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table column-for-column (soft accuracy, Brier, ECE, coverage, AURC)."""
import argparse
import json
import os
from datetime import datetime, timezone
import torch
from oev.evaluate import ece, load_model, pack_question
from oev.tokenizer_hf import HFTokenPacker
def _predict_probs(model, packer, state, question, device, gamma=1.0):
pq = pack_question(question)
ids, anchors, label = packer.pack(state, pq, model.cfg["max_len"])
tids = torch.tensor([ids], device=device)
pmask = torch.zeros(1, len(ids), dtype=torch.bool, device=device)
apos = torch.tensor([anchors], device=device)
with torch.no_grad():
logits = model(tids, pmask, apos)
probs = torch.softmax(logits[0].float(), dim=-1)
if gamma != 1.0:
probs = probs.clamp_min(1e-9) ** gamma
probs = probs / probs.sum()
return probs, label, question["type"], question.get("target")
# the published metric name keeps its old import surface and its 10-bin
# default; the implementation lives in oev.evaluate.ece (the canonical copy,
# whose own default of 15 bins serves oev.benchmark's published rows)
def ece_metric(confs, corrs, n_bins=10):
return ece(confs, corrs, bins=n_bins)
def confident_error_rate(confs, corrs, threshold=0.9):
# wrong answers with p >= threshold, as a fraction of ALL answers
errs = [(c, o) for c, o in zip(confs, corrs) if c >= threshold]
if not errs:
return 0.0, 0
return sum(1 - o for _, o in errs) / len(confs), len(errs)
def coverage_at_error_budget(confs, corrs, budget=0.05):
# largest fraction automatable (p >= t) while automated error stays <= budget
best = 0.0
for t in sorted(set(confs), reverse=True):
kept = [(c, o) for c, o in zip(confs, corrs) if c >= t]
if not kept:
continue
err = sum(1 - o for _, o in kept) / len(kept)
cov = len(kept) / len(confs)
if err <= budget:
best = max(best, cov)
return best
def aurc(confs, corrs):
# area under the risk-coverage curve, lower is better
pairs = sorted(zip(confs, corrs), key=lambda x: -x[0])
n = len(pairs)
cum_err = 0.0
total = 0.0
for i, (_, o) in enumerate(pairs):
cum_err += 1 - o
total += cum_err / (i + 1)
return total / n
def resolve_device(device="cuda", allow_cpu=False):
# fail loudly on a missing GPU unless allow_cpu: CPU numbers must never
# pass for GPU numbers in a published report
if device.startswith("cuda") and not torch.cuda.is_available():
if allow_cpu:
print("WARNING: CUDA unavailable; running on CPU (--allow-cpu). "
"Latency numbers are not comparable to GPU runs.")
return "cpu"
raise SystemExit(
"CUDA requested but unavailable. Re-run with --allow-cpu "
"if CPU numbers are what you want.")
return device
def write_manifest(out_dir, checkpoint, data_dir, device, result):
# per-run receipt: exact inputs, resolved device, metrics. published
# numbers should be reproducible from these
os.makedirs(out_dir, exist_ok=True)
stamp = datetime.now(timezone.utc).strftime("%Y%m%d-%H%M%S")
name = os.path.splitext(os.path.basename(str(checkpoint)))[0] or "ensemble"
path = os.path.join(out_dir, f"{stamp}-{name}.json")
manifest = {
"timestamp": datetime.now(timezone.utc).isoformat(timespec="seconds"),
"checkpoint": checkpoint,
"data_dir": data_dir,
"device": device,
"torch": torch.__version__,
"cuda_available": torch.cuda.is_available(),
"metrics": result,
}
with open(path, "w", encoding="utf-8") as fh:
json.dump(manifest, fh, indent=2)
print(f"manifest: {path}")
return path
def evaluate_metrics(checkpoints, data_dir, device="cuda", gamma=1.0, latency=False,
permute=0, allow_cpu=False, manifest_dir=None):
device = resolve_device(device, allow_cpu)
models = []
for i, ckpt in enumerate(checkpoints, 1):
# every load is a full backbone init: announce it so the notebook log
# never shows an unexplained silent stretch
print(f"loading model {i}/{len(checkpoints)}: {ckpt} (model load, 1-2 min)", flush=True)
models.append(load_model(ckpt, device))
