{ "claim": "Theorem 3.1 calibration convergence as written", "verdict": "falsified_as_written", "theorem_condition": "sup(lambda*T)-inf(lambda*T) <= 1", "construction": { "graph": "one false node, no edges", "risk": 0.5, "threshold_grid": [ 0.0, 0.5, 1.0 ], "lambda": 1.0, "condition_lhs": 1.0 }, "hard_cf_nonconformity": 0.0, "sequential_limit": { "limiting_violations": [ 0.0, 1.0, 1.0 ], "limiting_utilities": [ 0.0, -0.5, 0.0 ], "maximizers": [ 0.0, 1.0 ], "softmax_limit": 0.5 }, "single_limit_schedule": "tau_s=sqrt(T), beta=1/sqrt(T)", "rows": [ { "temperature": 0.1, "tau_s": 0.31622776601683794, "beta": 3.162277660168379, "violations": [ 0.37318754703007484, 0.9999601784052546, 0.9999999999938359 ], "utilities": [ -0.37318754703007484, -0.49996017840525464, 6.164069255021332e-12 ], "weights": [ 0.20306642872645947, 0.1359983700175665, 0.660935201255974 ], "soft_score": 0.7289343862647573 }, { "temperature": 0.05, "tau_s": 0.22360679774997896, "beta": 4.47213595499958, "violations": [ 0.017582726326865687, 0.9999999980409284, 1.0 ], "utilities": [ -0.017582726326865687, -0.49999999804092843, 0.0 ], "weights": [ 0.4550775328421732, 0.052616627404334156, 0.4923058397534925 ], "soft_score": 0.5186141534556596 }, { "temperature": 0.025, "tau_s": 0.15811388300841897, "beta": 6.324555320336758, "violations": [ 7.275418902234627e-06, 1.0, 1.0 ], "utilities": [ -7.275418902234627e-06, -0.5, 0.0 ], "weights": [ 0.48962552494901285, 0.020726420057878465, 0.48964805499310876 ], "soft_score": 0.500011265022048 }, { "temperature": 0.0125, "tau_s": 0.11180339887498948, "beta": 8.94427190999916, "violations": [ 2.9121494066836484e-13, 1.0, 1.0 ], "utilities": [ -2.9121494066836484e-13, -0.5, 0.0 ], "weights": [ 0.4971604949294267, 0.005679010139851707, 0.4971604949307217 ], "soft_score": 0.5000000000006475 }, { "temperature": 0.00625, "tau_s": 0.07905694150420949, "beta": 12.649110640673516, "violations": [ 7.111159033721036e-29, 1.0, 1.0 ], "utilities": [ -7.111159033721036e-29, -0.5, 0.0 ], "weights": [ 0.49955246023408223, 0.000895079531835494, 0.49955246023408223 ], "soft_score": 0.5 }, { "temperature": 0.003125, "tau_s": 0.05590169943749474, "beta": 17.88854381999832, "violations": [ 3.422581156485294e-61, 1.0, 1.0 ], "utilities": [ -3.422581156485294e-61, -0.5, 0.0 ], "weights": [ 0.49996738151840736, 6.523696318529085e-05, 0.49996738151840736 ], "soft_score": 0.5 }, { "temperature": 0.0015625, "tau_s": 0.03952847075210474, "beta": 25.298221281347033, "violations": [ 2.604555897244908e-127, 1.0, 1.0 ], "utilities": [ -2.604555897244908e-127, -0.5, 0.0 ], "weights": [ 0.49999919739777515, 1.6052044498042826e-06, 0.49999919739777515 ], "soft_score": 0.5 }, { "temperature": 0.00078125, "tau_s": 0.02795084971874737, "beta": 35.77708763999664, "violations": [ 1.3897231989963965e-261, 1.0, 1.0 ], "utilities": [ -1.3897231989963965e-261, -0.5, 0.0 ], "weights": [ 0.4999999957435833, 8.51283332537817e-09, 0.4999999957435833 ], "soft_score": 0.49999999999999994 }, { "temperature": 0.000390625, "tau_s": 0.01976423537605237, "beta": 50.596442562694065, "violations": [ 0.0, 1.0, 1.0 ], "utilities": [ 0.0, -0.5, 0.0 ], "weights": [ 0.4999999999974233, 5.153379195757535e-12, 0.4999999999974233 ], "soft_score": 0.5 }, { "temperature": 0.0001953125, "tau_s": 0.013975424859373685, "beta": 71.55417527999327, "violations": [ 0.0, 1.0, 1.0 ], "utilities": [ 0.0, -0.5, 0.0 ], "weights": [ 0.5, 1.4493666491898172e-16, 0.5 ], "soft_score": 0.5000000000000001 }, { "temperature": 9.765625e-05, "tau_s": 0.009882117688026186, "beta": 101.19288512538813, "violations": [ 0.0, 1.0, 1.0 ], "utilities": [ 0.0, -0.5, 0.0 ], "weights": [ 0.5, 5.31146342710806e-23, 0.5 ], "soft_score": 0.5 } ], "checks": { "theorem_assumption_satisfied_at_equality": true, "hard_score_is_zero": true, "last_soft_score_near_half": true, "last_soft_score_not_hard_score": true }, "minimal_repair": "replace <= 1 by < 1 (plus the theorem's remaining assumptions)" }