253759144, "hard_precision_mean": 0.5549007936507937, "hard_precision_std": 0.08089042865566827 }, "meets_coverage": true }, "0.05": { "alpha": 0.05, "target_coverage": 0.95, "source": "felm_anneal", "feature_set": "7_features", "features": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "learned": { "coverage": 0.9534523809523809, "coverage_std": 0.03620150468970789, "avg_claims_retained": 1.8526984126984125, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.39758074143016564, "precision": 0.5965702003023432, "precision_std": 0.09169126576443776 }, "baseline": { "coverage": 0.9509859154929577, "coverage_std": 0.014862992629039931, "avg_claims_retained": 1.6611830985915492, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.1976028048345379, "precision": 0.45214741784037554, "precision_std": 0.038844472303419496 }, "hyperparams": { "temp": 0.5, "beta": 1, "gamma": 1.25, "lambda_": 1.45, "violation_mode": "exponential", "squash_temp": 0.8, "cutoff_temp": 0.01, "lr": 0.015, "hard_coverage_mean": 0.9534523809523809, "hard_coverage_std": 0.03620150468970789, "hard_avg_claims_retained_mean": 1.8526984126984125, "hard_avg_claims_retained_std": 0.39758074143016564, "hard_precision_mean": 0.5965702003023432, "hard_precision_std": 0.09169126576443776 }, "meets_coverage": true }, "0.06": { "alpha": 0.06, "target_coverage": 0.94, "source": "felm_anneal_low_lambda_v2", "feature_set": "7_features", "features": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "learned": { "coverage": 0.9491666666666667, "coverage_std": 0.039838167051758806, "avg_claims_retained": 1.9226587301587301, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.4188284415837419, "precision": 0.6038770786092214, "precision_std": 0.08327533165270261 }, "baseline": { "coverage": 0.9394366197183099, "coverage_std": 0.016762338644295032, "avg_claims_retained": 1.9679999999999997, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.23461035494430724, "precision": 0.5214323272971161, "precision_std": 0.04593742293818858 }, "hyperparams": { "temp": 1.0, "beta": 1, "gamma": 1.0, "lambda_": 1.0, "violation_mode": "exponential", "squash_temp": 0.8, "cutoff_temp": 0.01, "lr": 0.015, "hard_coverage_mean": 0.9491666666666667, "hard_coverage_std": 0.039838167051758806, "hard_avg_claims_retained_mean": 1.9226587301587301, "hard_avg_claims_retained_std": 0.4188284415837419, "hard_precision_mean": 0.6038770786092214, "hard_precision_std": 0.08327533165270261 }, "meets_coverage": true }, "0.07": { "alpha": 0.07, "target_coverage": 0.9299999999999999, "source": "felm_anneal_low_lambda_v2", "feature_set": "7_features", "features": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "learned": { "coverage": 0.9421031746031746, "coverage_std": 0.041659088502089124, "avg_claims_retained": 1.9847222222222225, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.45195000881583347, "precision": 0.6110926870748299, "precision_std": 0.11778145514506322 }, "baseline": { "coverage": 0.9312676056338028, "coverage_std": 0.01731879002697396, "avg_claims_retained": 2.2001690140845067, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.25667794209696926, "precision": 0.5760910798122065, "precision_std": 0.05309294787977286 }, "hyperparams": { "temp": 1.0, "beta": 1, "gamma": 1.25, "lambda_": 0.9, "violation_mode": "exponential", "squash_temp": 0.8, "cutoff_temp": 0.01, "lr": 0.015, "hard_coverage_mean": 0.9421031746031746, "hard_coverage_std": 0.041659088502089124, "hard_avg_claims_retained_mean": 1.9847222222222225, "hard_avg_claims_retained_std": 0.45195000881583347, "hard_precision_mean": 0.6110926870748299, "hard_precision_std": 0.11778145514506322 }, "meets_coverage": true }, "0.08": { "alpha": 0.08, "target_coverage": 0.92, "source": "felm_anneal", "feature_set": "7_features", "features": [ "frequency-score", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "nx_pagerank", "nx_reachability", "nx_out_degree" ], "learned": { "coverage": 