packers = [HFTokenPacker(m.cfg["backbone"]) for m in models]
with open(f"{data_dir}/test.jsonl", encoding="utf-8") as fh:
rows = [json.loads(line) for line in fh]
n = correct = 0
soft_acc_sum = 0.0
brier_sum = 0.0
score_mae_sum = 0.0
score_n = 0
confs = []
corrs = []
by_type = {}
by_domain = {}
import time
t_eval = time.time()
with torch.no_grad():
for r in rows:
for q in r["questions"]:
probs_sum = None
label = None
qtype = None
for m, p in zip(models, packers):
probs, label, qtype, _target = _predict_probs(m, p, r["state"], q, device, gamma=gamma)
probs_sum = probs if probs_sum is None else probs_sum + probs
probs = probs_sum / len(models)
n += 1
hit = int(probs.argmax().item() == label)
correct += hit
confs.append(probs.max().item())
corrs.append(hit)
if n % 500 == 0:
print(f"eval progress: {n} questions ({n / (time.time() - t_eval):.0f} q/s)", flush=True)
# soft accuracy: the probability mass the model put on the gold answer
soft_acc_sum += probs[label].item()
# Brier score against the gold one-hot (lower is better)
oh = torch.zeros_like(probs)
oh[label] = 1.0
brier_sum += ((probs - oh) ** 2).sum().item()
# score MAE: |expected level - gold level| for score questions
if qtype == "score":
levels = torch.arange(probs.numel(), dtype=torch.float32, device=probs.device)
ev = (probs * levels).sum().item()
score_mae_sum += abs(ev - label)
score_n += 1
agg = by_type.setdefault(qtype, [0, 0, 0.0])
agg[0] += hit
agg[1] += 1
agg[2] += probs[label].item()
agg = by_domain.setdefault(r.get("domain", "typed"), [0, 0, 0.0])
agg[0] += hit
agg[1] += 1
agg[2] += probs[label].item()
conf_err, conf_err_n = confident_error_rate(confs, corrs)
conf_err_wrong = sum(1 - o for c, o in zip(confs, corrs) if c >= 0.9)
result = {
"device": device,
"accuracy": correct / n,
"soft_acc": soft_acc_sum / n,
"brier": brier_sum / n,
"score_mae": (score_mae_sum / score_n) if score_n else None,
"ece": ece_metric(confs, corrs),
"confident_errors": conf_err,
"coverage_at_5pct": coverage_at_error_budget(confs, corrs, 0.05),
"aurc": aurc(confs, corrs),
"n": n,
}
print(f"device : {device}")
print(f"accuracy : {result['accuracy']:.4f}")
print(f"soft acc : {result['soft_acc']:.4f}")
print(f"brier : {result['brier']:.4f}")
if result["score_mae"] is not None:
print(f"score MAE: {result['score_mae']:.4f}")
print(f"ece : {result['ece']:.4f}")
print(f"conf err : {result['confident_errors']:.4f} ({conf_err_wrong} of {conf_err_n} answers at p>=0.9 are wrong)")
print(f"coverage : {result['coverage_at_5pct']:.4f} (automatable at <=5% error)")
print(f"aurc : {result['aurc']:.4f}")
print(f"n : {result['n']}")
print("\nper primitive:")
for t, (c, tot, s) in sorted(by_type.items()):
print(f" {t:<7} acc {c / tot:.4f} soft acc {s / tot:.4f} (n={tot})")
print("per workflow:")
for d, (c, tot, s) in sorted(by_domain.items()):
print(f" {d:<28} acc {c / tot:.4f} soft acc {s / tot:.4f} (n={tot})")
if permute > 1:
permute_flip_rate(models[0], packers[0], rows, device, permute)
if latency:
result["latency"] = measure_latency(models[0], packers[0], rows, device)
if manifest_dir:
ckpt_label = checkpoints[0] if len(checkpoints) == 1 else ",".join(checkpoints)
write_manifest(manifest_dir, ckpt_label, data_dir, device, result)
return result
def permute_flip_rate(model, packer, rows, device, n_perm=6, max_cases=300):
# rotate choice options n_perm times, count argmax changes vs the
# identity order. lower is better
cases = []
for r in rows:
for q in r["questions"]:
if q["type"] == "choice" and len(q["options"]) <= 24:
cases.append((r["state"], q))
if len(cases) >= max_cases:
break
if len(cases) >= max_cases:
break
if not cases:
print("permute: no choice questions found")
return
def predict(s, q):
ids, an, _ = packer.pack(s, q, model.cfg["max_len"])
with torch.no_grad():
logits = model(torch.tensor([ids], device=device),
torch.zeros(1, len(ids), dtype=torch.bool, device=device),
torch.tensor([an], device=device))
return logits[0].argmax().item()
flips = 0
total = 0
for s, q in cases:
base_pick = q["options"][predict(s, q)]
for k in range(1, n_perm):
rot = q["options"][k:] + q["options"][:k]
rq = dict(q, options=rot)
pick = rot[predict(s, rq)]
total += 1
if pick != base_pick:
flips += 1
rate = flips / total if total else 0.0
print(f"\npermute: {flips}/{total} answer changes under {n_perm} option rotations (flip rate {rate:.4f})")
def measure_latency(model, packer, rows, device, n_single=50, n_batch=200, batch_size=32):
# p50 single-question and batched per-question ms; model must already be
# on the device and warmed up
import time
qs = [(r["state"], q) for r in rows for q in r["questions"]]
def run_one(s, q):
pq = pack_question(q)
ids, an, _ = packer.pack(s, pq, model.cfg["max_len"])
t0 = time.perf_counter()
with torch.no_grad():
model(torch.tensor([ids], device=device), torch.zeros(1, len(ids), dtype=torch.bool, device=device), torch.tensor([an], device=device))
if device == "cuda":
torch.cuda.synchronize()
return (time.perf_counter() - t0) * 1000
for s, q in qs[:3]: # warmup
run_one(s, q)
times = sorted(run_one(s, q) for s, q in qs[:n_single])
print(f"\nlatency single-question p50: {times[len(times) // 2]:.1f} ms (n={n_single}, warmup 3)")
# batched throughput: pack n_batch questions, pad to common length, one forward per batch
items = qs[:n_batch]
t0 = time.perf_counter()
done = 0
for i in range(0, len(items), batch_size):
chunk = items[i : i + batch_size]
packed = []
for s, q in chunk:
packed.append(packer.pack(s, pack_question(q), model.cfg["max_len"]))
L = max(len(p[0]) for p in packed)
A = max(len(p[1]) for p in packed)
B = len(packed)
ids = torch.zeros(B, L, dtype=torch.long, device=device)
pmask = torch.ones(B, L, dtype=torch.bool, device=device)
apos = torch.zeros(B, A, dtype=torch.long, device=device)
for j, (pid, pan, _) in enumerate(packed):
ids[j, : len(pid)] = torch.tensor(pid, device=device)
pmask[j, : len(pid)] = False
apos[j, : len(pan)] = torch.tensor(pan, device=device)
with torch.no_grad():
model(ids, pmask, apos)
done += B
if device == "cuda":
torch.cuda.synchronize()
total_ms = (time.perf_counter() - t0) * 1000
print(f"latency batched: {total_ms / done:.1f} ms/question (n={done}, batch={batch_size})")
print(f"throughput: {done / (total_ms / 1000):.0f} questions/sec")
return {
"single_p50_ms": round(times[len(times) // 2], 2),
"single_ms": [round(t, 2) for t in times],
"batched_ms_per_q": round(total_ms / done, 2),
"throughput_qps": round(done / (total_ms / 1000), 1),
}
if __name__ == "__main__":
p = argparse.ArgumentParser()
p.add_argument("--checkpoint", default=None)
p.add_argument("--ckpts", default=None, help="comma-separated checkpoints (ensemble)")
p.add_argument("--data-dir", default="data/typed")
p.add_argument("--sharpen", type=float, default=1.0, help="confidence exponent gamma; >1 sharpens distributions")
p.add_argument("--latency", action="store_true", help="also measure single p50 and batched throughput")
p.add_argument("--permute", type=int, default=0, help="also run the option-order sensitivity check with N rotations (e.g. 6)")
p.add_argument("--device", default="cuda", help="cuda or cpu; a missing GPU fails unless --allow-cpu is set")
p.add_argument("--allow-cpu", action="store_true", help="fall back to CPU when CUDA is requested but unavailable")
p.add_argument("--manifest-dir", default="runs", help="write a per-run receipt JSON here (empty string disables)")
args = p.parse_args()
ckpts = ([c.strip() for c in args.ckpts.split(",") if c.strip()]
if args.ckpts else [args.checkpoint])
evaluate_metrics(ckpts, args.data_dir, device=args.device, gamma=args.sharpen,
latency=args.latency, permute=args.permute, allow_cpu=args.allow_cpu,
manifest_dir=args.manifest_dir or None)
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