0.9363888888888889, "coverage_std": 0.04032361142303625, "avg_claims_retained": 2.10952380952381, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.3633810567311269, "precision": 0.6353406084656085, "precision_std": 0.07939856335930871 }, "baseline": { "coverage": 0.9214647887323943, "coverage_std": 0.018217666054599003, "avg_claims_retained": 2.4501971830985916, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.23481517800994994, "precision": 0.6371147999105745, "precision_std": 0.05024683848853584 }, "hyperparams": { "temp": 1.0, "beta": 1, "gamma": 1.25, "lambda_": 1.5, "violation_mode": "exponential", "squash_temp": 0.8, "cutoff_temp": 0.01, "lr": 0.015, "hard_coverage_mean": 0.9363888888888889, "hard_coverage_std": 0.04032361142303625, "hard_avg_claims_retained_mean": 2.10952380952381, "hard_avg_claims_retained_std": 0.3633810567311269, "hard_precision_mean": 0.6353406084656085, "hard_precision_std": 0.07939856335930871 }, "meets_coverage": true }, "0.09": { "alpha": 0.09, "target_coverage": 0.91, "source": "felm_hone", "feature_set": "20_features", "features": [ "frequency-score", "claim_index", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "has_unnecessary_dependencies", "problem_relevance", "uses_problem_data", "domain_science", "domain_reasoning", "nx_in_degree", "nx_out_degree", "nx_pagerank", "nx_betweenness", "nx_closeness", "nx_clustering", "nx_is_source", "nx_is_sink", "nx_reachability", "nx_depth_from_sources" ], "learned": { "coverage": 0.9139285714285714, "coverage_std": 0.04530729530451504, "avg_claims_retained": 2.760357142857143, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.444718557405786, "precision": 0.7079765419765419, "precision_std": 0.05769065357895684 }, "baseline": { "coverage": 0.9079999999999998, "coverage_std": 0.019979040793232657, "avg_claims_retained": 2.6562816901408444, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.1811952994981004, "precision": 0.6821681198300918, "precision_std": 0.03279157111570292 }, "hyperparams": { "temp": 1.0, "beta": 1, "gamma": 1.0, "lambda_": 1.65, "violation_mode": "exponential", "squash_temp": 0.8, "cutoff_temp": 0.01, "lr": 0.015, "hard_coverage_mean": 0.9139285714285714, "hard_coverage_std": 0.04530729530451504, "hard_avg_claims_retained_mean": 2.760357142857143, "hard_avg_claims_retained_std": 0.444718557405786, "hard_precision_mean": 0.7079765419765419, "hard_precision_std": 0.05769065357895684 }, "meets_coverage": true }, "0.1": { "alpha": 0.1, "target_coverage": 0.9, "source": "felm_hone", "feature_set": "20_features", "features": [ "frequency-score", "claim_index", "coherent_to_ancestors", "inference_gap_size", "has_missing_dependencies", "has_unnecessary_dependencies", "problem_relevance", "uses_problem_data", "domain_science", "domain_reasoning", "nx_in_degree", "nx_out_degree", "nx_pagerank", "nx_betweenness", "nx_closeness", "nx_clustering", "nx_is_source", "nx_is_sink", "nx_reachability", "nx_depth_from_sources" ], "learned": { "coverage": 0.9053571428571429, "coverage_std": 0.04800168687197146, "avg_claims_retained": 2.846746031746032, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.4311378112567819, "precision": 0.7341042568542568, "precision_std": 0.058453704655857086 }, "baseline": { "coverage": 0.9007887323943662, "coverage_std": 0.020213421880577218, "avg_claims_retained": 2.7548732394366198, "avg_claims_retained_std": 0.15754765135642929, "precision": 0.7018582606751622, "precision_std": 0.022396892802106768 }, "hyperparams": { "temp": 0.5, "beta": 1, "gamma": 1.25, "lambda_": 1.9, "violation_mode": "exponential", "squash_temp": 0.8, "cutoff_temp": 0.01, "lr": 0.015, "hard_coverage_mean": 0.9053571428571429, "hard_coverage_std": 0.04800168687197146, "hard_avg_claims_retained_mean": 2.846746031746032, "hard_avg_claims_retained_std": 0.4311378112567819, "hard_precision_mean": 0.7341042568542568, "hard_precision_std": 0.058453704655857086 }, "meets_coverage": true } } }